@denizz

#5581

0xbaa2bcb5439e985ce4ccf815b4700027d1b92c73

~683d· 946 markets · 88473 tradesVol: $99,304,226 @denizz_poly2026-08-06 03:13:32
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

81
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

67% (594/882)18.7/20
1.67x (win $10,859,010 / loss $6,487,493)10.9/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.86015/15
Sortino 2.04910/10
$+0.1463 per $1 invested7.3/10
HHI 191 (882 markets)10/10
255/377 profitable days (68%)9.4/10
Max DD 72% of peak ($3,283,534 / $4,589,275)0/10

Badges

8
Sniper
Win rate 67%
Profitable
PnL $+2,592,586
DCA Master
Avg 110.9 entries/market
Whale
$29,879,983 invested
Consistent
255/377 profitable days
High Roller
$42,993/day
Win Streak
14 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

8
🏛️ POLITICS#15$2,621,685Vol: $88,727,716
🎭 CULTURE#817,132$-11,262Vol: $5,347,270
📈 ECONOMICS#683,640$-104,861Vol: $3,296,060
CRYPTO#1,176$35,882Vol: $878,895
💰 FINANCE#1,003$5,489Vol: $393,904
💻 TECH#461$4,101Vol: $298,766
📢 MENTIONS#56$33,609Vol: $258,345
SPORTS#115,381$111Vol: $38,355

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$2,588,940
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$99,304,226
Total Redeem
$973,967
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
946
total markets
Trades
52501B / 35972S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~683d

Periods

#2
Today
$-5,758
Vol: $10,380
Week
$89,395
Vol: $1,149,308
Month
$159,479
Vol: $1,173,915
All Time
$2,588,940
Vol: $99,304,226

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
67%
594W / 288L events
Realized PnL
$2,592,587
Win Rate
67%
594W / 288L
Profit Factor
1.67x
Avg Win
$18,281
Avg Loss
$-23,087

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $6,268,545 (2.417872950430005% of PnL)

Top Winners

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$4,030,727
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?$1,266,364
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?$971,453
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$485,469
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?$263,120
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?$261,481
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$250,544
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$206,386
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?$185,188
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$142,844

Top Losers

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$-1,880,025
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$-578,212
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$-332,535
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?$-285,405
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?$-201,780
Will Iran close its airspace by July 15?$-176,141
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$-144,102
US forces enter Iran by December 31?$-134,983
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$-129,855
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?$-122,209

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.045
Sortino
0.061
HHI
206
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.127
Kelly %
32.6%
Half-Kelly
16.3%
Top-1 market
8.4%
Top-5 markets
25.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
127.3
Very active
Markets / Day
1.4
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
20:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
16.5m
between trades
Night Trading
22%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
5.07
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
18 min
Avg Trades / Session
103.1

Bot Detection

#6
50
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 108s — normal for humanCV 5.07 — diverse sizes (human-like)22% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock127 trades/day — automation1.4 markets/day — normal66% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 20:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
110.89
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)15.5%
Mid (20-55c)26.8%
High (>55c)57.7%

Sessions

#12
6/11/2026, 3:23:12 AM377 trades$386,43337 min
4/12/2026, 1:33:23 AM360 trades$323,85014 min
4/7/2026, 8:01:57 PM177 trades$290,32036 min
4/8/2026, 9:51:19 AM124 trades$271,84016 min
4/28/2026, 1:15:50 PM53 trades$217,1014 min
4/24/2026, 11:08:38 AM97 trades$216,2096 min
5/27/2026, 4:39:30 PM69 trades$213,9200 min
6/11/2026, 4:49:34 AM31 trades$211,3614 min
12/19/2025, 9:12:01 PM117 trades$210,29849 min
6/14/2026, 9:11:09 PM133 trades$206,01471 min
4/7/2026, 8:12:05 AM91 trades$202,1399 min
4/5/2026, 12:48:57 PM4 trades$199,6615 min
5/11/2026, 12:24:27 PM79 trades$196,07738 min
4/24/2026, 1:21:08 PM168 trades$195,71511 min
5/27/2026, 3:05:27 AM6 trades$194,8000 min
4/28/2026, 6:25:16 PM1 trades$194,4000 min
5/27/2026, 7:52:52 PM183 trades$178,58111 min
5/2/2026, 10:30:42 PM180 trades$176,80853 min
4/12/2026, 2:31:23 AM193 trades$174,84117 min
7/8/2026, 5:59:20 AM28 trades$174,25111 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
09-12
02-09
05-29
10-01
01-19
04-14
07-21

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 20 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
40.7% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 110.89/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L15.5 / M26.8 / H57.7