@easypredict

#43069

0x388537259dc9e693c1c9b96fdf07a63f6b7aca77

~328d· 2799 markets · 80476 tradesVol: $37,400,9522026-08-23 11:04:29
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

69
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

56% (1579/2796)13.2/20
1.23x (win $2,307,967 / loss $1,878,376)5.4/15
Annualised Sharpe 2.27015/15
Sortino 3.34110/10
$+0.0237 per $1 invested1.2/10
HHI 19 (2796 markets)10/10
169/297 profitable days (57%)6.7/10
Max DD 31% of peak ($134,470 / $429,592)7.7/10

Badges

7
Profitable
PnL $+482,672
Contrarian
51% entries < $0.55
DCA Master
Avg 28.8 entries/market
Whale
$18,095,658 invested
High Roller
$36,705/day
Win Streak
16 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

2
CRYPTO#45$484,198Vol: $37,133,889
SPORTS#305,206$8Vol: $267,063

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$484,205
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$37,400,952
Total Redeem
$339,974
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
2799
total markets
Trades
72049B / 8427S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~328d

Periods

#2
Today
$677
Vol: $3,726
Week
$-14,780
Vol: $3,726
Month
$4,717
Vol: $584,421
All Time
$484,205
Vol: $37,400,952

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
56%
1579W / 1217L events
Realized PnL
$482,672
Win Rate
56%
1579W / 1217L
Profit Factor
1.23x
Avg Win
$1,462
Avg Loss
$-1,554

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $107,572 (0.22286855279846252% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 27?$43,023
Warriors vs. Nuggets$34,889
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 6?$29,660
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on December 21?$28,852
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on December 8?$27,049
Bitcoin Up or Down on December 15?$26,134
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 28?$23,647
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 26?$23,402
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $112,000 on October 29?$23,177
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on February 3?$21,891

Top Losers

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $102,000 on November 5?$-50,291
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on December 17?$-47,170
76ers vs. Heat$-34,881
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on February 2?$-34,842
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on January 31?$-34,186
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on December 15?$-30,331
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 16?$-29,564
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 25?$-24,380
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on December 25?$-23,095
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 16?$-22,012

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.119
Sortino
0.147
HHI
19
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.024
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
0.9%
Top-5 markets
3.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
163.2
Very active
Markets / Day
5.7
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
7.4m
between trades
Night Trading
21%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.94
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
33 min
Avg Trades / Session
74.7

Bot Detection

#6
50
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 88s — normal for humanCV 3.94 — diverse sizes (human-like)21% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock163 trades/day — automation5.7 markets/day — normal62% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 14:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
28.77
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)19.9%
Mid (20-55c)30.9%
High (>55c)49.2%

Sessions

#12
3/30/2026, 12:47:44 AM1 trades$170,3420 min
10/10/2025, 7:07:14 PM120 trades$90,85714 min
11/12/2025, 7:02:22 PM79 trades$87,54632 min
8/24/2025, 7:34:43 PM62 trades$72,8478 min
9/5/2025, 12:03:34 PM130 trades$71,22641 min
3/23/2026, 10:56:37 AM282 trades$67,68042 min
1/30/2026, 1:37:18 AM396 trades$59,273108 min
12/15/2025, 9:40:19 AM236 trades$55,773174 min
11/5/2025, 1:12:19 AM38 trades$55,34642 min
12/26/2025, 3:35:49 PM53 trades$55,22030 min
4/27/2026, 11:36:32 AM22 trades$52,8781 min
11/12/2025, 5:37:12 PM27 trades$51,5304 min
8/27/2025, 8:03:33 PM61 trades$50,45921 min
11/17/2025, 12:17:59 AM127 trades$48,53053 min
8/24/2025, 5:11:21 PM54 trades$46,67541 min
9/11/2025, 11:48:03 AM22 trades$46,62117 min
5/10/2026, 10:43:51 PM13 trades$46,3752 min
10/10/2025, 6:38:36 PM52 trades$45,76018 min
11/16/2025, 5:58:03 PM81 trades$44,24626 min
1/31/2026, 2:05:20 PM240 trades$43,97091 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
08-23
10-11
11-29
01-17
03-07
05-08
07-27

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 17 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
10.5% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 28.77/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L19.9 / M30.9 / H49.2