@ellio8989

#4,37349

0xaca23974e2b8131efbafaa1fe03ea9595ea0b9a1

~448d· 1667 markets · 19866 tradesVol: $11,151,6182026-08-23 11:05:54
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

49
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

40% (664/1666)4.9/20
1.11x (win $1,795,877 / loss $1,623,362)3.8/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.90615/15
Sortino 1.40310/10
$+0.0569 per $1 invested2.8/10
HHI 20 (1666 markets)10/10
144/375 profitable days (38%)2.1/10
Max DD 72% of peak ($240,875 / $336,365)0/10

Badges

7
Profitable
PnL $+51,376
Lottery Player
39% entries < $0.20
Whale
$3,030,388 invested
High Roller
$4,698/day
Win Streak
6 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
79% maker orders

Categories

8
SPORTS#1,896,389$-35,678Vol: $7,187,638
🎭 CULTURE#77$84,412Vol: $3,560,214
CRYPTO#1,692,228$-7,152Vol: $203,878
📢 MENTIONS#178,170$-1,363Vol: $78,245
🏛️ POLITICS#1,498,027$-68Vol: $41,842
💻 TECH#1,458$986Vol: $17,935
📈 ECONOMICS#17,349$56Vol: $3,076
💰 FINANCE#64,138$7Vol: $228

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$40,698
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$11,151,618
Total Redeem
$426,175
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
1667
total markets
Trades
16603B / 3263S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~448d

Periods

#2
Today
$-183
Vol: $500
Week
$-9,397
Vol: $500
Month
$-12,150
Vol: $277,154
All Time
$40,698
Vol: $11,151,618

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
40%
664W / 1002L events
Realized PnL
$51,376
Win Rate
40%
664W / 1002L
Profit Factor
1.11x
Avg Win
$2,705
Avg Loss
$-1,623

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $70,181 (1.3660418946448056% of PnL)

Top Winners

Spread: Tennessee Volunteers (-11.5)$25,439
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 2 to February 4, 2026?$24,742
Spurs vs. Grizzlies: O/U 234.5$20,000
Pistons vs. Cavaliers$18,207
Wizards vs. Nets$17,757
Spread: Alabama Crimson Tide (-1.5)$17,202
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?$15,441
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-05-19?$14,386
Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Missouri Tigers$14,167
Spread: Miami (OH) RedHawks (-9.5)$13,888

Top Losers

Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$-24,013
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-9.5)$-21,111
Capitals vs. Devils$-20,000
Michigan State Spartans vs. Connecticut Huskies$-19,270
Flyers vs. Islanders$-17,700
Pacers vs. Spurs: O/U 234.5$-16,537
Spread: Texas Tech Red Raiders (-7.5)$-15,594
Wild vs. Lightning$-13,605
Capitals vs. Blues$-13,002
76ers vs. Celtics$-12,600

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.047
Sortino
0.062
HHI
19
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.057
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
0.8%
Top-5 markets
3.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
30.8
Active
Markets / Day
2.6
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
52s
between trades
Avg Gap
33.2m
between trades
Night Trading
23%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.68
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
9 min
Avg Trades / Session
20.6

Bot Detection

#6
40
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 52s — normal for humanCV 3.68 — diverse sizes (human-like)23% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock31 trades/day — high frequency2.6 markets/day — normal79% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 14:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
11.95
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)39%
Mid (20-55c)56.3%
High (>55c)4.7%

Sessions

#12
4/5/2026, 11:27:19 PM44 trades$35,7879 min
3/26/2026, 10:58:49 PM5 trades$22,9645 min
3/25/2026, 1:30:49 AM34 trades$21,74113 min
3/28/2026, 11:16:02 PM2 trades$20,9074 min
2/12/2026, 2:53:21 AM6 trades$20,2063 min
3/25/2026, 11:55:49 PM2 trades$20,0001 min
4/2/2026, 9:09:43 PM2 trades$20,0000 min
3/7/2026, 9:14:41 PM58 trades$19,74010 min
3/20/2026, 12:00:03 AM75 trades$19,21117 min
3/24/2026, 6:12:09 PM3 trades$19,1002 min
3/29/2026, 1:27:44 AM11 trades$18,7177 min
4/29/2026, 12:35:26 AM70 trades$18,6139 min
2/7/2026, 10:32:29 PM5 trades$18,2847 min
3/21/2026, 5:07:59 PM3 trades$17,9751 min
3/20/2026, 10:07:57 AM47 trades$16,95639 min
5/18/2026, 6:54:49 PM12 trades$16,8670 min
3/21/2026, 11:52:29 PM1 trades$16,5370 min
3/25/2026, 2:36:39 AM14 trades$15,7924 min
4/3/2026, 10:55:05 PM5 trades$15,0000 min
3/22/2026, 12:09:53 AM43 trades$14,89510 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-05
04-06
09-05
11-25
02-07
04-10
08-06

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 46 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
16.4% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 11.95/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L39 / M56.3 / H4.7