@feltonnn

#181,84583

0xcfd3473952daa67d7df6deb106c2ae14529a4175

~139d· 299 markets · 644 tradesVol: $85,2652026-09-10 22:06:38
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

83
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

79% (235/298)20/20
1.40x (win $937 / loss $670)7.5/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.65015/15
Sortino 2.27510/10
$+0.0806 per $1 invested4/10
HHI 199 (298 markets)10/10
86/111 profitable days (77%)10/10
Max DD 37% of peak ($144 / $389)6.6/10

Badges

6
Sniper
Win rate 79%
Profitable
PnL $+191
Lottery Player
49% entries < $0.20
Consistent
86/111 profitable days
Win Streak
16 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

8
🎭 CULTURE#14,613$190Vol: $81,393
🏛️ POLITICS#1,306,826$-11Vol: $3,250
📈 ECONOMICS#51,556$7Vol: $208
💰 FINANCE#102,676$2Vol: $44
📢 MENTIONS#137,629$-12Vol: $41
SPORTS#425,945$1Vol: $28
CRYPTO#700,502$0Vol: $27
🌤️ WEATHER#192,487$-1Vol: $3

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$190
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$85,265
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
299
total markets
Trades
242B / 402S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~139d

Periods

#2
Today
$-2
Vol: $0
Week
$-13
Vol: $481
Month
$-20
Vol: $547
All Time
$190
Vol: $85,265

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
79%
235W / 63L events
Realized PnL
$191
Win Rate
79%
235W / 63L
Profit Factor
1.4x
Avg Win
$4
Avg Loss
$-11

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $241 (1.2634417046227946% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?$160
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?$46
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?$35
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?$27
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?$26
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?$24
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?$23
Will Elon tweet 195–209 times July 11–18?$23
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?$22
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?$21

Top Losers

Will Elon tweet 255 or more times August 1–August 8?$-154
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?$-124
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?$-72
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?$-67
Will Elon tweet 180–194 times July 11–18?$-43
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$-25
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?$-24
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?$-20
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?$-15
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?$-11

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.086
Sortino
0.063
HHI
241
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.081
Kelly %
53.8%
Half-Kelly
26.9%
Top-1 market
6.8%
Top-5 markets
25.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.5
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.7
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
11:00 UTC
Median Gap
26.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.4h
between trades
Night Trading
10%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.84
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.3

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 1558s — normal for humanCV 1.84 — diverse sizes (human-like)10% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock1 trades/day — normal0.7 markets/day — normal21% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 11:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.14
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)48.8%
Mid (20-55c)21.5%
High (>55c)29.8%

Sessions

#12
4/3/2026, 2:52:11 PM2 trades$3330 min
4/9/2026, 5:40:57 PM6 trades$2350 min
12/12/2025, 8:50:59 PM1 trades$2230 min
4/4/2026, 10:50:39 PM3 trades$1850 min
4/5/2026, 3:10:21 PM6 trades$1770 min
3/26/2026, 10:17:21 AM3 trades$1701 min
4/6/2026, 8:26:09 AM7 trades$1690 min
4/6/2026, 5:43:51 PM8 trades$1670 min
4/4/2026, 11:17:13 AM5 trades$1330 min
2/27/2026, 7:59:23 AM1 trades$1300 min
4/2/2026, 2:23:15 PM7 trades$1302 min
3/26/2026, 12:00:49 PM2 trades$1281 min
2/7/2026, 8:51:11 AM2 trades$1140 min
4/7/2026, 10:22:49 PM2 trades$1080 min
4/4/2026, 4:52:39 PM3 trades$1010 min
3/27/2026, 12:03:43 AM1 trades$970 min
4/3/2026, 11:19:01 PM2 trades$920 min
2/5/2026, 2:17:37 PM1 trades$900 min
2/4/2026, 3:54:07 PM1 trades$840 min
4/6/2026, 1:40:31 PM5 trades$840 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-23
07-11
08-03
11-30
12-31
02-27
04-06

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 3 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
62.4% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.14/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L48.8 / M21.5 / H29.8