delusional01

@delusional01

#3,041,1864

0xc1cde5c30a36e0c04d8b953ce76c552ae643d1ad

~101d· 62 markets · 758 tradesVol: $704,9812026-08-26 09:16:07
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

4
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

31% (19/61)0.6/20
0.44x (win $1,749 / loss $3,985)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -3.3270/15
Sortino -3.7400/10
$-0.1005 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1742 (61 markets)3.8/10
11/44 profitable days (25%)0/10
Max DD 384% of peak ($3,024 / $787)0/10

Badges

3
Lottery Player
78% entries < $0.20
Win Streak
5 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

7
🏛️ POLITICS#1,593,624$-319Vol: $438,758
🎭 CULTURE#819,663$-1,152Vol: $252,007
SPORTS#1,807,250$-488Vol: $7,680
💻 TECH#255,703$-103Vol: $2,674
📈 ECONOMICS#661,861$-80Vol: $857
📢 MENTIONS#141,674$-17Vol: $581
💰 FINANCE#566,372$-8Vol: $170

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-2,238
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$704,981
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
62
total markets
Trades
592B / 166S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~101d

Periods

#2
Month
$-27
Vol: $34,781
All Time
$-2,238
Vol: $704,981

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
31%
19W / 42L events
Realized PnL
$-2,238
Win Rate
31%
19W / 42L
Profit Factor
0.44x
Avg Win
$92
Avg Loss
$-95

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,391 (0.6214428714428714% of PnL)

Top Winners

Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?$827
Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?$468
Diddy found guilty of sex trafficking?$96
Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?$90
Tulsi Gabbard confirmed as Director of National Intelligence?$70
Will Andrew Cuomo run as a non-Democrat in the general election? $62
North Korea missile test by June 30?$40
TikTok banned in the US before May 2025?$27
RFK Jr. confirmed as Health & Human Services Secretary?$16
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$15

Top Losers

Will Curtis Sliwa win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$-1,159
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?$-1,103
Will Novak Djokovic win Wimbledon 2025?$-402
Will Brad Lander win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?$-188
Will Trump save TikTok in first week?$-130
Will Peter Casey win the Irish Presidential Election?$-126
Will Barry Andrews win the Irish Presidential Election?$-102
Super Bowl LIX Winner$-79
Will "Conclave" win Best Picture at the 2025 Oscars?$-77
Nothing Ever Happens: June$-74

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.172
Sortino
-0.181
HHI
1561
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.101
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
25.2%
Top-5 markets
80%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.2
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
9:00 UTC
Median Gap
6.7m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.5h
between trades
Night Trading
19%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.77
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.2

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 400s — normal for humanCV 2.77 — diverse sizes (human-like)19% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock1 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal54% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 9:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
12.38
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)78.4%
Mid (20-55c)12.7%
High (>55c)9%

Sessions

#12
6/26/2025, 8:22:25 AM1 trades$1,5240 min
6/27/2025, 1:05:37 PM1 trades$1,4560 min
6/27/2025, 3:59:05 PM2 trades$1,3351 min
6/22/2025, 5:58:56 AM2 trades$1,2302 min
6/18/2025, 9:53:44 PM2 trades$1,0013 min
6/25/2025, 12:06:09 PM1 trades$1,0010 min
6/22/2025, 2:04:06 PM2 trades$1,0001 min
6/25/2025, 12:39:39 PM3 trades$9001 min
6/26/2025, 9:15:25 AM1 trades$7800 min
6/9/2025, 10:45:35 PM6 trades$7706 min
6/26/2025, 9:04:35 AM1 trades$7600 min
7/2/2025, 1:17:33 PM1 trades$7330 min
7/3/2025, 7:20:11 PM2 trades$7091 min
6/12/2025, 12:37:03 PM3 trades$7066 min
6/27/2025, 4:21:27 AM3 trades$6951 min
6/22/2025, 1:29:02 PM2 trades$6950 min
6/22/2025, 1:07:20 AM2 trades$6851 min
6/8/2025, 12:44:53 PM3 trades$6804 min
6/23/2025, 3:23:19 PM2 trades$6752 min
6/22/2025, 3:34:06 PM1 trades$6600 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-03
01-19
05-29
06-23
07-04
07-19
03-17

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 405 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
21.9% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 12.38/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L78.4 / M12.7 / H9