@elidaryon

#2,738,5268

0x999df71b56167f936c616d01f2ca1803fdaa3173

~11d· 19 markets · 60 tradesVol: $5,9712026-09-28 08:32:58
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

8
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

17% (3/18)0/20
0.57x (win $199 / loss $350)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -5.0180/15
Sortino -5.2810/10
$-0.3854 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1244 (18 markets)6.3/10
3/8 profitable days (38%)1.9/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($190 / $0)0/10

Badges

1
Lottery Player
81% entries < $0.20

Categories

5
🏛️ POLITICS#1,587,298$-292Vol: $4,972
📈 ECONOMICS#16,135$62Vol: $610
💰 FINANCE#23,192$63Vol: $229
⚽ SPORTS#1,282,971$-7Vol: $89
₿ CRYPTO#867,690$-1Vol: $70

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-176
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$5,971
Total Redeem
$100
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
19
total markets
Trades
48B / 12S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~11d

Periods

#2
Month
$-0
Vol: $50
All Time
$-176
Vol: $5,971

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
17%
3W / 15L events
Realized PnL
$-175
Win Rate
17%
3W / 15L
Profit Factor
0.57x
Avg Win
$66
Avg Loss
$-27

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $199 (1.1391319265740263% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of June?$82
Will inflation reach more than 3% in 2026?$66
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,400 by end of June?$51

Top Losers

US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$-166
Will Sarah Knafo win the Paris mayor election?$-62
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?$-28
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?$-22
Will Israel annex any territory by June 30?$-21
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15?$-15
Will the US next strike Iran during the week of March 1-7, 2026 (ET)?$-11
Odds of Khamenei being out as Supreme Leader by March 31 over 30% in February?$-7
Iran removed from FIFA World Cup by April 30?$-6
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by March 31, 2026?$-5

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.246
Sortino
-0.266
HHI
2268
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.372
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
42.4%
Top-5 markets
79.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.3
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
15/24
Extended
Peak Hour
9:00 UTC
Median Gap
6.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
36.4m
between trades
Night Trading
0%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.95
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
28
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.1

Bot Detection

#6
0
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 366s — normal for humanCV 2.95 — diverse sizes (human-like)0% night trades — normal pattern15/24 hours — normal schedule0 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal63% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 9:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.06
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)81.2%
Mid (20-55c)14.6%
High (>55c)4.2%

Sessions

#12
2/24/2026, 11:43:32 PM1 trades$1660 min
5/29/2026, 5:46:53 PM10 trades$1486 min
4/21/2026, 9:11:24 AM14 trades$12716 min
5/12/2026, 12:08:46 PM2 trades$1000 min
9/2/2026, 2:40:34 PM3 trades$500 min
2/17/2026, 4:25:03 PM1 trades$400 min
2/24/2026, 11:49:38 PM5 trades$283 min
6/15/2026, 10:00:24 PM2 trades$200 min
3/2/2026, 6:49:33 PM1 trades$180 min
3/2/2026, 10:05:53 AM2 trades$163 min
2/17/2026, 3:17:21 PM1 trades$100 min
3/4/2026, 10:13:51 PM1 trades$100 min
3/2/2026, 10:14:37 AM1 trades$90 min
2/27/2026, 11:05:39 AM1 trades$70 min
3/2/2026, 3:51:51 PM1 trades$50 min
4/21/2026, 5:04:56 PM1 trades$40 min
3/6/2026, 7:29:31 PM1 trades$10 min
3/2/2026, 4:43:53 PM1 trades$10 min
4/21/2026, 1:15:36 PM1 trades$10 min
3/6/2026, 9:31:31 PM2 trades$01 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-24
02-27
03-02
03-06
04-21
05-12
05-29
06-15

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
20% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.06/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L81.2 / M14.6 / H4.2