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@d5bba58c

#190,34176

0xd5bba58c09d18f48a71a3aefc4ff3a66954c0fe1

~127d· 6090 markets · 2313 tradesVol: $250,2462026-06-06T03:34
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

76
Very Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 90%20/20
Profit Factor 1.11x4/15
Sharpe 0.53910/15
Sortino 8.70610/10
EV $+0.0452/10
HHI 1110/10
Profit Days 87%10/10
DD/Peak 1%10/10

Summary

Trader d5bba58c is an active participant on Polymarket, with 2,313 trades across 1,360 markets over 127 days. They hold a global PnL rank of #190,341 and have accumulated a net profit of $133.27 on a total volume of $250,246. Their portfolio currently stands at $800.09, supported by a solid Smart Score of 76/100, indicating a strong overall trading performance.

d5bba58c tends to maintain a consistent and relatively low-risk trading style, as reflected in their 76.4% win rate and a moderate profit factor of 1.11. Their Sharpe Ratio of 0.54 suggests some volatility but generally positive risk-adjusted returns. The trader avoids weather markets and does not engage in selling positions, emphasizing holding strategies, which aligns with their "Diamond Hands" and "Win Streak" badges. Their activity appears steady without significant drawdowns, and the Bot Score of 55/100 implies a mix of automated and manual trading.

The main strength of d5bba58c lies in their consistency and disciplined approach, supported by a high win rate and stable equity trend. However, the relatively low profit factor and Sharpe Ratio indicate limited upside potential and some exposure to risk. The semi-bot trading style may offer efficiency but could also pose challenges in adapting quickly to sudden market changes. Overall, d5bba58c demonstrates reliable performance on Polymarket with room for strategic refinement.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

6
Sniper
Win Rate 90%
Profitable
PnL $+133
Diamond Hands
0% sell
Win Streak
79 wins in a row
Consistent
53/61 days
Cool Head
DD 1%

Categories

4
SPORTS#88,467$160Vol: $249,827
🏛️ POLITICS#384,183$0Vol: $360
🎭 CULTURE#705,140$-20Vol: $44
CRYPTO#967,308$-4Vol: $9

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$133
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$250,246
Total Redeem
$20,249
Portfolio
$800
Predictions
6090
total markets
Trades
2312B / 1S
Daily Volume
$215
Account Age
~127d

Periods

#2
Today
$-85
Vol: $142
Week
$182
Vol: $10,276
Month
$182
Vol: $7,956
All Time
$133
Vol: $250,246

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
91%
254W / 24L events
Realized PnL
$15,514
Win Rate
76%
650W / 201L
Profit Factor
1.11x
Avg Win
$14
Avg Loss
$-39

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $454 (51.5% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Algeria win on 2026-06-03?$180
Will Elche CF win on 2026-05-17?$152
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-04?$122
Will Real Oviedo vs. Getafe CF end in a draw?$109
CR Vasco da Gama vs. CA Paranaense: O/U 2.5$100
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Leeds United FC end in a draw?$63
Will Academia Puerto Cabello win on 2026-05-05?$62
CD Leganés vs. SD Huesca: O/U 2.5$60
Pyramids FC vs. Smouha SC: O/U 2.5$59
Will CA Vélez Sarsfield win on 2026-05-10?$58

Top Losers

Open Capfinances Rouen Metropole, Qualification: Maria Timofeeva $-148
Miami Marlins vs. Detroit Tigers$-147
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Los Angeles Angels$-102
Santa Cruz: Juan Estevez vs Juan Manuel La Serna$-97
Washington Nationals vs. Milwaukee Brewers$-97
Will CA Newell's Old Boys win on 2026-04-12?$-95
Barcelona Open: Marco Trungelliti vs Hamad Medjedovic$-95
Spread: CA Lanús (-1.5)$-86
LoL: Ultra Prime vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 1 Winner$-81
Will Gil Vicente FC win on 2026-05-03?$-79

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.539
Sortino
8.706
HHI
11
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.045
Kelly %
47.7%
Half-Kelly
23.8%
Top-1 market
0.5%
Top-5 markets
2.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
38.6
Active
Markets / Day
22.7
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
23:00 UTC
Median Gap
9.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
35.2m
between trades
Night Trading
19%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.80
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.8

Bot Detection

#6
55
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

8 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
HIGH
Median gap 563s — typical for humanSize CV 0.80 — diverse, typical for human19% at night — different timezone?24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 0.98 — human randomness39 trades/day — suspiciously high23 markets/day — mass coverage305 total positions — large-scale activity

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 23:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.7
Single entry
<=1
799 entries
<=2
1141 entries
<=5
1344 entries
<=10
1358 entries
<=20
1360 entries
<=50
1360 entries
>50
0 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)5.1%
Mid (20-55c)50.2%
High (>55c)44.7%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 40.5%

Other$1,172
São Paulo$80
Chengdu$55
Shanghai$52
Atlanta$49
Shenzhen$39
Madrid$35
Seattle$28
Wuhan$24
Beijing$21
Singapore$12
Chongqing$7
Jinmen Hu FC win$7
Seoul$5
Austin$0
Islands win$0
Houston$-9
Paris$-28

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.4
Events covered
969

Single bracket

<=1
662 brackets
<=2
890 brackets
<=3
965 brackets
<=4
968 brackets
<=5
969 brackets
<=8
969 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
4/7/2026, 4:03:43 AM1 trades$30 min
4/7/2026, 7:01:47 AM1 trades$10 min
4/7/2026, 11:17:37 AM2 trades$100 min
4/9/2026, 5:58:11 AM1 trades$30 min
4/9/2026, 10:35:17 AM1 trades$20 min
4/9/2026, 10:10:37 PM1 trades$100 min
4/10/2026, 2:27:25 PM1 trades$290 min
4/10/2026, 2:41:57 PM3 trades$209 min
4/10/2026, 4:48:33 PM2 trades$392 min
4/10/2026, 10:45:13 PM3 trades$1470 min
4/10/2026, 10:54:51 PM1 trades$100 min
4/10/2026, 11:57:01 PM1 trades$70 min
4/11/2026, 12:24:15 AM1 trades$20 min
4/11/2026, 12:40:49 AM1 trades$50 min
4/11/2026, 9:15:41 AM1 trades$490 min
4/11/2026, 9:57:17 AM1 trades$490 min
4/11/2026, 10:14:55 AM1 trades$490 min
4/11/2026, 1:41:07 PM1 trades$490 min
4/11/2026, 5:19:31 PM1 trades$440 min
4/11/2026, 9:16:51 PM1 trades$460 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-15
04-17
04-27
05-11
06-03
06-17
06-27
07-20

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
0% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.7/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.4 br/event