@cryptadpole

#2,607,04714

0x1490949a24c0cbca677476ff10dc6f2c8ba31a58

~100d· 433 markets · 780 tradesVol: $48,8322026-08-26 09:56:56
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

14
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

30% (123/410)0/20
0.85x (win $651 / loss $762)0.7/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.9290/15
Sortino -1.1430/10
$-0.0305 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 432 (410 markets)10/10
36/87 profitable days (41%)2.8/10
Max DD 370% of peak ($295 / $80)0/10

Badges

3
Lottery Player
57% entries < $0.20
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
75% maker orders

Categories

5
🌤️ WEATHER#208,372$-2Vol: $31,799
₿ CRYPTO#1,545,972$-175Vol: $13,005
🎭 CULTURE#23,906$81Vol: $4,672
⚽ SPORTS#390,854$2Vol: $197
💰 FINANCE#578,510$-10Vol: $160

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-107
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$48,832
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
433
total markets
Trades
649B / 131S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~100d

Periods

#2
Today
$-2
Vol: $299
Week
$2
Vol: $5,496
Month
$3
Vol: $32,422
All Time
$-107
Vol: $48,832

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
30%
123W / 282L events
Realized PnL
$-128
Win Rate
30%
123W / 282L
Profit Factor
0.85x
Avg Win
$5
Avg Loss
$-3

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $204 (1.5870208787784352% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Bitcoin hit $100k in November?$80
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?$79
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 by January 31, 2025?$45
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in December?$33
Bitcoin above $94,000 on January 3?$28
Bitcoin all time high by January 31?$26
Ripple above $2.39 on December 13?$20
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?$19
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?$18
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?$16

Top Losers

Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in December?$-115
Will Bitcoin hit $100k again in 2024?$-72
Will Solana hit $260 in December?$-59
Will Solana hit $300 by January 31, 2025?$-50
Will Ethereum hit $4,200.00 in December?$-50
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by March 31?$-41
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by February 28, 2025?$-40
Ethereum above $2,300 on March 7?$-34
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by March 31?$-24
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 22, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET$-19

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.048
Sortino
-0.050
HHI
429
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.030
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
9.7%
Top-5 markets
38.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.2
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.7
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
12.9m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.8h
between trades
Night Trading
11%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.81
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.6

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 772s — normal for humanCV 3.81 — diverse sizes (human-like)11% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock1 trades/day — normal0.7 markets/day — normal75% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 15:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.83
Single entry

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)57.2%
Mid (20-55c)26%
High (>55c)16.8%

Sessions

#12
12/13/2024, 2:48:07 PM2 trades$3542 min
11/28/2024, 10:45:56 PM1 trades$3420 min
1/15/2025, 12:33:33 PM4 trades$2879 min
7/31/2026, 11:02:45 PM2 trades$2000 min
12/16/2024, 6:42:55 PM1 trades$1660 min
12/15/2024, 11:23:16 PM1 trades$1460 min
12/5/2024, 7:12:20 AM1 trades$1450 min
12/26/2024, 12:11:17 AM1 trades$1080 min
12/28/2024, 2:41:56 PM1 trades$1010 min
12/30/2024, 1:21:24 AM1 trades$950 min
12/29/2024, 5:59:22 AM1 trades$870 min
12/30/2024, 5:56:20 AM2 trades$803 min
1/18/2025, 4:10:23 PM1 trades$790 min
12/21/2024, 4:25:28 PM1 trades$730 min
1/2/2025, 11:37:29 PM1 trades$680 min
12/21/2024, 2:01:18 PM1 trades$680 min
1/24/2025, 3:00:05 AM2 trades$665 min
12/18/2024, 7:09:38 PM2 trades$640 min
1/13/2025, 5:39:37 PM2 trades$641 min
12/6/2024, 6:29:34 PM1 trades$630 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-28
01-18
01-17
02-03
02-27
04-03
08-13

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 115 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
4% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
16.8% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.83/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L57.2 / M26 / H16.8