eletiongate

@eletiongate

#144,46972

0x0823a1ce340834e97b8283fbe8da68ac9162a970

~106d· 197 markets · 575 tradesVol: $57,494 @eletiongat82922026-10-08 04:46:54
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

72
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

85% (157/185)20/20
1.32x (win $1,025 / loss $776)6.5/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.83715/15
Sortino 1.28910/10
$+0.0097 per $1 invested0.5/10
HHI 246 (185 markets)10/10
67/83 profitable days (81%)10/10
Max DD 152% of peak ($379 / $249)0/10

Badges

5
Sniper
Win rate 85%
Profitable
PnL $+293
Consistent
67/83 profitable days
Win Streak
34 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
22/24 hours active

Categories

8
🏛️ POLITICS#1,419,388$-27Vol: $23,519
🌤️ WEATHER#247,487$-11Vol: $19,120
₿ CRYPTO#69,121$154Vol: $7,828
⚽ SPORTS#99,356$149Vol: $3,170
💰 FINANCE#40,683$20Vol: $2,291
📈 ECONOMICS#559,669$-4Vol: $863
💻 TECH#23,098$7Vol: $629
📢 MENTIONS#40,263$1Vol: $21

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$290
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$57,494
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
197
total markets
Trades
325B / 250S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~106d

Periods

#2
Week
$5
Vol: $0
Month
$19
Vol: $313
All Time
$290
Vol: $57,494

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
85%
157W / 28L events
Realized PnL
$293
Win Rate
85%
157W / 28L
Profit Factor
1.32x
Avg Win
$7
Avg Loss
$-43

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $681 (2.326932276361648% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 20?$429
Will Ethereum hit $3000 by Friday?$133
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on April 29?$119
Will Iran Play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$38
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on April 26?$31
Will Spain be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?$26
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by July 31?$16
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C or higher on April 27?$14
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 21°C on April 24?$13
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$11

Top Losers

Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,400 on October 5?$-366
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 22°C on April 24?$-150
Solana above $190 on January 17?$-77
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on May 1?$-67
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$-30
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$-30
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C or higher on May 6?$-21
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?$-15
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$-10
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?$-5

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.043
Sortino
0.030
HHI
164
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.010
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
8%
Top-5 markets
18.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.9
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.3
Active Hours
22/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
3:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.4h
between trades
Night Trading
42%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.35
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.8

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 196s — normal for humanCV 1.35 — diverse sizes (human-like)42% night trades — never sleeps22/24 hours — around the clock1 trades/day — normal0.3 markets/day — normal42% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 3:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.01
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)4.9%
Mid (20-55c)12.3%
High (>55c)82.8%

Sessions

#12
6/14/2026, 3:40:52 AM2 trades$2,1600 min
5/7/2026, 3:18:38 AM17 trades$1,7448 min
6/25/2026, 8:55:17 AM4 trades$1,3403 min
5/5/2026, 1:37:06 PM4 trades$1,1381 min
2/21/2026, 3:33:10 AM3 trades$9002 min
10/30/2024, 8:59:20 AM10 trades$8679 min
6/14/2026, 3:48:00 AM18 trades$85711 min
4/25/2026, 10:41:48 PM12 trades$8041 min
5/9/2026, 3:31:18 AM7 trades$6751 min
4/24/2026, 6:44:44 AM21 trades$57511 min
4/30/2026, 1:54:34 PM10 trades$49014 min
4/30/2026, 2:14:26 PM8 trades$4691 min
8/24/2026, 7:03:30 AM3 trades$4660 min
2/23/2026, 12:47:10 PM8 trades$44212 min
11/2/2024, 4:42:08 AM2 trades$4221 min
4/29/2026, 2:26:00 AM3 trades$4182 min
11/3/2024, 2:35:02 AM7 trades$4125 min
7/13/2026, 7:58:04 AM7 trades$4064 min
9/22/2025, 3:17:26 AM2 trades$4003 min
4/27/2026, 6:19:02 AM4 trades$3920 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-30
03-03
05-13
09-02
01-06
04-17
06-23

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 209 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
40% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
43.5% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.01/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L4.9 / M12.3 / H82.8