@cvca

#2,408,42518

0xbce72e7f2d0f947bfdd518deefebd6bc92c6e25d

~22d· 32 markets · 68 tradesVol: $109,7482026-09-21 18:54:41
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

18
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

46% (12/26)8.1/20
0.53x (win $48 / loss $90)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -4.0020/15
Sortino -4.2340/10
$-0.0048 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1595 (26 markets)4.5/10
8/15 profitable days (53%)5.8/10
Max DD 465% of peak ($68 / $15)0/10

Categories

7
🏛️ POLITICS#1,435,502$-34Vol: $40,055
💰 FINANCE#66,962$7Vol: $22,130
📈 ECONOMICS#624,941$-15Vol: $17,856
🎭 CULTURE#673,818$-8Vol: $15,548
⚽ SPORTS#1,140,069$-3Vol: $11,315
₿ CRYPTO#920,762$-2Vol: $2,832
💻 TECH#43,265$1Vol: $11

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-54
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$109,748
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
32
total markets
Trades
38B / 30S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~22d

Periods

#2
Today
$-2
Vol: $0
Week
$-18
Vol: $0
Month
$-23
Vol: $0
All Time
$-54
Vol: $109,748

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
46%
12W / 14L events
Realized PnL
$-79
Win Rate
46%
12W / 14L
Profit Factor
0.53x
Avg Win
$4
Avg Loss
$-7

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $40 (0.5079486201195472% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?$21
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$11
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $4 million?$8
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by March 31?$2
Will Gemini have the top AI model on December 31?$1
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2025 meeting?$1
Will TikTok be banned in 2025?$1
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after July 2025 meeting?$1
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting?$1
Will Rabby launch a token by June 30, 2026?$1

Top Losers

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?$-26
Will another party win the most seats in the next German election?$-19
Will Betis win the 2025–26 La Liga?$-17
Will Jurassic World: Rebirth be the top grossing movie of 2025?$-8
Fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after January 2025 meeting?$-7
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in December?$-4
Chelsea wins the Premier League?$-3
Will Josh Allen win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?$-2
Will 'Furiosa: A Mad Max Saga' gross most in 2024?$-1
Will the Dolphins win the AFC Championship?$-1

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.202
Sortino
-0.172
HHI
1340
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.005
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
25.1%
Top-5 markets
75.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.1
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
14/24
Extended
Peak Hour
6:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.8h
between trades
Night Trading
12%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.56
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
30
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.3

Bot Detection

#6
0
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 90s — normal for humanCV 1.56 — diverse sizes (human-like)12% night trades — normal pattern14/24 hours — normal schedule0 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal26% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 6:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.27
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)28.9%
Mid (20-55c)7.9%
High (>55c)63.2%

Sessions

#12
12/24/2024, 4:07:38 AM4 trades$2,3374 min
12/22/2024, 8:37:28 AM5 trades$2,0453 min
12/23/2024, 7:46:02 AM2 trades$2,0221 min
12/26/2024, 6:33:20 AM8 trades$1,34514 min
12/21/2024, 10:53:38 AM4 trades$1,1841 min
12/24/2024, 12:03:08 PM1 trades$1,1590 min
12/25/2024, 12:01:38 PM3 trades$1,1512 min
12/26/2024, 6:58:16 AM2 trades$9735 min
12/26/2024, 12:25:32 PM1 trades$6970 min
12/26/2024, 12:43:30 PM1 trades$6970 min
12/25/2024, 11:14:38 PM1 trades$6820 min
12/25/2024, 6:42:33 PM1 trades$4580 min
8/11/2026, 10:11:52 AM6 trades$3501 min
2/28/2026, 11:31:17 AM3 trades$1882 min
6/30/2025, 2:48:11 PM2 trades$1810 min
8/27/2025, 1:31:55 PM2 trades$1731 min
12/31/2025, 3:55:25 PM3 trades$1621 min
2/28/2025, 3:38:57 PM1 trades$1280 min
1/31/2026, 11:36:38 AM2 trades$831 min
9/17/2025, 11:35:20 AM3 trades$612 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-22
12-25
12-31
02-28
06-30
09-17
02-28
06-20

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 433 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
44.1% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.27/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L28.9 / M7.9 / H63.2