Polydata

@darkmagic

#2,859,63220

0x5af45240c2370ee0510090d89324d2f50927a7df

41d· 79 markets · 1574 tradesVol: $1,986,2412026-06-15T06:36
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

20
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 38%4/20
Profit Factor 0.79x0/15
HHI 42510/10
Profit Days 56%6/10

Summary

Darkmagic is a relatively active trader on Polymarket with 1,574 trades executed over 77 days. Despite a high total volume of nearly $2 million across 79 markets, darkmagic’s net profit and loss stands at a significant loss of $81,886.24, placing them at rank #2,859,632 on the global PnL leaderboard. Their portfolio value is currently zero, and the overall performance metrics such as a Sharpe ratio of -0.18 and a profit factor below 1 indicate consistent underperformance.

The trading style of darkmagic appears to be contrarian and high risk, as reflected by badges like Contrarian and High Roller. They show a preference for manual and semi-automated trading with a bot score of 45/100, but no engagement in weather markets or selling activity. The win rate of 38.5% combined with a negative equity trend suggests that darkmagic often takes positions against prevailing market sentiment but struggles to time their trades effectively for positive returns.

Strengths for darkmagic include a high trading volume and willingness to maintain positions (Diamond Hands), which can be advantageous in volatile markets. However, the sustained downward equity trend, negative profit factor, and zero portfolio value highlight significant risks. Without adjustments to strategy or risk management, darkmagic’s current approach on Polymarket carries a high potential for continued losses.

Badges

4
Contrarian
50% entries <$0.50
Diamond Hands
0% sell
Whale
$947,200
High Roller
$12,301/day

Categories

1
SPORTS#1,693,653$-81,886Vol: $1,986,241

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-81,886
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,986,241
Total Redeem
$797,143
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
79
total markets
Trades
1571B / 3S
Daily Volume
$12,301
Account Age
41d
since May 5, 2026

Periods

#2
Month
$-13,426
Vol: $19,745
All Time
$-81,886
Vol: $1,986,241

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
39%
30W / 47L events
Realized PnL
$-68,460
Win Rate
38%
30W / 48L
Profit Factor
0.84x
Avg Win
$10,533
Avg Loss
$-7,803

Top Winners

Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-14?$39,024
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-17?$35,276
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?$20,500
Spurs vs. Thunder$18,167
Roland Garros WTA: Panna Udvardy vs Viktorija Golubic$17,397
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-10?$15,829
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Coco Gauff vs Elina Svitolina$13,900
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Coco Gauff vs Mirra Andreeva$13,635
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Casper Ruud vs Luciano Darderi$11,171
Atlanta Dream vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 166.5$10,519

Top Losers

Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 218.5$-40,956
Spread: Manchester City FC (-2.5)$-39,600
Phoenix Mercury vs. New York Liberty: O/U 169.5$-29,923
West Ham United FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5$-28,750
Chelsea FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 1.5$-25,297
Manchester United FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 4.5$-23,952
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Anastasia Potapova vs Karolina Mucho$-13,341
Roland Garros WTA: Petra Marcinko vs Eva Lys$-12,315
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-07?$-11,249
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-05-11?$-10,600

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.178
Sortino
-0.214
HHI
425
Diversified
EV per $1
$-6.099
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
14.6%
Top-5 markets
33.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
50.4
Very active
Markets / Day
2.5
Active Hours
23/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
16:00 UTC
Median Gap
11s
between trades
Avg Gap
21.8m
between trades
Night Trading
2%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
5.84
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
10.4

Bot Detection

#6
45
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

6 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
MEDIUM
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 11s — suspiciously fastSize CV 5.84 — diverse, typical for human2% at night — normal sleep pattern23/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.23 — human randomness50 trades/day — mass trading

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 16:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
19.9
Heavy DCA
<=1
10 entries
<=2
15 entries
<=5
28 entries
<=10
42 entries
<=20
57 entries
<=50
70 entries
>50
9 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)16.2%
Mid (20-55c)46.4%
High (>55c)37.4%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 78.7%

Madrid$103,819
Atlanta$10,519
Paris$4,838
Chicago$-3,544
Toronto$-7,203
Other$-166,998

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1
Events covered
77

Single bracket

<=1
75 brackets
<=2
77 brackets
<=3
77 brackets
<=4
77 brackets
<=5
77 brackets
<=8
77 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
5/5/2026, 6:49:36 PM2 trades$1452 min
5/5/2026, 6:59:08 PM6 trades$2,9692 min
5/5/2026, 7:05:54 PM1 trades$5600 min
5/5/2026, 7:38:30 PM1 trades$40 min
5/5/2026, 7:52:40 PM2 trades$71 min
5/5/2026, 8:25:52 PM1 trades$50 min
5/5/2026, 8:39:42 PM1 trades$90 min
5/5/2026, 8:58:04 PM3 trades$18,1692 min
5/6/2026, 2:57:16 AM4 trades$1,3342 min
5/6/2026, 4:15:54 AM2 trades$311 min
5/6/2026, 4:58:00 AM4 trades$3991 min
5/6/2026, 5:26:22 AM2 trades$21 min
5/6/2026, 5:37:10 AM1 trades$10 min
5/6/2026, 6:16:58 AM2 trades$221 min
5/6/2026, 6:25:00 AM1 trades$10 min
5/6/2026, 6:39:58 AM5 trades$61 min
5/6/2026, 6:47:04 AM2 trades$25 min
5/6/2026, 8:01:22 AM1 trades$9800 min
5/6/2026, 8:09:04 AM1 trades$10 min
5/6/2026, 8:31:02 AM1 trades$100 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-21
05-10
05-15
05-19
05-24
05-30
06-04

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
0.2% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 19.9/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1 br/event