@fcomp3

#11,81415

0x23d18416645924e097c453e8ceadd4bfeb6a353f

~28d· 6274 markets · 270734 tradesVol: $1,428,5932026-08-26 09:12:08
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

15
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

26% (1633/6274)0/20
0.93x (win $3,232 / loss $3,469)1.6/15
Annualised Sharpe -4.9750/15
Sortino -5.9330/10
$-0.0219 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 6 (6274 markets)10/10
12/28 profitable days (43%)3.2/10
Max DD 753% of peak ($273 / $36)0/10

Badges

4
Profitable
PnL $+14,965
Diamond Hands
6% sells
Win Streak
6 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

1
🌤️ WEATHER#152$13,024Vol: $1,428,593

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$13,024
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,428,593
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
6274
total markets
Trades
11995B / 15135S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~28d

Periods

#2
Today
$2,635
Vol: $0
Week
$4,070
Vol: $0
Month
$7,342
Vol: $0
All Time
$13,024
Vol: $1,428,593

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
28%
3370W / 8535L events
Realized PnL
$14,965
Win Rate
28%
3370W / 8535L
Profit Factor
0.93x
Avg Win
$2
Avg Loss
$-2

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $150 (0.010055801714477775% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C or higher on April 25?$88
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on May 4?$33
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 10?$30
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 60-61°F on April 26?$26
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on May 11?$25
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or higher on May 13?$23
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on April 28?$22
Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 29°C on May 8?$21
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 27?$20
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on May 16?$19

Top Losers

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on April 25?$-108
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on April 27?$-57
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on April 26?$-35
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on April 28?$-29
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on April 25?$-25
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on May 11?$-25
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on April 24?$-25
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C on April 25?$-24
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 10?$-22
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on April 27?$-20

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.256
Sortino
-0.407
HHI
10
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.022
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
0.6%
Top-5 markets
2.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
7124.6
Very active
Markets / Day
165.1
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
7:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.3m
between trades
Night Trading
2%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.57
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
44 min
Avg Trades / Session
78.2

Bot Detection

#6
55
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
HIGH
Median gap 96s — normal for humanCV 1.57 — diverse sizes (human-like)2% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock7125 trades/day — automation165 markets/day — mass coverage5% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 7:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.32
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0.2%
Mid (20-55c)0.2%
High (>55c)99.6%

Sessions

#12
4/25/2026, 5:28:20 AM174 trades$169108 min
5/1/2026, 6:33:00 AM218 trades$167116 min
4/28/2026, 5:06:56 AM94 trades$13351 min
4/30/2026, 6:51:38 AM146 trades$13164 min
5/5/2026, 7:30:00 AM128 trades$12870 min
4/30/2026, 1:53:50 PM88 trades$11143 min
5/6/2026, 11:56:38 AM104 trades$11057 min
4/24/2026, 7:06:26 AM114 trades$10544 min
5/7/2026, 6:56:53 AM151 trades$9979 min
4/26/2026, 2:24:06 PM84 trades$9940 min
5/6/2026, 3:24:34 PM76 trades$9124 min
5/5/2026, 1:52:22 PM99 trades$9166 min
4/28/2026, 6:42:08 AM90 trades$9058 min
4/29/2026, 11:23:54 AM78 trades$8925 min
5/13/2026, 6:02:52 AM77 trades$8840 min
5/7/2026, 2:04:36 AM101 trades$8568 min
4/29/2026, 6:02:26 AM98 trades$8345 min
5/13/2026, 1:31:13 PM84 trades$8151 min
4/27/2026, 11:44:30 AM84 trades$8046 min
5/3/2026, 4:31:54 AM55 trades$7724 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-22
04-26
04-30
05-04
05-08
05-12
05-16

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 31 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
WEATHER
100% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
5.6% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.32/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L0.2 / M0.2 / H99.6