declanbosworth

@declanbosworth

#2,637,9985

0x5069866957f2d329761dc8503a3a1af09af8940c

~30d· 32 markets · 69 tradesVol: $18,9712026-08-26 09:17:03
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

5
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

24% (6/25)0/20
0.50x (win $174 / loss $352)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -3.1170/15
Sortino -3.5820/10
$-0.0127 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1412 (25 markets)5.4/10
6/23 profitable days (26%)0/10
Max DD 300% of peak ($267 / $89)0/10

Categories

4
🏛️ POLITICS#1,253,183$-9Vol: $13,592
⚽ SPORTS#1,703,657$-112Vol: $5,366
🎭 CULTURE#372,551$-0Vol: $11
₿ CRYPTO#682,852$0Vol: $2

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-120
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$18,971
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
32
total markets
Trades
41B / 28S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~30d

Periods

#2
Today
$-0
Vol: $0
Week
$-0
Vol: $0
Month
$-0
Vol: $0
All Time
$-120
Vol: $18,971

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
24%
6W / 19L events
Realized PnL
$-120
Win Rate
24%
6W / 19L
Profit Factor
0.5x
Avg Win
$29
Avg Loss
$-21

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $171 (1.4203969769952662% of PnL)

Top Winners

Kings vs. Jets$107
Dolphins vs. Patriots$45
WNBA: Liberty vs. Aces Game 3$18
Blue Jays vs. Orioles$3
Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?$0
Will XRP reach $4.0 in June?$0

Top Losers

Vikings vs. Rams$-136
Pelicans vs. Bulls$-116
WNBA: Lynx vs. Sun Series Winner$-82
Pirates vs. Orioles$-8
Warriors vs. Grizzlies$-6
Will the Nashville Predators win the 2025 President’s Trophy?$-1
Will the Boston Bruins win the 2025 President’s Trophy?$-1
Will Ivana Kekin be the next President of Croatia?$-1
Will Waldemar Witkowski be the next President of Poland?$-1
Will Barcelona win the UEFA Champions League?$-0

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.160
Sortino
-0.165
HHI
3
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.307
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
1%
Top-5 markets
3.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.1
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.0
Active Hours
18/24
Extended
Peak Hour
7:00 UTC
Median Gap
5.2h
between trades
Avg Gap
6.7h
between trades
Night Trading
9%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.31
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
47
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.5

Bot Detection

#6
5
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 18844s — normal for humanCV 1.31 — diverse sizes (human-like)9% night trades — normal pattern18/24 hours — extended activity0 trades/day — normal0.0 markets/day — normal20% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 7:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.6
Single entry

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)14.6%
Mid (20-55c)26.8%
High (>55c)58.5%

Sessions

#12
7/29/2026, 9:53:42 PM4 trades$1,9665 min
7/29/2026, 2:47:03 PM5 trades$1,9602 min
7/30/2026, 6:01:11 PM4 trades$1,9352 min
7/30/2026, 10:13:03 AM4 trades$1,9254 min
7/30/2026, 8:47:00 PM4 trades$1,8723 min
7/30/2026, 5:51:35 PM2 trades$9760 min
7/28/2026, 5:51:56 PM2 trades$9680 min
7/30/2026, 5:45:48 PM2 trades$9510 min
7/31/2026, 4:15:00 PM2 trades$9130 min
1/13/2025, 4:41:45 AM2 trades$1371 min
1/14/2025, 2:41:25 AM1 trades$1160 min
1/10/2025, 10:11:27 AM1 trades$1030 min
10/7/2024, 6:23:53 AM1 trades$820 min
10/6/2024, 2:07:03 PM1 trades$530 min
10/4/2024, 9:48:59 AM1 trades$270 min
9/11/2025, 9:05:01 AM1 trades$80 min
4/23/2025, 1:48:12 AM2 trades$61 min
7/14/2025, 7:59:48 AM1 trades$60 min
5/12/2025, 5:46:54 AM1 trades$60 min
5/12/2025, 11:45:34 AM1 trades$60 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-04
01-10
03-06
04-07
04-28
05-05
05-14
07-28

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 244 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
40.6% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.6/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L14.6 / M26.8 / H58.5