@eaglioneth

#3,092,3199

0xdbea4447e3b3d514ddfc449efb4c05d14add19f4

~108d· 117 markets · 570 tradesVol: $205,785 @eaglioneth2026-10-06 04:25:22
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

9
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

28% (31/112)0/20
0.23x (win $632 / loss $2,768)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -6.0370/15
Sortino -6.0020/10
$-0.1528 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 751 (112 markets)8.7/10
17/63 profitable days (27%)0/10
Max DD 10249% of peak ($2,157 / $21)0/10

Badges

2
Lottery Player
54% entries < $0.20
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

5
🏛️ POLITICS#1,631,678$-1,097Vol: $156,480
🎭 CULTURE#818,482$-758Vol: $35,974
₿ CRYPTO#1,460,386$-74Vol: $10,262
⚽ SPORTS#1,323,223$-8Vol: $2,174
📈 ECONOMICS#429,297$-0Vol: $894

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-1,938
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$205,785
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
117
total markets
Trades
270B / 300S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~108d

Periods

#2
Week
$-0
Vol: $0
Month
$-3
Vol: $612
All Time
$-1,938
Vol: $205,785

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
28%
31W / 81L events
Realized PnL
$-1,954
Win Rate
28%
31W / 81L
Profit Factor
0.23x
Avg Win
$20
Avg Loss
$-35

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $388 (0.19879101811425443% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Biden pardon Adam Schiff?$203
US forces enter Iran by March 31?$147
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw?$38
Nasrallah remains Hezbollah leader through Oct 31?$33
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?$31
Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?$31
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$19
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$16
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 1 Morocco?$13
Canadiens vs. Capitals$13

Top Losers

US military action against Iran before July?$-676
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$-239
Iran leadership change by June 30?$-130
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran before August?$-114
Israel military action against Yemen before November?$-102
US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?$-98
Will Biden pardon Hillary?$-90
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by October 31?$-74
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?$-73
Will Biden pardon SBF?$-70

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.314
Sortino
-0.297
HHI
906
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.154
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
27.2%
Top-5 markets
44.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.7
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
21:00 UTC
Median Gap
7.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.7h
between trades
Night Trading
16%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.11
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.0

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 424s — normal for humanCV 2.11 — diverse sizes (human-like)16% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock1 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal16% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 21:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.66
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)53.7%
Mid (20-55c)24.1%
High (>55c)22.2%

Sessions

#12
6/13/2025, 1:43:29 AM2 trades$1,9541 min
6/3/2026, 11:21:51 PM2 trades$1,2630 min
6/13/2025, 1:20:39 AM1 trades$1,0020 min
6/13/2025, 7:05:25 AM2 trades$9492 min
6/13/2025, 5:58:07 PM2 trades$7330 min
6/9/2026, 12:49:39 PM12 trades$7120 min
6/13/2025, 6:25:39 PM2 trades$6603 min
6/7/2026, 6:57:19 PM4 trades$6370 min
6/13/2025, 2:17:15 AM1 trades$5500 min
6/16/2025, 3:29:16 AM5 trades$5422 min
9/28/2024, 11:26:26 PM4 trades$4657 min
6/14/2025, 10:14:31 PM2 trades$4581 min
6/15/2025, 4:15:11 PM2 trades$4381 min
6/14/2025, 10:45:33 PM2 trades$4381 min
5/7/2026, 9:43:43 PM3 trades$4370 min
6/13/2025, 1:05:39 PM1 trades$4280 min
6/18/2025, 11:55:18 AM3 trades$4261 min
6/13/2025, 3:14:03 PM1 trades$3980 min
6/13/2025, 2:14:05 PM2 trades$3981 min
4/16/2025, 8:39:37 PM2 trades$3631 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
07-20
12-02
04-21
06-18
10-29
05-24
06-22

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 695 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
52.6% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.66/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L53.7 / M24.1 / H22.2