@curie

#14257

0xd1ed12197b7dc22dede923727e9b714024dbd7cb

~590d· 7417 markets · 237156 tradesVol: $76,035,6702026-08-01 16:07:06
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

57
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

51% (3764/7416)10.4/20
1.09x (win $769,416 / loss $706,128)3.6/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.70613.2/15
Sortino 0.9339.3/10
$+0.0262 per $1 invested1.3/10
HHI 20 (7416 markets)10/10
251/482 profitable days (52%)5.5/10
Max DD 52% of peak ($43,918 / $85,172)3.7/10

Badges

7
Profitable
PnL $+1,222,290
Contrarian
54% entries < $0.55
Diamond Hands
2% sells
Whale
$2,412,193 invested
High Roller
$3,711/day
Win Streak
9 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

9
SPORTS#77$1,483,709Vol: $62,103,588
📈 ECONOMICS#681,997$-21,460Vol: $3,377,287
🏛️ POLITICS#1,641,319$-75,579Vol: $3,103,394
🎭 CULTURE#816,390$-54,156Vol: $508,776
🌤️ WEATHER#296,477$-885Vol: $471,446
CRYPTO#1,620,375$-1,144Vol: $354,568
💰 FINANCE#657,087$-13,048Vol: $103,119
📢 MENTIONS#767$1,902Vol: $19,098
💻 TECH#1,023$1,520Vol: $15,203

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$1,222,289
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$76,035,670
Total Redeem
$1,479,677
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
7417
total markets
Trades
18302B / 5538S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~590d

Periods

#2
Today
$-11,468
Vol: $283,098
Week
$53,415
Vol: $2,790,196
Month
$-11,468
Vol: $283,098
All Time
$1,222,289
Vol: $76,035,670

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
52%
8073W / 7402L events
Realized PnL
$1,222,290
Win Rate
52%
8073W / 7402L
Profit Factor
1.09x
Avg Win
$204
Avg Loss
$-202

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $59,860 (0.0489736264862595% of PnL)

Top Winners

Spread: France (-2.5)$23,319
Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.5$18,890
Atlanta Braves vs. Pittsburgh Pirates$17,652
Athletics vs. Los Angeles Angels$15,877
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins$13,893
Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets$12,253
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)$10,543
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?$10,540
Washington Nationals vs. Miami Marlins$8,404
Patriots vs. Ravens$6,980

Top Losers

Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers$-40,457
Belgium vs. IR Iran: 1st Half O/U 0.5$-23,476
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?$-22,396
Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 11.5$-10,800
Cleveland Guardians vs. Athletics$-9,392
Will Biden pardon Jim Biden?$-8,887
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?$-8,768
France vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Score$-7,608
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?$-7,441
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins$-7,312

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.037
Sortino
0.036
HHI
15
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.026
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
1.1%
Top-5 markets
4.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
364.9
Very active
Markets / Day
11.4
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
1:00 UTC
Median Gap
5.7m
between trades
Avg Gap
39.3m
between trades
Night Trading
4%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.75
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
9 min
Avg Trades / Session
26.3

Bot Detection

#6
55
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
MEDIUM
Median gap 342s — normal for humanCV 3.75 — diverse sizes (human-like)4% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock365 trades/day — automation11 markets/day — mass coverage2% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 1:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.21
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)22.2%
Mid (20-55c)31.7%
High (>55c)46%

Sessions

#12
6/18/2026, 7:59:44 PM2 trades$52,6480 min
7/6/2026, 8:52:25 PM31 trades$42,3739 min
5/17/2026, 5:12:57 PM72 trades$31,7969 min
6/21/2026, 11:22:08 PM71 trades$31,47245 min
6/13/2026, 11:06:15 PM12 trades$28,1313 min
6/13/2026, 2:35:58 AM19 trades$25,6510 min
12/11/2024, 3:24:21 PM1 trades$25,5600 min
7/8/2026, 3:40:07 AM8 trades$24,9971 min
6/23/2026, 4:40:26 AM45 trades$23,36319 min
6/26/2026, 7:11:32 PM29 trades$23,34012 min
6/21/2026, 10:38:49 PM36 trades$23,19313 min
6/21/2026, 7:20:55 PM20 trades$20,6597 min
7/5/2026, 9:51:41 PM15 trades$20,0000 min
4/6/2026, 12:05:37 AM7 trades$17,8830 min
4/4/2026, 9:34:09 PM14 trades$16,9210 min
7/7/2026, 10:54:40 PM6 trades$16,4761 min
4/22/2026, 11:42:34 PM150 trades$15,07832 min
6/9/2026, 4:43:22 AM4 trades$15,0160 min
6/24/2026, 11:46:22 PM19 trades$14,58810 min
4/26/2026, 6:11:52 PM8 trades$14,5453 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-01
03-03
07-09
11-19
02-07
05-05
07-31
08-01

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 4 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
2.3% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.21/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L22.2 / M31.7 / H46