@dumber

#3,059,69915

0x3e7c4ba03347d27c2e4803ccc16ce08193b2596c

~230d· 492 markets · 4249 tradesVol: $1,189,6192026-08-02 08:49:42
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

15
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

35% (166/475)2.5/20
0.85x (win $56,339 / loss $66,270)0.6/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.7740/15
Sortino -1.0270/10
$-0.0638 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 139 (475 markets)10/10
60/163 profitable days (37%)1.7/10
Max DD 367% of peak ($22,096 / $6,027)0/10

Badges

3
Lottery Player
57% entries < $0.20
Whale
$155,670 invested
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

9
⚽ SPORTS#1,841,621$-1,445Vol: $329,480
🎭 CULTURE#818,283$-22,525Vol: $322,466
🏛️ POLITICS#8,598$3,164Vol: $155,501
💰 FINANCE#787$6,935Vol: $119,629
📈 ECONOMICS#678,966$-1,316Vol: $51,431
💻 TECH#349$5,516Vol: $28,122
₿ CRYPTO#1,599,616$-660Vol: $23,887
🌤️ WEATHER#274,454$-46Vol: $521
📢 MENTIONS#166,396$-137Vol: $338

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-13,834
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,189,619
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
492
total markets
Trades
2536B / 1713S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~230d

Periods

#2
Today
$-14
Vol: $0
Week
$1,168
Vol: $0
Month
$-22
Vol: $361
All Time
$-13,834
Vol: $1,189,619

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
35%
166W / 309L events
Realized PnL
$-13,806
Win Rate
35%
166W / 309L
Profit Factor
0.85x
Avg Win
$339
Avg Loss
$-227

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $18,218 (1.3195537273529958% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Roland Garros Men's Singles?$9,842
U.S. fertility rate up in Q2 2025?$4,985
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?$3,391
Will MrBeast raise $40M for clean water by August 31?$2,141
Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 45 million views on day 1?$1,660
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?$1,640
US x Venezuela military engagement by January 31, 2026?$1,588
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1,265
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14?$1,203
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30–35 million views on day 1?$1,074

Top Losers

Lord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert?$-10,840
Will MrBeast's next video get between 25–30 million views on day 1?$-7,005
Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?$-3,834
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?$-2,695
Will the Powerball jackpot hit $2 billion by September 14?$-1,648
Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by September 30?$-1,187
Will Paraguay advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-1,169
Will Cape Verde advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-1,017
Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 45 million views on day 1?$-995
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 25 million views on day 1?$-964

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.040
Sortino
-0.045
HHI
172
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.067
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
7.5%
Top-5 markets
23.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
5.6
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.6
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
22:00 UTC
Median Gap
5.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.3h
between trades
Night Trading
42%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.53
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
4 min
Avg Trades / Session
10.5

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 318s — normal for humanCV 2.53 — diverse sizes (human-like)42% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock6 trades/day — normal0.6 markets/day — normal50% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 22:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
8.13
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)57%
Mid (20-55c)23.9%
High (>55c)19.1%

Sessions

#12
5/30/2026, 12:39:53 AM30 trades$6,6481 min
6/23/2026, 12:31:04 AM58 trades$4,4754 min
10/23/2025, 10:07:01 PM8 trades$4,40810 min
7/12/2026, 1:51:55 AM13 trades$3,9072 min
9/18/2025, 5:52:50 AM4 trades$3,8197 min
9/28/2025, 1:42:53 PM3 trades$3,5101 min
5/29/2026, 3:48:17 AM5 trades$3,2500 min
12/7/2025, 8:14:51 AM9 trades$3,01117 min
10/22/2025, 2:26:19 PM1 trades$2,9910 min
10/25/2025, 8:02:15 AM2 trades$2,9762 min
6/15/2026, 1:40:45 AM15 trades$2,7824 min
9/18/2025, 5:42:20 AM4 trades$2,6523 min
10/11/2025, 8:08:44 PM2 trades$2,6021 min
6/5/2026, 3:39:28 PM29 trades$2,5715 min
9/20/2025, 7:03:12 AM4 trades$2,4842 min
7/16/2026, 12:56:16 AM9 trades$2,4650 min
8/30/2025, 2:14:15 AM4 trades$2,2724 min
10/11/2025, 7:26:48 PM2 trades$2,1941 min
7/10/2026, 9:28:19 PM14 trades$2,1562 min
7/27/2026, 4:07:55 AM19 trades$2,1044 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
07-05
10-07
08-29
10-09
12-27
06-07
07-27

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 280 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
40.3% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 8.13/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L57 / M23.9 / H19.1