@garlictrump

88

0x6630c34aa5836d4610fb6303d0ee9d966cd42f4e

~346d· 464 markets · 5216 trades2026-08-02 09:53:40
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

88
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

82% (344/422)20/20
1.76x (win $58,178 / loss $33,071)12/15
Annualised Sharpe 2.25915/15
Sortino 4.46310/10
$+0.0285 per $1 invested1.4/10
HHI 142 (422 markets)10/10
175/220 profitable days (80%)10/10
Max DD 22% of peak ($5,767 / $26,210)9.6/10

Badges

10
Sniper
Win rate 82%
Profitable
PnL $+24,163
DCA Master
Avg 10.9 entries/market
Whale
$881,626 invested
Consistent
175/220 profitable days
High Roller
$2,140/day
Cool Head
Max DD 22%
Win Streak
15 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
80% maker orders

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$24,163
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$881,626
Total Redeem
$117,540
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
464
total markets
Trades
4008B / 1208S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~346d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
82%
344W / 78L events
Realized PnL
$24,163
Win Rate
82%
344W / 78L
Profit Factor
1.76x
Avg Win
$169
Avg Loss
$-441

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $16,339 (0.6762321660852568% of PnL)

Top Winners

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$10,491
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?$3,209
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?$2,640
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?$2,395
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?$1,724
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?$1,485
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?$1,447
Will the government shutdown end November 12?$1,441
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?$1,371
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?$1,226

Top Losers

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$-3,935
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?$-3,900
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?$-3,233
Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?$-2,087
Will Trump visit China by April 30?$-1,675
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?$-1,547
Iran closes its airspace by June 22?$-1,270
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?$-1,214
Will Trump visit China by May 15?$-973
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$-963

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.118
Sortino
0.121
HHI
126
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.031
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
6.6%
Top-5 markets
18.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
12.7
Active
Markets / Day
1.1
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
16:00 UTC
Median Gap
12.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.6h
between trades
Night Trading
19%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.93
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
7.0

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 770s — normal for humanCV 2.93 — diverse sizes (human-like)19% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock13 trades/day — very active1.1 markets/day — normal80% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 16:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
10.9
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)2%
Mid (20-55c)7.7%
High (>55c)90.3%

Sessions

#12
1/3/2026, 5:45:19 PM7 trades$25,9988 min
7/2/2026, 3:17:02 PM12 trades$25,6458 min
7/14/2026, 6:49:43 AM18 trades$19,6900 min
6/17/2026, 6:13:16 AM10 trades$16,0701 min
11/13/2025, 6:10:14 AM4 trades$13,0616 min
4/24/2026, 12:42:10 PM21 trades$10,95411 min
6/16/2026, 1:48:42 AM6 trades$9,8782 min
4/29/2026, 5:40:32 AM17 trades$9,7670 min
11/13/2025, 11:29:52 AM1 trades$9,6930 min
2/1/2026, 8:28:26 AM13 trades$8,03818 min
6/2/2026, 9:10:54 AM3 trades$8,0000 min
11/14/2025, 2:59:10 PM2 trades$7,0011 min
6/13/2026, 8:34:01 PM8 trades$6,8652 min
11/5/2025, 3:15:25 PM14 trades$6,39023 min
6/12/2026, 7:31:22 AM2 trades$6,3010 min
6/26/2026, 3:23:05 PM2 trades$6,1030 min
10/14/2025, 3:52:35 PM9 trades$5,85811 min
3/23/2026, 11:47:47 AM2 trades$5,6964 min
6/21/2026, 10:09:20 AM12 trades$5,5200 min
1/31/2026, 5:51:28 PM10 trades$5,31411 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-19
09-23
11-14
01-14
03-23
06-04
07-28

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 92 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
23.2% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 10.9/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L2 / M7.7 / H90.3