@dublyash2
#16,680630xb94c9e108b961b632fa617fca3731801b4834c0c
~16d· 14 markets · 429 tradesVol: $65,0832026-08-04 18:17:36
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
63
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
36% (5/14)2.9/20
6.67x (win $22,131 / loss $3,316)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 6.07915/15
Sortino 66.48810/10
$+1.0875 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 2699 (14 markets)0/10
2/8 profitable days (25%)0/10
Max DD 14% of peak ($3,131 / $21,946)10/10
Badges
3Profitable
PnL $+8,610
Contrarian
75% entries < $0.55
Cool Head
Max DD 14%
Categories
3💻 TECH#230$8,962Vol: $57,867
💰 FINANCE#646,448$-317Vol: $7,052
⚽ SPORTS#1,544,017$-35Vol: $163
Overview
#1Net PnL
$8,610
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$65,083
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
14
total markets
Trades
170B / 259S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~16d
Periods
#2Month
$-19
Vol: $0
All Time
$8,610
Vol: $65,083
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
36%
5W / 9L events
Realized PnL
$8,610
Win Rate
36%
5W / 9L
Profit Factor
6.67x
Avg Win
$4,426
Avg Loss
$-474
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $21,911 (2.5447429241722124% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?$16,153
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?$5,369
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?$390
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?$217
Will Claude Mythos be released on or prior to June 9?$4
Top Losers
GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?$-1,660
GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?$-810
Gemini 4.0 released by July 31, 2026?$-391
Will GPT-6 be released by July 31, 2026? $-270
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?$-114
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?$-60
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?$-11
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.298
Sortino
3.798
HHI
2807
Concentrated
EV per $1
$1.085
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
37.7%
Top-5 markets
94.6%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
10.0
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.3
Active Hours
20/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
5.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.5h
between trades
Night Trading
12%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.40
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
7.4
Bot Detection
#65
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 299s — normal for humanCV 1.40 — diverse sizes (human-like)12% night trades — normal pattern20/24 hours — extended activity10 trades/day — normal0.3 markets/day — normal40% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 15:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
31.14
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)23.5%
Mid (20-55c)51.2%
High (>55c)25.3%
Sessions
#126/7/2026, 1:52:16 PM20 trades$3,60112 min
7/18/2026, 3:26:30 AM19 trades$3,1522 min
6/7/2026, 3:09:00 PM23 trades$2,8263 min
6/9/2026, 3:43:33 PM36 trades$2,3007 min
6/9/2026, 3:04:57 PM21 trades$2,1489 min
6/6/2026, 8:59:39 AM27 trades$2,0897 min
6/7/2026, 11:30:55 AM18 trades$2,0221 min
6/6/2026, 5:07:30 PM11 trades$1,6540 min
6/8/2026, 10:24:40 AM5 trades$1,6280 min
6/7/2026, 5:25:27 AM10 trades$1,5600 min
6/7/2026, 5:46:55 PM17 trades$1,2375 min
6/8/2026, 4:34:01 PM12 trades$9830 min
6/27/2026, 2:42:16 PM9 trades$9225 min
7/18/2026, 3:49:39 AM8 trades$9180 min
6/8/2026, 6:57:24 AM6 trades$9011 min
6/21/2026, 1:44:41 PM14 trades$8880 min
6/7/2026, 6:02:21 AM9 trades$8450 min
6/6/2026, 4:44:10 PM4 trades$5950 min
6/28/2026, 4:36:17 AM3 trades$4890 min
6/7/2026, 1:36:42 PM6 trades$4499 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-09
06-13
06-21
06-27
06-28
06-29
07-01
07-18
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 21 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
60.4% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 31.14/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L23.5 / M51.2 / H25.3