@ggwpbrothers

#9,47756

0x7a3c613f4db5ec4f6f9cb8583ba45fd2fe41977c

~69d· 41 markets · 1053 tradesVol: $935,8362026-09-10 20:23:22
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

56
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

54% (20/37)12/20
1.30x (win $50,294 / loss $38,678)6.3/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.95215/15
Sortino 2.58710/10
$+0.1121 per $1 invested5.6/10
HHI 2306 (37 markets)1/10
14/25 profitable days (56%)6.5/10
Max DD 289% of peak ($33,580 / $11,616)0/10

Badges

5
Profitable
PnL $+17,108
Contrarian
69% entries < $0.55
DCA Master
Avg 37.6 entries/market
Whale
$103,641 invested
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

2
🏛️ POLITICS#2,539$17,120Vol: $918,762
CRYPTO#1,571,175$-200Vol: $16,060

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$16,924
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$935,836
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
41
total markets
Trades
401B / 652S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~69d

Periods

#2
Today
$366
Vol: $0
Week
$-82
Vol: $31,552
Month
$2,675
Vol: $52,300
All Time
$16,924
Vol: $935,836

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
54%
20W / 17L events
Realized PnL
$17,108
Win Rate
54%
20W / 17L
Profit Factor
1.3x
Avg Win
$2,515
Avg Loss
$-2,275

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $48,330 (2.8250340926560358% of PnL)

Top Winners

Iran closes its airspace by June 30?$47,141
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?$700
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?$489
US strikes Iran by March 5, 2026?$466
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?$463
US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?$265
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$208
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$182
US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?$145
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$119

Top Losers

Israel closes its airspace by May 31?$-9,735
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?$-8,540
Iran leadership change by May 31?$-5,412
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?$-5,043
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$-4,012
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?$-3,741
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?$-820
Masoud Pezeshkian out by March 31?$-687
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$-247
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?$-200

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.049
Sortino
0.107
HHI
3279
Concentrated
EV per $1
$0.083
Kelly %
4.6%
Half-Kelly
2.3%
Top-1 market
50.4%
Top-5 markets
97.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
4.2
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
5:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.8h
between trades
Night Trading
32%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.86
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
10.7

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 218s — normal for humanCV 3.86 — diverse sizes (human-like)32% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock4 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal44% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 5:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
37.59
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)22.4%
Mid (20-55c)46.9%
High (>55c)30.7%

Sessions

#12
6/1/2026, 11:36:38 AM2 trades$100,0000 min
6/1/2026, 11:54:39 AM3 trades$100,0000 min
5/30/2026, 11:32:34 AM6 trades$96,3174 min
5/27/2026, 1:56:34 AM6 trades$50,0910 min
5/26/2026, 1:01:54 AM12 trades$48,7883 min
6/7/2026, 11:08:15 PM41 trades$41,1093 min
5/27/2026, 5:34:42 AM97 trades$16,0610 min
5/30/2026, 11:20:58 AM7 trades$10,9025 min
5/25/2026, 10:49:57 AM6 trades$8,2851 min
5/1/2026, 4:09:50 PM12 trades$8,2220 min
6/4/2026, 6:51:00 PM14 trades$7,8864 min
5/26/2026, 12:49:27 AM17 trades$6,0467 min
5/6/2026, 4:05:29 PM6 trades$5,4340 min
6/2/2026, 11:36:53 AM4 trades$4,7700 min
6/3/2026, 6:10:15 PM27 trades$4,4081 min
6/3/2026, 2:54:40 AM11 trades$3,8110 min
5/23/2026, 1:03:07 AM2 trades$3,7490 min
5/29/2026, 4:55:33 PM33 trades$3,5148 min
9/9/2026, 1:50:33 AM17 trades$3,2835 min
6/4/2026, 8:11:03 PM8 trades$2,9111 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-08
01-18
02-19
04-09
05-29
06-02
08-13

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 95 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
61.9% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 37.59/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L22.4 / M46.9 / H30.7