@fdt65refdy654etre

#2,673,6299

0x47b5952fe27f74d921a9d424649fe834f9e6f158

~13d· 23 markets · 73 tradesVol: $70,6202026-09-10 22:08:55
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

9
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

42% (8/19)6.1/20
0.12x (win $22 / loss $179)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -11.7380/15
Sortino -10.0050/10
$-0.0042 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 5776 (19 markets)0/10
4/10 profitable days (40%)2.5/10
Max DD 5415% of peak ($160 / $3)0/10

Categories

6
🏛️ POLITICS#1,243,364$-8Vol: $34,138
⚽ SPORTS#1,707,225$-107Vol: $26,379
📈 ECONOMICS#576,351$-5Vol: $10,000
🎭 CULTURE#699,731$-10Vol: $69
₿ CRYPTO#309,679$4Vol: $21
💻 TECH#224,731$-5Vol: $12

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-130
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$70,620
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
23
total markets
Trades
35B / 38S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~13d

Periods

#2
Week
$0
Vol: $0
Month
$0
Vol: $0
All Time
$-130
Vol: $70,620

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
42%
8W / 11L events
Realized PnL
$-135
Win Rate
42%
8W / 11L
Profit Factor
0.12x
Avg Win
$3
Avg Loss
$-16

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $17 (0.12830776072937514% of PnL)

Top Winners

Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?$7
Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?$7
Will Russia invade a NATO country in 2025?$4
Will Enron launch a token in 2024?$3
Will Jill Biden speak at the DNC?$1
Liverpool wins the Premier League?$0
Telegram banned by EU country before October?$0
Will Tim Walz be D-nom for VP on Election Day?$0

Top Losers

Will Saquon Barkley be the top Fantasy Running Back?$-85
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-37
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?$-22
Will the Miami Heat win the 2026 NBA Finals?$-7
Will Manchester City win the UEFA Champions League?$-5
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$-5
Pavel Durov released in August?$-5
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$-4
Will Lando Norris finish second in the 2025 Drivers Championship?$-4
FIFA Club World Cup: Inter Milan vs. Fluminense (To Advance)$-3

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.583
Sortino
-0.513
HHI
2902
Concentrated
EV per $1
$-0.006
Kelly %
33.4%
Half-Kelly
16.7%
Top-1 market
50.6%
Top-5 markets
70.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.1
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.0
Active Hours
10/24
Normal
Peak Hour
8:00 UTC
Median Gap
10s
between trades
Avg Gap
18s
between trades
Night Trading
0%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.65
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
13
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.6

Bot Detection

#6
5
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 10s — suspiciously fastCV 1.65 — diverse sizes (human-like)0% night trades — normal pattern10/24 hours — normal schedule0 trades/day — normal0.0 markets/day — normal19% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 8:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.21
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)28.6%
Mid (20-55c)14.3%
High (>55c)57.1%

Sessions

#12
8/15/2026, 8:23:04 AM34 trades$24,2392 min
4/24/2026, 8:45:50 AM10 trades$18,8441 min
3/11/2026, 7:44:45 AM3 trades$6,9082 min
4/27/2026, 7:01:16 AM6 trades$4,7500 min
8/18/2024, 11:13:14 AM3 trades$3871 min
8/25/2024, 8:55:22 PM4 trades$3671 min
12/2/2024, 2:12:30 PM1 trades$2050 min
12/3/2024, 6:47:27 PM2 trades$1320 min
12/4/2025, 12:55:13 PM3 trades$721 min
9/16/2025, 3:32:36 PM2 trades$690 min
3/1/2025, 7:27:21 AM1 trades$100 min
6/30/2025, 1:12:20 PM3 trades$90 min
10/8/2024, 6:27:11 AM1 trades$50 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
08-18
08-25
10-08
12-03
03-01
06-30
09-16
12-04
03-11
04-24

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 607 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
52.1% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.21/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L28.6 / M14.3 / H57.1