@firegold

#5,39968

0x1d5f88f1b97317cccad804374e5bd847512e634d

~170d· 494 markets · 13884 tradesVol: $1,810,2912026-08-03 00:50:33
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

68
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

63% (269/430)16.3/20
1.40x (win $119,087 / loss $85,231)7.5/15
Annualised Sharpe 2.31515/15
Sortino 3.98610/10
$+0.0416 per $1 invested2.1/10
HHI 246 (430 markets)10/10
76/126 profitable days (60%)7.6/10
Max DD 75% of peak ($25,599 / $33,951)0/10

Badges

9
Sniper
Win rate 63%
Profitable
PnL $+31,156
DCA Master
Avg 24.1 entries/market
Whale
$813,832 invested
Consistent
76/126 profitable days
High Roller
$1,661/day
Win Streak
10 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
73% maker orders

Categories

6
🏛️ POLITICS#6,043$5,311Vol: $718,751
📈 ECONOMICS#255$27,897Vol: $658,714
₿ CRYPTO#13,836$3,294Vol: $179,992
💰 FINANCE#657,011$-5,281Vol: $164,959
⚽ SPORTS#116,745$108Vol: $68,933
🎭 CULTURE#774,886$-82Vol: $262

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$31,209
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,810,291
Total Redeem
$18,599
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
494
total markets
Trades
8679B / 5205S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~170d

Periods

#2
Today
$505
Vol: $1,551
Week
$5,590
Vol: $1,551
Month
$1,040
Vol: $2,151
All Time
$31,209
Vol: $1,810,291

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
63%
269W / 161L events
Realized PnL
$31,156
Win Rate
63%
269W / 161L
Profit Factor
1.4x
Avg Win
$443
Avg Loss
$-543

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $26,263 (0.8429662805656196% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$11,988
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?$8,086
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after June 2026 meeting?$6,189
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?$5,016
Bank of England decreases interest rates by 25 bps after March 2026 meeting?$4,226
No change in Bank of England's interest rates after March 2026 meeting?$3,805
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after April 2026 meeting?$3,715
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$3,695
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$2,536
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after June 2026 meeting?$2,231

Top Losers

Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,300 by end of June?$-5,617
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?$-4,775
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?$-4,646
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$-3,898
Will the ECB announce no change at the June 2026 meeting?$-3,802
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of June?$-3,501
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?$-3,049
Will Trump visit China by April 30?$-2,827
Will the South African Reserve Bank hike by 25 bps at the July 2026 meeting?$-2,788
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?$-2,764

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.121
Sortino
0.159
HHI
151
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.051
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
9.8%
Top-5 markets
18.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
28.3
Active
Markets / Day
1.0
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
12:00 UTC
Median Gap
5.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
24.8m
between trades
Night Trading
11%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.85
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
4 min
Avg Trades / Session
16.6

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 304s — normal for humanCV 3.85 — diverse sizes (human-like)11% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock28 trades/day — high frequency1.0 markets/day — normal73% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 12:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
24.14
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)12.7%
Mid (20-55c)24.2%
High (>55c)63.1%

Sessions

#12
7/22/2026, 7:41:37 PM16 trades$44,7425 min
7/24/2026, 7:28:34 AM20 trades$24,45912 min
3/19/2026, 4:16:09 PM3 trades$13,8621 min
7/29/2026, 6:00:11 PM10 trades$10,8932 min
5/19/2026, 6:46:11 AM32 trades$10,7148 min
7/29/2026, 6:04:06 AM43 trades$10,3654 min
5/14/2026, 11:24:46 AM18 trades$10,1535 min
7/19/2026, 2:10:19 PM6 trades$8,4204 min
5/27/2026, 6:49:36 AM26 trades$6,2975 min
4/19/2026, 12:17:14 PM49 trades$5,8580 min
5/12/2026, 2:15:04 PM23 trades$5,6417 min
5/13/2026, 2:04:12 PM12 trades$5,6294 min
7/27/2026, 8:54:15 AM16 trades$5,5966 min
7/29/2026, 10:22:00 AM11 trades$5,4914 min
6/22/2026, 10:08:40 AM22 trades$5,3381 min
7/30/2026, 1:43:48 PM22 trades$5,2170 min
3/19/2026, 5:28:47 PM1 trades$5,2010 min
2/8/2026, 6:35:17 PM1 trades$4,7950 min
7/3/2026, 12:49:22 PM32 trades$4,7491 min
3/30/2026, 11:00:15 PM25 trades$4,66346 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-07
03-29
04-22
05-14
06-11
07-06

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 34 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
37.5% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 24.14/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L12.7 / M24.2 / H63.1