@fitmk

#20,91445

0x539d01b1c4d860570a3ea35aaf87168a1f351e69

~52d· 36 markets · 1039 tradesVol: $1,028,4092026-09-23 03:18:18
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

45
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

38% (12/32)3.8/20
1.13x (win $133,350 / loss $117,604)4.2/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.01015/15
Sortino 1.70410/10
$+0.0335 per $1 invested1.7/10
HHI 1083 (32 markets)7.1/10
11/26 profitable days (42%)3.1/10
Max DD 72% of peak ($41,113 / $56,859)0/10

Badges

3
Profitable
PnL $+14,956
Whale
$469,683 invested
High Roller
$1,540/day

Categories

5
🏛️ POLITICS#2,085$21,154Vol: $603,237
💰 FINANCE#661,459$-974Vol: $292,771
📈 ECONOMICS#1,573$2,837Vol: $86,902
🎭 CULTURE#822,811$-6,185Vol: $24,098
CRYPTO#1,608,087$-371Vol: $6,108

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$6,325
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,028,409
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
36
total markets
Trades
332B / 707S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~52d

Periods

#2
Today
$129
Vol: $0
Week
$4,697
Vol: $29,665
Month
$-1,356
Vol: $58,433
All Time
$6,325
Vol: $1,028,409

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
38%
12W / 20L events
Realized PnL
$14,956
Win Rate
38%
12W / 20L
Profit Factor
1.13x
Avg Win
$11,113
Avg Loss
$-5,880

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $86,619 (5.7915631128397385% of PnL)

Top Winners

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?$32,423
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?$28,276
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$25,920
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?$12,902
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$9,697
Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?$8,647
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$7,497
Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?$2,531
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?$2,263
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?$1,643

Top Losers

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$-20,108
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?$-19,942
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?$-16,859
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?$-13,048
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$-9,822
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?$-6,404
Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?$-6,185
Will Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?$-4,818
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?$-4,327
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?$-3,929

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.052
Sortino
0.088
HHI
2776
Concentrated
EV per $1
$0.025
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
46.3%
Top-5 markets
85.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
3.4
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
21/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
18:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.5h
between trades
Night Trading
21%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.71
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
17.5

Bot Detection

#6
10
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 208s — normal for humanCV 2.71 — diverse sizes (human-like)21% night trades — unusual hours21/24 hours — extended activity3 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal12% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 18:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
33.44
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)9.9%
Mid (20-55c)15.4%
High (>55c)74.7%

Sessions

#12
4/26/2026, 2:08:44 AM14 trades$62,2140 min
5/31/2026, 5:01:49 PM22 trades$58,67825 min
5/28/2026, 6:31:38 PM33 trades$54,9980 min
12/10/2025, 9:02:22 PM15 trades$28,0294 min
7/20/2026, 1:35:18 AM45 trades$25,4631 min
4/9/2026, 7:55:17 PM49 trades$24,9260 min
1/25/2026, 8:16:10 PM2 trades$23,5331 min
4/12/2026, 3:19:41 PM20 trades$20,3470 min
12/10/2025, 6:34:19 AM2 trades$18,6251 min
5/5/2026, 4:48:22 AM10 trades$17,7940 min
4/8/2026, 6:42:09 PM76 trades$17,7004 min
3/27/2026, 12:45:09 PM1 trades$16,4510 min
5/26/2026, 8:20:52 PM21 trades$16,3600 min
12/31/2025, 9:59:01 AM1 trades$16,2700 min
3/21/2026, 1:17:47 PM1 trades$15,9810 min
9/20/2026, 9:29:38 PM44 trades$15,9690 min
4/13/2026, 12:32:47 PM18 trades$15,2540 min
4/12/2026, 7:18:07 PM3 trades$14,8480 min
5/19/2026, 7:00:45 PM7 trades$14,6670 min
4/13/2026, 9:43:19 AM17 trades$14,1880 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-24
12-10
01-31
03-29
04-12
05-04
06-19

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 50 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
68% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 33.44/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L9.9 / M15.4 / H74.7