@gaven-willwin
320xfbe66593e49c4e7a7180a2582f041158bfb800f8
~68d· 27 markets · 5204 trades2026-09-21 18:49:48
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
32
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
77% (17/22)20/20
0.68x (win $467,961 / loss $685,310)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.2430/15
Sortino -2.6760/10
$-0.0674 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 2173 (22 markets)1.6/10
12/15 profitable days (80%)10/10
Max DD 338% of peak ($655,795 / $194,103)0/10
Badges
7Sniper
Win rate 77%
DCA Master
Avg 333.7 entries/market
Whale
$3,227,014 invested
Consistent
12/15 profitable days
High Roller
$18,982/day
Win Streak
7 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Categories
3📈 ECONOMICS#698,993$-116,643Vol: $3,989,769
🏛️ POLITICS#1,648,053$-143,851Vol: $1,308,624
⚽ SPORTS#1,891,233$-1,791Vol: $180,844
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-188,584
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$3,227,014
Total Redeem
$5,416
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
27
total markets
Trades
2384B / 2820S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~68d
Periods
#2Today
$11,776
Vol: $0
Week
$1,398
Vol: $368,623
Month
$-275,822
Vol: $1,884,629
All Time
$-188,584
Vol: $0
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
77%
17W / 5L events
Realized PnL
$-188,584
Win Rate
77%
17W / 5L
Profit Factor
0.68x
Avg Win
$27,527
Avg Loss
$-137,062
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $374,729 (1.987070047995629% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$243,820
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$98,736
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?$32,174
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?$29,515
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?$18,401
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?$13,385
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?$10,347
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$8,397
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?$4,020
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?$3,655
Top Losers
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$-298,014
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$-269,989
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?$-75,006
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5)$-36,562
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$-5,740
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.113
Sortino
-0.156
HHI
4319
Concentrated
EV per $1
$-0.050
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
51.5%
Top-5 markets
119.1%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
30.6
Active
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
49s
between trades
Avg Gap
18.7m
between trades
Night Trading
23%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
4.59
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
16 min
Avg Trades / Session
57.5
Bot Detection
#635
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 49s — normal for humanCV 4.59 — diverse sizes (human-like)23% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock31 trades/day — high frequency0.2 markets/day — normal45% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 15:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
333.73
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)1.7%
Mid (20-55c)8.5%
High (>55c)89.8%
Sessions
#126/1/2026, 9:36:28 AM526 trades$284,238201 min
4/26/2026, 1:58:14 AM27 trades$181,7273 min
7/15/2026, 11:56:52 PM44 trades$174,4605 min
9/3/2026, 1:35:15 PM70 trades$170,6599 min
9/1/2026, 3:01:22 PM208 trades$166,68141 min
6/14/2026, 11:13:16 PM125 trades$163,1646 min
5/15/2026, 3:25:02 PM35 trades$160,3833 min
6/5/2026, 2:07:46 PM28 trades$134,8291 min
6/14/2026, 8:00:18 AM106 trades$134,65616 min
9/2/2026, 5:03:31 AM118 trades$98,21115 min
8/29/2026, 9:55:42 AM55 trades$95,57317 min
5/27/2026, 8:33:47 AM10 trades$94,6500 min
7/30/2026, 6:25:29 AM11 trades$93,3384 min
6/14/2026, 8:23:28 AM59 trades$91,62517 min
6/30/2026, 8:09:58 AM43 trades$90,6443 min
5/10/2026, 2:47:34 AM104 trades$86,02515 min
6/15/2026, 1:09:19 AM49 trades$80,7042 min
9/2/2026, 5:24:58 AM42 trades$72,88419 min
7/15/2026, 3:58:50 PM49 trades$72,2873 min
6/1/2026, 2:58:35 PM479 trades$68,064336 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-20
04-26
05-15
06-04
06-11
06-13
06-16
07-29
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 4 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
54.2% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 333.73/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L1.7 / M8.5 / H89.8