Polydata

@flawfence

#55563

0x23d81ba9371e576015c1e562db09c689f56b0288

~91d· 339 markets · 21715 tradesVol: $17,107,1732026-07-31 15:29:38
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

63
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

54% (141/262)11.9/20
1.27x (win $2,364,961 / loss $1,857,531)5.9/15
Annualised Sharpe 2.22215/15
Sortino 4.19710/10
$+0.0888 per $1 invested4.4/10
HHI 155 (262 markets)10/10
27/55 profitable days (49%)4.8/10
Max DD 67% of peak ($436,218 / $648,776)0.6/10

Badges

8
Profitable
PnL $+376,143
Contrarian
65% entries < $0.55
DCA Master
Avg 71.2 entries/market
Whale
$5,716,931 invested
High Roller
$58,336/day
Win Streak
6 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
86% maker orders

Categories

5
SPORTS#505$184,417Vol: $13,257,808
🏛️ POLITICS#244$205,114Vol: $3,506,712
🌤️ WEATHER#575$3,487Vol: $93,835
CRYPTO#11,731$4,001Vol: $59,585
📈 ECONOMICS#8,862$185Vol: $804

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$374,476
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$17,107,173
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
339
total markets
Trades
18714B / 3001S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~91d

Periods

#2
Today
$-1,441
Vol: $7,140
Week
$25,775
Vol: $128,033
Month
$151,349
Vol: $5,224,490
All Time
$374,476
Vol: $17,107,173

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
54%
141W / 121L events
Realized PnL
$376,143
Win Rate
54%
141W / 121L
Profit Factor
1.27x
Avg Win
$16,773
Avg Loss
$-15,479

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $334,734 (0.8899107337335691% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$175,451
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election$96,913
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 2.5$62,370
Norway vs. England: O/U 2.5$58,544
Will England win on 2026-07-11?$51,000
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$50,757
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election$45,308
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?$41,600
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$40,479
Curaçao vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 2.5$39,600

Top Losers

Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5$-61,116
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$-51,600
Spread: France (-1.5)$-48,640
Spread: Senegal (-2.5)$-48,640
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5$-44,750
Brazil vs. Haiti: O/U 3.5$-40,800
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?$-40,200
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21?$-40,000
Will United States win on 2026-06-19?$-39,199
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?$-38,800

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.115
Sortino
0.185
HHI
118
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.095
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
7.5%
Top-5 markets
15.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
221.6
Very active
Markets / Day
3.5
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
15s
between trades
Avg Gap
8.2m
between trades
Night Trading
23%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
6.45
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
32 min
Avg Trades / Session
148.5

Bot Detection

#6
65
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 15s — normal for humanCV 6.45 — diverse sizes (human-like)23% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock222 trades/day — automation3.5 markets/day — normal86% maker — systematic market making

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 15:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
71.16
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)11.6%
Mid (20-55c)53.8%
High (>55c)34.7%

Sessions

#12
6/26/2026, 2:15:30 PM696 trades$199,587205 min
6/24/2026, 5:23:16 PM328 trades$175,38799 min
6/25/2026, 10:04:56 PM775 trades$148,03230 min
7/14/2026, 2:58:17 PM118 trades$134,13245 min
6/25/2026, 12:39:02 AM182 trades$129,8219 min
6/21/2026, 9:47:16 PM124 trades$122,65017 min
6/17/2026, 6:02:37 PM175 trades$120,37358 min
6/10/2026, 10:41:13 AM66 trades$116,8825 min
6/18/2026, 11:08:55 PM418 trades$110,65972 min
6/19/2026, 6:08:32 PM366 trades$102,939171 min
6/24/2026, 10:59:02 PM132 trades$99,9777 min
6/20/2026, 2:44:28 PM305 trades$87,05595 min
6/9/2026, 7:54:55 PM154 trades$85,75350 min
6/22/2026, 8:41:28 PM194 trades$80,23617 min
6/23/2026, 2:32:49 PM446 trades$76,85984 min
6/3/2026, 7:14:31 PM61 trades$74,37313 min
7/11/2026, 11:47:46 PM1 trades$73,0000 min
6/26/2026, 1:07:02 AM299 trades$69,4016 min
6/27/2026, 2:48:59 AM4 trades$64,7701 min
6/27/2026, 7:26:38 PM173 trades$62,88324 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-25
05-09
05-28
06-14
06-23
07-10
07-29

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 15 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
13.8% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 71.16/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L11.6 / M53.8 / H34.7