Polydata
extractive-manatee

@extractive-manatee

#2,79661

0xf9f207b77137caa79c6c4516abdef3133db45cba

~378d· 2577 markets · 73664 tradesVol: $17,613,432 @ferrellcode2026-07-31 17:28:37
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

61
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

38% (944/2496)3.9/20
1.31x (win $227,445 / loss $174,167)6.3/15
Annualised Sharpe 2.06815/15
Sortino 3.81110/10
$+0.0599 per $1 invested3/10
HHI 71 (2496 markets)10/10
140/344 profitable days (41%)2.7/10
Max DD 21% of peak ($13,457 / $63,251)9.7/10

Badges

8
Profitable
PnL $+65,601
Lottery Player
88% entries < $0.20
Whale
$889,244 invested
High Roller
$1,594/day
Cool Head
Max DD 21%
Win Streak
8 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
95% maker orders

Categories

8
SPORTS#1,874,566$-9,380Vol: $11,352,705
🏛️ POLITICS#2,609$15,855Vol: $2,391,062
📈 ECONOMICS#445$15,541Vol: $1,902,964
💰 FINANCE#122$38,249Vol: $1,448,895
🎭 CULTURE#3,477$1,705Vol: $323,576
CRYPTO#33,029$859Vol: $29,646
💻 TECH#1,575$845Vol: $17,335
📢 MENTIONS#173,450$-585Vol: $6,809

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$65,569
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$17,613,432
Total Redeem
$21,585
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
2577
total markets
Trades
63135B / 10529S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~378d

Periods

#2
Today
$-228
Vol: $11,947
Week
$205
Vol: $162,338
Month
$785
Vol: $299,347
All Time
$65,569
Vol: $17,613,432

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
38%
942W / 1549L events
Realized PnL
$65,601
Win Rate
38%
942W / 1549L
Profit Factor
1.31x
Avg Win
$241
Avg Loss
$-113

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $17,455 (0.26607152166695475% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 World Series?$7,651
Will Amazon (AMZN) beat quarterly earnings?$5,232
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?$4,572
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?$3,684
Will Coursera (COUR) beat quarterly earnings?$3,336
Will American Express (AXP) beat quarterly earnings?$3,098
Will TPG (TPG) beat quarterly earnings?$3,044
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-17?$2,881
Will Strategy (MSTR) beat quarterly earnings?$2,855
Bucks vs. Pacers$2,677

Top Losers

Will DICK'S Sporting Goods (DKS) beat quarterly earnings?$-6,796
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?$-6,031
Will the Carolina Panthers win the NFC South?$-4,730
Steelers vs. Browns$-2,630
Will the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026?$-2,426
Will Alphabet (GOOGL) beat quarterly earnings?$-2,327
Will Sweetgreen (SG) beat quarterly earnings?$-2,256
Will Rivian Automotive (RIVN) beat quarterly earnings?$-1,925
U.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by December 31?$-1,898
Will TKO Group Holdings (TKO) beat quarterly earnings?$-1,740

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.108
Sortino
0.172
HHI
82
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.064
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
6.3%
Top-5 markets
14.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
132.0
Very active
Markets / Day
4.6
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
21:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
10.6m
between trades
Night Trading
28%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
10.60
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
18 min
Avg Trades / Session
66.7

Bot Detection

#6
75
BOT (automated trading)HIGH probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 72s — normal for humanCV 10.60 — diverse sizes (human-like)28% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock132 trades/day — automation4.6 markets/day — normal95% maker — systematic market making

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 21:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
28.78
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)87.7%
Mid (20-55c)7.1%
High (>55c)5.2%

Sessions

#12
11/13/2025, 5:00:34 AM26 trades$22,91216 min
12/21/2025, 2:35:39 AM6 trades$13,39410 min
1/16/2026, 7:52:02 AM9 trades$10,9201 min
2/5/2026, 12:24:45 AM3 trades$10,0565 min
2/3/2026, 12:33:04 AM1 trades$9,9800 min
2/10/2026, 3:46:41 AM23 trades$9,97023 min
2/5/2026, 12:19:31 AM1 trades$9,8100 min
2/6/2026, 5:24:11 PM1 trades$9,6900 min
10/30/2025, 2:41:11 AM28 trades$9,32227 min
7/30/2026, 5:36:18 AM46 trades$8,9743 min
3/1/2026, 11:58:17 PM68 trades$8,85132 min
2/1/2026, 12:54:58 AM1 trades$7,9780 min
10/20/2025, 1:12:05 AM1 trades$7,9310 min
1/27/2026, 7:50:05 AM3 trades$7,8753 min
3/14/2026, 9:44:29 PM3 trades$7,5442 min
10/19/2025, 10:58:48 PM186 trades$7,15860 min
1/6/2026, 5:25:17 PM5 trades$7,1204 min
12/11/2025, 1:19:15 AM100 trades$6,93366 min
12/4/2025, 4:24:13 PM5 trades$6,9111 min
1/13/2026, 8:58:30 PM11 trades$6,52723 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-20
04-04
10-16
12-16
02-13
04-21
07-30
07-31

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 16 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
14.3% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 28.78/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L87.7 / M7.1 / H5.2