@etherialEphera
#2,956,579830x12af89448130be54befd18dd40968e687dfa98ad
~35d· 56 markets · 231 tradesVol: $199,8392026-09-10 21:10:41
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
83
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
57% (23/40)13.7/20
10.51x (win $949 / loss $90)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 9.39815/15
Sortino 236.43910/10
$+0.3017 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 3225 (40 markets)0/10
8/12 profitable days (67%)9.2/10
Max DD 2% of peak ($17 / $858)10/10
Badges
3Consistent
8/12 profitable days
Cool Head
Max DD 2%
Win Streak
8 wins in a row
Categories
5🏛️ POLITICS#1,621,144$-707Vol: $198,950
⚽ SPORTS#1,639,898$-61Vol: $645
₿ CRYPTO#1,142,005$-9Vol: $173
🌤️ WEATHER#223,278$-3Vol: $52
📈 ECONOMICS#117,077$1Vol: $14
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-780
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$199,839
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
56
total markets
Trades
99B / 132S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~35d
Periods
#2Today
$-84
Vol: $0
Week
$-452
Vol: $3,013
Month
$-441
Vol: $3,013
All Time
$-780
Vol: $199,839
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
57%
23W / 17L events
Realized PnL
$-123
Win Rate
57%
23W / 17L
Profit Factor
10.51x
Avg Win
$41
Avg Loss
$-6
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $825 (6.7328057436566855% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$417
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$258
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?$150
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?$76
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?$8
Will Mirra Andreeva win the 2026 Women’s French Open?$8
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18?$6
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by June 30?$4
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-19?$4
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on May 20?$3
Top Losers
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-40
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?$-17
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET$-5
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?$-5
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?$-4
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-23?$-4
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?$-4
Will Qingdao Hainiu FC win on 2026-05-24?$-2
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET$-2
Will Chengdu Rongcheng FC win on 2026-05-19?$-2
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.471
Sortino
9.790
HHI
1284
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.424
Kelly %
25.7%
Half-Kelly
12.9%
Top-1 market
27.2%
Top-5 markets
62.5%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
1.3
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.3
Active Hours
17/24
Extended
Peak Hour
8:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.7h
between trades
Night Trading
1%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.08
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.4
Bot Detection
#60
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 68s — normal for humanCV 2.08 — diverse sizes (human-like)1% night trades — normal pattern17/24 hours — normal schedule1 trades/day — normal0.3 markets/day — normal31% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 8:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
3.95
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)21.2%
Mid (20-55c)21.2%
High (>55c)57.6%
Sessions
#128/17/2026, 3:05:58 PM10 trades$1,5460 min
4/12/2026, 6:41:55 PM2 trades$7730 min
8/13/2026, 8:54:43 AM15 trades$7433 min
4/21/2026, 10:46:48 PM3 trades$6230 min
4/21/2026, 10:54:26 PM3 trades$6140 min
5/5/2026, 10:08:44 AM5 trades$4610 min
8/15/2026, 4:14:25 PM17 trades$4170 min
5/15/2026, 8:00:42 AM4 trades$3430 min
4/23/2026, 6:25:10 PM2 trades$3300 min
4/26/2026, 4:51:18 AM2 trades$3221 min
4/12/2026, 11:02:13 AM4 trades$1990 min
4/12/2026, 11:25:39 AM6 trades$1951 min
2/16/2026, 6:33:39 PM8 trades$1469 min
5/11/2026, 9:24:37 PM12 trades$1300 min
5/19/2026, 2:53:36 PM6 trades$1300 min
2/24/2026, 4:28:22 PM6 trades$11414 min
6/20/2026, 11:12:49 AM4 trades$1032 min
4/26/2026, 6:46:00 AM7 trades$990 min
4/18/2026, 5:41:54 PM4 trades$701 min
3/15/2026, 7:28:51 PM1 trades$620 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-16
03-15
04-12
05-09
05-19
06-15
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 13 days (recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
57.1% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.95/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L21.2 / M21.2 / H57.6