@gaven-willwin
#3,069,509320xfbe66593e49c4e7a7180a2582f041158bfb800f8
~54d· 26 markets · 4087 tradesVol: $3,534,3182026-08-01 23:13:58
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
32
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
77% (17/22)20/20
0.60x (win $240,511 / loss $398,439)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -3.0400/15
Sortino -3.5030/10
$-0.0646 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 2077 (22 markets)2.1/10
12/15 profitable days (80%)10/10
Max DD 371% of peak ($383,682 / $103,320)0/10
Badges
7Sniper
Win rate 77%
DCA Master
Avg 170.5 entries/market
Whale
$2,445,417 invested
Consistent
12/15 profitable days
High Roller
$18,114/day
Win Streak
11 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Categories
3📈 ECONOMICS#124$53,426Vol: $1,949,562
🏛️ POLITICS#1,640,628$-143,851Vol: $1,403,912
⚽ SPORTS#1,830,454$-1,094Vol: $180,844
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-91,518
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$3,534,318
Total Redeem
$5,416
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
26
total markets
Trades
1909B / 2178S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~54d
Periods
#2Today
$832
Vol: $0
Week
$70,740
Vol: $230,776
Month
$832
Vol: $0
All Time
$-91,518
Vol: $3,534,318
PnL Analysis
#3Realized cash_basis_v3 — may differ from Polymarket UI on open books. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
77%
17W / 5L events
Realized PnL
$-91,518
Win Rate
77%
17W / 5L
Profit Factor
0.6x
Avg Win
$14,148
Avg Loss
$-79,688
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $187,365 (2.047288726434665% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$121,910
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$49,368
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?$16,087
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?$14,758
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?$10,347
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?$9,200
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?$6,693
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$4,198
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?$2,010
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?$1,828
Top Losers
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$-149,007
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$-134,994
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?$-75,006
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5)$-36,562
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$-2,870
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.154
Sortino
-0.743
HHI
1885
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.070
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
34%
Top-5 markets
78.6%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
30.3
Active
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
1:00 UTC
Median Gap
49s
between trades
Avg Gap
17.9m
between trades
Night Trading
20%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
5.02
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
15 min
Avg Trades / Session
58.2
Bot Detection
#635
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 49s — normal for humanCV 5.02 — diverse sizes (human-like)20% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock30 trades/day — high frequency0.2 markets/day — normal46% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 1:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
170.55
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)2.1%
Mid (20-55c)10.4%
High (>55c)87.4%
Sessions
#126/1/2026, 9:36:28 AM526 trades$284,238201 min
4/26/2026, 1:58:14 AM27 trades$181,7273 min
7/15/2026, 11:56:52 PM44 trades$174,4605 min
6/14/2026, 11:13:16 PM125 trades$163,1646 min
5/15/2026, 3:25:02 PM35 trades$160,3833 min
6/5/2026, 2:07:46 PM28 trades$134,8291 min
6/14/2026, 8:00:18 AM106 trades$134,65616 min
5/27/2026, 8:33:47 AM10 trades$94,6500 min
7/30/2026, 6:25:29 AM11 trades$93,3384 min
6/14/2026, 8:23:28 AM59 trades$91,62517 min
6/30/2026, 8:09:58 AM43 trades$90,6443 min
5/10/2026, 2:47:34 AM104 trades$86,02515 min
6/15/2026, 1:09:19 AM49 trades$80,7042 min
7/15/2026, 3:58:50 PM49 trades$72,2873 min
6/1/2026, 2:58:35 PM479 trades$68,064336 min
7/23/2026, 7:10:25 AM10 trades$67,4170 min
6/13/2026, 4:57:24 AM35 trades$66,74412 min
6/6/2026, 1:43:46 PM30 trades$53,3940 min
6/13/2026, 2:51:37 AM16 trades$53,0663 min
5/20/2026, 3:04:38 PM4 trades$50,9660 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-20
04-26
05-15
06-04
06-11
06-13
06-16
07-29
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 4 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
53.3% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 170.55/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L2.1 / M10.4 / H87.4