Polydata
fElon

@fElon

#11,19684

0x7bd9019211677f5db6e221d6a6da030ebcd0bd75

~466d· 544 markets · 16349 tradesVol: $3,862,5782026-07-31 19:27:08
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

84
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

89% (466/524)20/20
1.84x (win $33,041 / loss $17,983)13/15
Annualised Sharpe 2.35815/15
Sortino 3.95010/10
$+0.0173 per $1 invested0.9/10
HHI 175 (524 markets)10/10
174/206 profitable days (84%)10/10
Max DD 44% of peak ($6,664 / $15,058)5.1/10

Badges

10
Sniper
Win rate 89%
Profitable
PnL $+13,466
Lottery Player
37% entries < $0.20
DCA Master
Avg 27.0 entries/market
Whale
$870,912 invested
Consistent
174/206 profitable days
High Roller
$1,416/day
Win Streak
39 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
74% maker orders

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#17,142$1,073Vol: $1,793,268
📈 ECONOMICS#3,056$1,015Vol: $774,437
SPORTS#1,864,361$-3,418Vol: $626,047
🌤️ WEATHER#239$7,891Vol: $270,934
🎭 CULTURE#2,885$2,211Vol: $157,286
CRYPTO#57,335$262Vol: $101,326
💻 TECH#9,019$45Vol: $31,996
📢 MENTIONS#154,996$-46Vol: $4,179
💰 FINANCE#52,901$11Vol: $3,684

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$13,422
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$3,862,578
Total Redeem
$12,569
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
544
total markets
Trades
11043B / 5306S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~466d

Periods

#2
Today
$-77
Vol: $1,706
Week
$203
Vol: $14,265
Month
$1,705
Vol: $89,880
All Time
$13,422
Vol: $3,862,578

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
89%
465W / 58L events
Realized PnL
$13,466
Win Rate
89%
465W / 58L
Profit Factor
1.84x
Avg Win
$71
Avg Loss
$-360

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $7,351 (0.545876420723534% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will there be at least 1800 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?$2,794
Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?$2,576
Will there be at least 1,200 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?$1,981
Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?$1,761
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$1,416
Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?$1,400
Will Crin Antonescu win the Romanian presidential election?$1,362
Will there be at least 1,150 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?$936
Will Lewis Hamilton get pole position at the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?$882
Will there be at least 2350 measles cases in the U.S. by July 31, 2026?$821

Top Losers

Will George Russell win the 2025 Canadian GP pole?$-2,711
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?$-2,429
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026?$-2,016
Will Iga Swiatek win Wimbledon 2025?$-1,385
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?$-1,230
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting?$-998
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-943
Will the AfD win 20-25% of the vote in the German election?$-880
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2025 Chinese Grand Prix Sprint?$-840
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?$-772

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.123
Sortino
0.097
HHI
105
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.019
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
4.4%
Top-5 markets
16.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
26.6
Active
Markets / Day
0.9
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
5.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
55.6m
between trades
Night Trading
14%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.31
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
4 min
Avg Trades / Session
12.7

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 332s — normal for humanCV 3.31 — diverse sizes (human-like)14% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock27 trades/day — high frequency0.9 markets/day — normal74% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 15:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
27
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)37.2%
Mid (20-55c)16.4%
High (>55c)46.4%

Sessions

#12
5/4/2025, 6:58:01 PM6 trades$13,40812 min
4/24/2026, 1:40:42 PM37 trades$13,1864 min
11/23/2025, 9:21:37 AM2 trades$11,2602 min
1/19/2025, 2:01:57 PM4 trades$9,6333 min
3/27/2026, 1:57:27 PM5 trades$8,7414 min
12/2/2025, 3:30:38 PM3 trades$8,6373 min
1/28/2025, 4:12:04 PM1 trades$7,9270 min
7/20/2025, 12:08:21 PM11 trades$7,85416 min
12/27/2025, 8:05:29 AM11 trades$7,8388 min
4/27/2026, 8:24:02 AM47 trades$7,5513 min
12/10/2025, 3:07:20 PM3 trades$6,9125 min
1/19/2025, 2:10:21 PM6 trades$6,5526 min
8/30/2025, 2:02:51 PM4 trades$6,4132 min
2/12/2025, 1:33:40 PM2 trades$5,8501 min
1/29/2025, 10:21:13 AM4 trades$5,7980 min
7/6/2025, 4:30:29 AM8 trades$5,7063 min
2/13/2026, 7:59:31 AM13 trades$5,4100 min
1/19/2025, 9:21:21 AM9 trades$5,4073 min
8/2/2025, 2:30:28 PM7 trades$5,3496 min
5/29/2025, 11:53:33 AM1 trades$5,0810 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-24
02-28
05-31
11-20
01-24
03-29
07-29
07-31

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 108 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
32.5% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 27/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L37.2 / M16.4 / H46.4