dropsblive

@dropsblive

#151,18491

0x277a8bcbd2bb281271f30282e2974904a39d86cf

~78d· 104 markets · 231 tradesVol: $27,916 @years202510172026-10-08 04:43:44
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

91
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

85% (84/99)20/20
21.43x (win $277 / loss $13)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 6.24015/15
Sortino 64.81810/10
$+0.0275 per $1 invested1.4/10
HHI 248 (99 markets)10/10
53/60 profitable days (88%)10/10
Max DD 4% of peak ($10 / $264)10/10

Badges

5
Sniper
Win rate 85%
Profitable
PnL $+257
Consistent
53/60 profitable days
Cool Head
Max DD 4%
Win Streak
16 wins in a row

Categories

8
🏛️ POLITICS#121,006$26Vol: $13,781
₿ CRYPTO#72,328$139Vol: $5,985
⚽ SPORTS#189,576$34Vol: $4,540
🌤️ WEATHER#10,092$51Vol: $2,121
🎭 CULTURE#126,101$2Vol: $513
💰 FINANCE#92,700$3Vol: $439
💻 TECH#39,620$2Vol: $194
📈 ECONOMICS#121,599$1Vol: $142

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$262
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$27,916
Total Redeem
$153
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
104
total markets
Trades
130B / 101S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~78d

Periods

#2
Week
$1
Vol: $0
Month
$7
Vol: $866
All Time
$262
Vol: $27,916

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
86%
84W / 14L events
Realized PnL
$257
Win Rate
86%
84W / 14L
Profit Factor
21.43x
Avg Win
$3
Avg Loss
$-2

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $157 (0.6119640844249232% of PnL)

Top Winners

Ethereum above $2,700 on February 14?$92
Will Cristiano Ronaldo be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$43
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?$22
Will Iran strike the United Kingdom by April 30, 2026?$13
Will Fedex (FDX) beat its quarterly EPS estimate?$9
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 in June?$8
Liverpool wins the Premier League?$8
Will no country replace Iran in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$8
Bitcoin all time high by March 31?$7
Will Trump pardon CZ by October 31?$6

Top Losers

Will NIKE (NKE) beat quarterly earnings?$-10
2024 Balance of Power: R Prez R Senate R House$-3

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.324
Sortino
0.990
HHI
216
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.027
Kelly %
71.4%
Half-Kelly
35.7%
Top-1 market
6.7%
Top-5 markets
21.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.3
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
21/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
12:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
37.7m
between trades
Night Trading
21%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.79
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.6

Bot Detection

#6
10
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 238s — normal for humanCV 0.79 — diverse sizes (human-like)21% night trades — unusual hours21/24 hours — extended activity0 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal35% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 12:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.37
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)2.3%
Mid (20-55c)0.8%
High (>55c)96.9%

Sessions

#12
5/13/2026, 12:22:02 PM12 trades$8139 min
11/9/2024, 2:40:01 PM3 trades$7002 min
5/13/2026, 12:38:27 PM8 trades$6232 min
6/10/2026, 8:30:52 AM8 trades$5245 min
11/9/2024, 2:30:05 PM2 trades$3804 min
5/4/2025, 12:24:35 PM2 trades$3613 min
5/3/2026, 2:51:32 PM4 trades$3112 min
5/4/2025, 10:00:41 AM2 trades$2991 min
5/4/2025, 10:19:53 AM1 trades$2980 min
5/4/2025, 9:03:44 AM2 trades$2974 min
6/26/2026, 2:45:11 AM6 trades$2811 min
10/17/2025, 12:12:11 PM3 trades$2785 min
2/16/2026, 9:07:47 AM3 trades$2613 min
2/15/2026, 7:46:19 AM1 trades$2610 min
6/28/2025, 9:16:35 PM1 trades$2570 min
3/20/2026, 10:28:13 AM3 trades$2522 min
4/4/2025, 9:16:21 AM4 trades$2391 min
10/28/2025, 2:34:47 AM2 trades$2093 min
9/21/2026, 12:40:05 PM2 trades$1990 min
6/26/2026, 3:22:04 AM2 trades$1960 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-09
02-20
05-11
09-18
12-10
03-20

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 11 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
43.7% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.37/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L2.3 / M0.8 / H96.9