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@f46b08c6

#34,26335

0xf46b08c6312aba0ac8dfcb24b692e4e35d3ec51d

~127d· 9160 markets · 2567 tradesVol: $1,289,3282026-06-06T01:47
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

35
Below Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 89%20/20
Profit Factor 0.69x0/15
HHI 1610/10
Profit Days 52%5/10

Summary

Trader f46b08c6 is moderately active on Polymarket, with 2,567 trades across 1,313 markets over 127 days. They hold a net profit of $3,029.74 and rank #34,263 globally on the PnL leaderboard. Despite a substantial total volume of over $1.28 million, their portfolio value currently stands at $979.56, reflecting ongoing trading activity rather than a large cash reserve.

f46b08c6 exhibits a contrarian and sniper-style approach, focusing on a wide range of markets with no specific preference for weather-related events. Their win rate of 66.4% indicates consistent success, but a profit factor below 1 (0.69) and a negative Sharpe ratio (-0.18) suggest riskier trades and volatility in returns. The trader’s behavior shows a semi-automated pattern, blending manual decisions with algorithmic elements. They do not engage in selling positions, which aligns with the “Diamond Hands” badge and a tendency to hold through volatility.

The main strength of f46b08c6 lies in their steady upward equity trend and solid win rate, supported by badges indicating precision and persistence. However, the low profit factor and negative risk-adjusted returns highlight concerns about trade efficiency and risk management. Their rank and smart score being below average also suggest limited scalability or consistency at higher competitive levels on Polymarket.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

5
Sniper
Win Rate 89%
Profitable
PnL $+3,030
Contrarian
51% entries <$0.50
Diamond Hands
0% sell
Win Streak
52 wins in a row

Categories

4
SPORTS#13,034$3,046Vol: $1,288,832
🏛️ POLITICS#364,509$1Vol: $438
🎭 CULTURE#657,457$-8Vol: $36
CRYPTO#1,005,820$-6Vol: $15

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$3,030
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,289,328
Total Redeem
$19,003
Portfolio
$980
Predictions
9160
total markets
Trades
2560B / 7S
Daily Volume
$246
Account Age
~127d

Periods

#2
Today
$-126
Vol: $226
Week
$262
Vol: $11,142
Month
$262
Vol: $9,914
All Time
$3,030
Vol: $1,289,328

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
91%
252W / 25L events
Realized PnL
$27,831
Win Rate
66%
554W / 280L
Profit Factor
0.69x
Avg Win
$15
Avg Loss
$-43

Top Winners

Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic$476
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-05-09?$126
Roland Garros WTA: Maria Sakkari vs Maja Chwalinska$110
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonseca$97
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-05-24?$96
Cleveland Guardians vs. New York Yankees$89
Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Angels$86
Knicks vs. Spurs$85
Spread: Chicago White Sox (-2.5)$85
Roland Garros ATP: Francisco Cerundolo vs Zachary Svajda$78

Top Losers

Jiujiang: Haruka Kaji vs Xinyu Gao$-147
Boston Red Sox vs. Minnesota Twins$-147
Will Dalian Yingbo FC win on 2026-05-01?$-130
Club Bolívar vs. Fluminense FC: O/U 2.5$-128
Will Southampton FC win on 2026-04-03?$-118
Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Hailey Baptiste$-116
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Philadelphia Phillies$-108
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)$-100
Games Total: O/U 3.5$-100
Cleveland Guardians vs. Kansas City Royals$-100

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.180
Sortino
-0.240
HHI
16
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.163
Kelly %
30.6%
Half-Kelly
15.3%
Top-1 market
0.5%
Top-5 markets
2.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
42.9
Active
Markets / Day
21.9
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
16:00 UTC
Median Gap
5.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
33.8m
between trades
Night Trading
15%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.28
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.8

Bot Detection

#6
55
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

8 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
MEDIUM
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
HIGH
Median gap 348s — typical for humanSize CV 1.28 — diverse, typical for human15% at night — different timezone?24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 0.93 — human randomness43 trades/day — suspiciously high22 markets/day — mass coverage306 total positions — large-scale activity

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 16:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.9
Single entry
<=1
795 entries
<=2
1036 entries
<=5
1250 entries
<=10
1303 entries
<=20
1313 entries
<=50
1313 entries
>50
0 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)4.2%
Mid (20-55c)61.7%
High (>55c)34.1%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 42.1%

Chicago$262
Atlanta$134
Miami$92
Shanghai$47
Los Angeles$37
Toronto$36
Houston$2
Beijing$2
Chongqing$1
Singapore$0
Dallas$0
São Paulo$0
Jinmen Hu FC win$0
San Francisco$-1
Seattle$-18
Milan$-18
Chengdu$-49
Austin$-49

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.3
Events covered
1018

Single bracket

<=1
821 brackets
<=2
958 brackets
<=3
997 brackets
<=4
1009 brackets
<=5
1013 brackets
<=8
1018 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
4/7/2026, 4:03:43 AM1 trades$30 min
4/7/2026, 11:17:41 AM1 trades$70 min
4/8/2026, 10:15:03 AM1 trades$100 min
4/8/2026, 3:28:55 PM1 trades$100 min
4/8/2026, 3:44:13 PM1 trades$490 min
4/8/2026, 3:54:55 PM1 trades$490 min
4/8/2026, 4:05:35 PM2 trades$493 min
4/8/2026, 6:25:19 PM1 trades$40 min
4/8/2026, 6:40:25 PM1 trades$30 min
4/8/2026, 6:48:13 PM3 trades$422 min
4/8/2026, 11:11:39 PM1 trades$490 min
4/9/2026, 10:35:17 AM1 trades$20 min
4/9/2026, 11:15:41 AM4 trades$600 min
4/9/2026, 11:45:59 AM1 trades$490 min
4/10/2026, 12:57:49 AM2 trades$990 min
4/10/2026, 11:29:15 AM10 trades$4916 min
4/10/2026, 10:54:55 PM3 trades$1080 min
4/11/2026, 9:15:41 AM1 trades$490 min
4/11/2026, 9:57:17 AM1 trades$490 min
4/11/2026, 11:55:19 AM1 trades$490 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-13
04-22
05-01
05-10
05-19
05-28
06-06

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
0.3% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.9/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.3 br/event