ermakvm

@ermakvm

#158,47165

0x4da9773177b8e0bbc6cdc20b2bebcf951e4aad9e

~42d· 121 markets · 206 tradesVol: $11,146 @MaratErmak2026-09-10 21:15:33
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

65
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

60% (72/120)15/20
1.17x (win $1,205 / loss $1,031)4.6/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.14115/15
Sortino 1.47710/10
$+0.0510 per $1 invested2.6/10
HHI 414 (120 markets)10/10
24/38 profitable days (63%)8.3/10
Max DD 233% of peak ($552 / $237)0/10

Badges

4
Sniper
Win rate 60%
Profitable
PnL $+300
Consistent
24/38 profitable days
Win Streak
9 wins in a row

Categories

4
SPORTS#74,592$296Vol: $8,356
🏛️ POLITICS#1,452,209$-38Vol: $2,144
CRYPTO#1,214,597$-13Vol: $613
💰 FINANCE#167,959$0Vol: $4

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$261
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$11,146
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
121
total markets
Trades
139B / 67S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~42d

Periods

#2
Today
$-76
Vol: $285
Week
$-65
Vol: $364
Month
$-65
Vol: $364
All Time
$261
Vol: $11,146

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
60%
72W / 48L events
Realized PnL
$300
Win Rate
60%
72W / 48L
Profit Factor
1.17x
Avg Win
$17
Avg Loss
$-22

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $433 (1.446280715811966% of PnL)

Top Winners

RFK Akhmat Groznyi vs. FK Spartak Moskva: O/U 2.5$181
Will Barcelona win on 2025-09-18?$128
CD Riestra vs. CA Newell's Old Boys: O/U 1.5$124
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-17?$116
SSC Napoli vs. AS Roma: O/U 1.5$78
Lakers vs. Suns$65
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-10-02?$55
Real Madrid CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 2.5$50
Will Barcelona win on 2025-09-14?$38
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-03?$33

Top Losers

Will Manchester United win on 2025-09-20?$-199
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-27?$-164
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-09-20?$-99
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-16?$-75
Nationals vs. Braves$-52
Will AC Milan win on 2025-10-24?$-52
Suns vs. Lakers$-50
Will Manchester City win on 2025-10-01?$-44
California vs. Hawaii$-40
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?$-38

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.059
Sortino
0.058
HHI
305
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.053
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
8.7%
Top-5 markets
28.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.6
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.3
Active Hours
21/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
22:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.5h
between trades
Night Trading
4%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.64
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.0

Bot Detection

#6
5
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 264s — normal for humanCV 1.63 — diverse sizes (human-like)4% night trades — normal pattern21/24 hours — extended activity1 trades/day — normal0.3 markets/day — normal8% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 22:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.7
Single entry

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)4.3%
Mid (20-55c)32.4%
High (>55c)63.3%

Sessions

#12
8/2/2026, 7:54:39 PM6 trades$3870 min
2/17/2026, 9:18:21 PM1 trades$2850 min
2/16/2026, 11:49:59 PM1 trades$2730 min
2/15/2026, 9:56:15 PM2 trades$2042 min
9/20/2025, 4:10:24 PM1 trades$1990 min
2/16/2026, 9:57:43 PM2 trades$1984 min
8/2/2026, 5:16:59 PM4 trades$1940 min
2/17/2026, 9:05:43 PM1 trades$1690 min
2/27/2026, 7:39:23 PM1 trades$1640 min
9/10/2026, 2:45:34 PM3 trades$1560 min
2/14/2026, 8:39:17 PM1 trades$1510 min
2/14/2026, 10:12:07 PM1 trades$1510 min
9/14/2025, 8:55:54 PM1 trades$1370 min
1/3/2026, 10:19:21 PM26 trades$13123 min
1/3/2026, 6:36:27 PM2 trades$1300 min
10/21/2025, 6:30:07 PM1 trades$1170 min
10/3/2025, 12:04:07 AM1 trades$1040 min
2/14/2026, 5:13:21 PM1 trades$1020 min
9/14/2025, 6:25:00 PM1 trades$990 min
9/20/2025, 5:12:34 AM1 trades$990 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
09-08
09-20
10-24
12-22
12-31
02-15
04-11

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 106 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
32.5% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.7/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L4.3 / M32.4 / H63.3