@fractionalbrownian
#3,090,274170x6a977340efdb805d54159eef5f6de4206950395b
~38d· 936 markets · 13220 tradesVol: $604,2072026-08-26 10:02:24
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
17
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
40% (375/929)5.2/20
0.83x (win $8,043 / loss $9,655)0.4/15
Annualised Sharpe -3.5390/15
Sortino -4.4250/10
$-0.0494 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 109 (929 markets)10/10
13/38 profitable days (34%)1.1/10
Max DD 264% of peak ($2,814 / $1,067)0/10
Badges
3Contrarian
65% entries < $0.55
Win Streak
6 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Categories
4₿ CRYPTO#1,693,726$-5,843Vol: $438,696
🌤️ WEATHER#303,099$-1,533Vol: $159,183
🎭 CULTURE#786,601$-95Vol: $5,900
⚽ SPORTS#1,586,878$-45Vol: $444
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-7,516
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$604,207
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
936
total markets
Trades
7921B / 5299S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~38d
Periods
#2Week
$-57
Vol: $2,788
Month
$-3,242
Vol: $222,001
All Time
$-7,516
Vol: $604,207
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
40%
375W / 554L events
Realized PnL
$-4,616
Win Rate
40%
375W / 554L
Profit Factor
0.83x
Avg Win
$21
Avg Loss
$-18
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $978 (0.21195395526364813% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 20?$378
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET$361
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 32°C on August 4?$240
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on August 7?$193
XRP Up or Down - June 27, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET$170
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET$158
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET$158
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on August 7?$144
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on August 9?$143
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET$107
Top Losers
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET$-250
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on August 4?$-209
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on August 5?$-199
XRP Up or Down - June 27, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET$-156
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET$-140
Ethereum Up or Down - July 9, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET$-139
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET$-131
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET$-110
Ethereum Up or Down - June 29, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET$-97
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET$-93
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.183
Sortino
-0.245
HHI
34
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.050
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
1.3%
Top-5 markets
5.3%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
213.2
Very active
Markets / Day
15.1
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
12:00 UTC
Median Gap
11s
between trades
Avg Gap
7.8m
between trades
Night Trading
21%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.32
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
23 min
Avg Trades / Session
139.1
Bot Detection
#665
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
HIGH
Median gap 11s — suspiciously fastCV 1.32 — diverse sizes (human-like)21% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock213 trades/day — automation15 markets/day — mass coverage60% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 12:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
14.18
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)21.4%
Mid (20-55c)43.3%
High (>55c)35.3%
Sessions
#126/28/2026, 4:45:44 AM32 trades$9,6216 min
6/20/2026, 12:20:25 PM903 trades$3,73263 min
6/23/2026, 2:53:52 AM101 trades$2,7580 min
6/19/2026, 5:50:38 PM196 trades$2,4463 min
6/20/2026, 11:15:37 AM736 trades$2,04258 min
6/28/2026, 1:27:23 PM15 trades$2,0407 min
6/8/2026, 7:05:31 PM610 trades$1,808257 min
6/20/2026, 1:29:38 PM251 trades$1,57220 min
6/14/2026, 12:17:07 AM209 trades$1,49961 min
6/20/2026, 9:23:46 AM85 trades$1,40716 min
6/19/2026, 3:59:52 PM321 trades$1,34920 min
7/9/2026, 10:43:10 AM51 trades$1,2731 min
6/20/2026, 12:50:53 AM96 trades$1,2206 min
6/13/2026, 8:45:42 PM163 trades$1,15875 min
6/20/2026, 9:55:13 AM357 trades$1,08624 min
6/19/2026, 10:03:29 PM155 trades$1,07223 min
6/10/2026, 6:11:28 PM211 trades$90095 min
6/10/2026, 8:45:15 PM97 trades$89547 min
6/20/2026, 2:02:53 PM181 trades$87834 min
6/21/2026, 8:11:40 PM19 trades$8553 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-08
06-15
06-24
06-30
07-07
08-01
08-07
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 47 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
24% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
40.1% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 14.18/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L21.4 / M43.3 / H35.3