@four44

#3,146,42412

0xfd95989a2a587b5d939603542ade9368fc385301

~39d· 53 markets · 146 tradesVol: $78,805 @stepnlou12026-10-08 02:27:02
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

12
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

37% (19/51)3.6/20
0.50x (win $4,129 / loss $8,227)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -3.4550/15
Sortino -4.3470/10
$-0.0961 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1552 (51 markets)4.7/10
16/35 profitable days (46%)3.9/10
Max DD 26666% of peak ($5,040 / $19)0/10

Categories

5
🏛️ POLITICS#1,342,714$-15Vol: $33,727
⚽ SPORTS#1,924,810$-4,248Vol: $27,835
₿ CRYPTO#1,459,158$-73Vol: $8,616
📈 ECONOMICS#46,587$8Vol: $8,118
💰 FINANCE#159,819$1Vol: $400

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-4,327
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$78,805
Total Redeem
$1,912
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
53
total markets
Trades
95B / 51S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~39d

Periods

#2
Today
$-0
Vol: $0
Week
$-0
Vol: $0
Month
$-1
Vol: $1,548
All Time
$-4,327
Vol: $78,805

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
37%
19W / 32L events
Realized PnL
$-4,327
Win Rate
37%
19W / 32L
Profit Factor
0.5x
Avg Win
$217
Avg Loss
$-274

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $3,958 (0.9147857278227951% of PnL)

Top Winners

UFC 327: Jirí Procházka vs. Carlos Ulberg (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)$1,981
Bills vs. Jaguars$993
Panthers vs. Devils$984
Solana Up or Down on May 11?$65
Solana Up or Down on May 14?$49
Will Bitcoin reach $135k in October?$23
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?$20
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in June?$7
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $108,000 on October 17?$2
Solana above $190 on February 14?$1

Top Losers

Hurricanes vs. Flyers$-1,964
Hornets vs. Pacers$-1,174
Clippers vs. Hawks$-1,025
LSU vs. Houston$-951
Rams vs. Seahawks$-813
Timberwolves vs. Knicks$-722
Bulls vs. Bucks$-664
Bulls vs. Heat$-660
Bitcoin above $97,000 on January 10?$-73
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in August?$-71

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.178
Sortino
-0.208
HHI
1575
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.085
Kelly %
2.7%
Half-Kelly
1.4%
Top-1 market
32.2%
Top-5 markets
68.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.2
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
16/24
Extended
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
14.4m
between trades
Night Trading
10%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.34
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.6

Bot Detection

#6
0
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 64s — normal for humanCV 2.34 — diverse sizes (human-like)10% night trades — normal pattern16/24 hours — normal schedule0 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal34% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 14:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.73
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)5.3%
Mid (20-55c)17.9%
High (>55c)76.8%

Sessions

#12
1/5/2025, 9:14:27 AM4 trades$14,7217 min
1/5/2025, 9:03:43 AM1 trades$6,8700 min
1/5/2025, 9:31:47 AM1 trades$6,8520 min
4/19/2026, 4:02:30 AM2 trades$3,8790 min
4/19/2026, 3:42:08 AM4 trades$3,7890 min
5/9/2026, 3:21:19 PM4 trades$2,6540 min
3/8/2026, 2:47:11 PM1 trades$1,9920 min
3/8/2026, 2:59:19 PM1 trades$1,9900 min
8/24/2026, 2:30:07 PM13 trades$1,9503 min
4/7/2026, 2:55:47 PM2 trades$1,9420 min
6/12/2026, 3:13:15 PM9 trades$1,7344 min
7/20/2026, 2:50:09 PM10 trades$1,6861 min
2/1/2026, 4:19:12 PM2 trades$1,6633 min
9/28/2026, 10:14:29 AM2 trades$1,5400 min
11/19/2025, 3:31:11 PM1 trades$1,1740 min
10/26/2025, 4:25:43 PM2 trades$1,0431 min
12/3/2025, 2:28:51 PM1 trades$1,0260 min
12/3/2025, 3:02:23 PM1 trades$1,0250 min
12/3/2025, 2:46:37 PM1 trades$1,0250 min
10/17/2025, 2:49:33 PM1 trades$1,0040 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-05
04-10
07-31
11-05
01-11
03-19
06-23

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 115 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
34.9% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.73/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L5.3 / M17.9 / H76.8