@devmos

#2,788,58916

0x23135925065a564f29a31e2f9a3cc692f157bfde

~22d· 39 markets · 96 tradesVol: $5,8932026-08-26 09:15:40
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

16
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

44% (17/39)6.8/20
0.31x (win $68 / loss $221)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -7.9240/15
Sortino -7.4210/10
$-0.5590 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 675 (39 markets)9.1/10
6/21 profitable days (29%)0/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($172 / $0)0/10

Badges

1
Contrarian
54% entries < $0.55

Categories

3
CRYPTO#1,565,819$-221Vol: $4,262
🏛️ POLITICS#1,544,803$-119Vol: $914
SPORTS#139,923$75Vol: $209

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-259
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$5,893
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
39
total markets
Trades
59B / 37S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~22d

Periods

#2
Week
$-21
Vol: $189
Month
$-106
Vol: $2,876
All Time
$-259
Vol: $5,893

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
44%
17W / 22L events
Realized PnL
$-203
Win Rate
44%
17W / 22L
Profit Factor
0.31x
Avg Win
$4
Avg Loss
$-10

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $21 (0.1012527125665812% of PnL)

Top Winners

Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET$8
Dogecoin Up or Down - July 18, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET$7
XRP Up or Down - July 24, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET$6
US x Iran nuclear talks resume before July?$6
Hyperliquid Up or Down - July 19, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET$5
XRP Up or Down - July 21, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET$4
Ethereum Up or Down - August 1, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET$4
XRP Up or Down - July 20, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET$4
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 10PM ET$4
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET$4

Top Losers

US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$-78
Solana Up or Down - July 20, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET$-20
Israel strikes Iran before August?$-16
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran before September?$-11
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET$-10
Khamenei seen in public before July?$-10
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET$-8
BNB Up or Down - July 18, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET$-8
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 7PM ET$-6
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 5PM ET$-6

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.405
Sortino
-0.380
HHI
1005
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.559
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
28.6%
Top-5 markets
45.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.2
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
18/24
Extended
Peak Hour
23:00 UTC
Median Gap
9.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.0h
between trades
Night Trading
32%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.73
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
40
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.4

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 570s — normal for humanCV 1.73 — diverse sizes (human-like)32% night trades — never sleeps18/24 hours — extended activity0 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal53% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 23:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.46
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)10.2%
Mid (20-55c)44.1%
High (>55c)45.8%

Sessions

#12
1/31/2026, 1:46:08 PM1 trades$580 min
7/20/2026, 10:02:09 PM4 trades$224 min
1/29/2026, 8:38:20 PM1 trades$200 min
8/8/2026, 11:37:58 AM4 trades$190 min
7/1/2025, 9:10:05 AM1 trades$160 min
7/1/2025, 9:19:35 AM1 trades$160 min
7/21/2026, 5:17:34 AM5 trades$144 min
7/21/2026, 1:16:31 AM5 trades$121 min
6/23/2025, 1:30:45 PM2 trades$125 min
6/18/2025, 4:11:56 PM1 trades$110 min
7/30/2026, 11:10:18 PM4 trades$100 min
8/2/2026, 4:32:24 PM2 trades$100 min
7/30/2026, 12:08:42 AM2 trades$100 min
7/31/2026, 2:14:53 AM5 trades$101 min
6/18/2025, 4:05:54 PM1 trades$100 min
6/22/2025, 8:50:52 AM1 trades$100 min
6/22/2025, 8:56:34 AM1 trades$100 min
7/19/2026, 2:50:28 AM3 trades$80 min
7/18/2026, 6:53:12 PM3 trades$70 min
7/20/2026, 11:04:30 PM2 trades$60 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-18
07-01
07-18
07-21
07-29
08-01
08-06

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
38.5% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.46/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L10.2 / M44.1 / H45.8