@eightball.mood

#3,137,52041

0xe26cb7625eefb1f9625810d6a4c9096ca8cd48f5

~82d· 2068 markets · 5371 tradesVol: $305,3052026-10-08 02:53:46
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

41
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

83% (1715/2057)20/20
0.88x (win $6,517 / loss $7,431)1/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.0150/15
Sortino -1.2030/10
$-0.0166 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 470 (2057 markets)10/10
54/74 profitable days (73%)10/10
Max DD 1141% of peak ($2,353 / $206)0/10

Badges

5
Sniper
Win rate 83%
Whale
$55,034 invested
Consistent
54/74 profitable days
Win Streak
32 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#1,636,129$-1,344Vol: $144,280
₿ CRYPTO#1,635,640$-476Vol: $52,030
💰 FINANCE#661,786$-595Vol: $29,709
⚽ SPORTS#1,785,173$-205Vol: $25,571
🎭 CULTURE#813,291$-392Vol: $19,130
🌤️ WEATHER#265,814$-24Vol: $16,503
📈 ECONOMICS#676,682$-114Vol: $7,885
💻 TECH#261,187$-68Vol: $6,836
📢 MENTIONS#95,415$-2Vol: $200

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-3,515
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$305,305
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
2068
total markets
Trades
2594B / 2777S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~82d

Periods

#2
Today
$-40
Vol: $4,203
Week
$-385
Vol: $45,564
Month
$-1,411
Vol: $145,319
All Time
$-3,515
Vol: $305,305

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
83%
1715W / 342L events
Realized PnL
$-1,013
Win Rate
83%
1715W / 342L
Profit Factor
0.88x
Avg Win
$4
Avg Loss
$-41

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,388 (1.369831508918084% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$946
Will any AI model reach 1550 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?$360
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET$82
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 in May?$68
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $580 in May?$54
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET$49

Top Losers

Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?$-1,603
Will voter turnout be less than 85% in the 2026 Maltese general election?$-381
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?$-187
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,550 in May?$-176
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?$-151
Counter-Strike: K27 vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage$-110
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET$-50
XRP Up or Down - May 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET$-50
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET$-50
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET$-50

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.053
Sortino
-0.034
HHI
251
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.019
Kelly %
8.6%
Half-Kelly
4.3%
Top-1 market
13.7%
Top-5 markets
25.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
49.3
Active
Markets / Day
19.0
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
13:00 UTC
Median Gap
10.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
39.7m
between trades
Night Trading
19%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.83
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
5 min
Avg Trades / Session
11.1

Bot Detection

#6
45
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
MEDIUM
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
HIGH
Median gap 598s — normal for humanCV 3.83 — diverse sizes (human-like)19% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock49 trades/day — high frequency19 markets/day — mass coverage48% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 13:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.59
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0.5%
Mid (20-55c)2.4%
High (>55c)97%

Sessions

#12
6/24/2026, 10:54:56 AM38 trades$7,1014 min
6/22/2026, 6:30:37 PM13 trades$3,4510 min
5/20/2026, 6:35:38 PM50 trades$2,6924 min
5/23/2026, 3:51:46 PM5 trades$2,1252 min
5/7/2026, 7:08:58 PM34 trades$2,0815 min
7/25/2026, 3:24:39 PM13 trades$1,4892 min
6/10/2026, 2:33:33 AM12 trades$1,1754 min
5/23/2026, 8:13:18 PM11 trades$1,1582 min
6/6/2026, 12:57:34 AM17 trades$1,0616 min
5/10/2026, 9:14:23 PM23 trades$1,04119 min
5/27/2026, 4:43:59 PM6 trades$8210 min
5/7/2026, 12:52:04 PM10 trades$7402 min
5/8/2026, 4:31:56 AM6 trades$5761 min
5/8/2026, 6:03:47 AM20 trades$4600 min
7/13/2026, 8:33:16 AM4 trades$4340 min
5/7/2026, 1:11:56 PM11 trades$3671 min
6/2/2026, 9:06:37 PM4 trades$3400 min
8/15/2026, 12:39:07 AM5 trades$3380 min
5/10/2026, 6:10:48 AM12 trades$3223 min
5/13/2026, 5:33:07 PM2 trades$3090 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-29
05-11
06-06
06-18
06-30
07-14
08-11

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 7 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
51.7% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.59/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L0.5 / M2.4 / H97