@gmacdonald

#3,085,61756

0xc04755f7cb7e99d49395d833db8946c5cc02c0e6

~79d· 111 markets · 645 tradesVol: $99,7302026-10-08 02:54:11
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

56
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

56% (59/105)13.1/20
1.19x (win $23,583 / loss $19,763)4.9/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.65012.2/15
Sortino 0.7847.8/10
$+0.0661 per $1 invested3.3/10
HHI 758 (105 markets)8.7/10
23/43 profitable days (53%)5.9/10
Max DD 283% of peak ($13,991 / $4,939)0/10

Badges

4
DCA Master
Avg 8.0 entries/market
Whale
$57,798 invested
Win Streak
6 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

9
📈 ECONOMICS#1,354$3,583Vol: $33,763
🏛️ POLITICS#1,650,950$-5,190Vol: $28,952
💰 FINANCE#4,861$815Vol: $17,066
⚽ SPORTS#1,861,144$-688Vol: $15,768
🎭 CULTURE#17,937$128Vol: $1,365
🌤️ WEATHER#285,785$-80Vol: $1,071
📢 MENTIONS#9,026$51Vol: $611
💻 TECH#268,586$-212Vol: $607
₿ CRYPTO#1,543,154$-143Vol: $527

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-1,736
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$99,730
Total Redeem
$50
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
111
total markets
Trades
405B / 240S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~79d

Periods

#2
Today
$9
Vol: $0
Week
$-91
Vol: $3,100
Month
$-215
Vol: $11,706
All Time
$-1,736
Vol: $99,730

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
56%
59W / 46L events
Realized PnL
$-1,761
Win Rate
56%
59W / 46L
Profit Factor
1.19x
Avg Win
$400
Avg Loss
$-460

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $14,517 (8.24211111994277% of PnL)

Top Winners

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$7,516
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$4,837
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$2,164
US forces enter Iran by April 30?$1,340
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$1,218
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?$1,126
Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.20 (LOW) by April 30, 2026?$902
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?$861
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?$744
Will England be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?$482

Top Losers

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$-6,351
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$-4,901
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$-1,997
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$-1,980
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?$-1,119
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?$-648
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?$-486
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?$-235
Will Big AI be out as #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 8?$-231
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 28, 2026?$-134

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.034
Sortino
0.027
HHI
1681
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.045
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
24.2%
Top-5 markets
79.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
2.6
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.4
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
13:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.2h
between trades
Night Trading
36%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.08
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.3

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 244s — normal for humanCV 2.08 — diverse sizes (human-like)36% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock3 trades/day — normal0.4 markets/day — normal45% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 13:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
7.95
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)22.2%
Mid (20-55c)23.2%
High (>55c)54.6%

Sessions

#12
5/11/2026, 7:55:55 AM11 trades$5,6451 min
9/28/2026, 5:33:09 AM7 trades$5,2001 min
6/12/2026, 1:54:15 PM8 trades$3,3281 min
4/27/2026, 5:58:54 AM10 trades$2,9340 min
6/27/2026, 1:37:04 PM9 trades$2,6890 min
6/16/2026, 1:47:40 PM7 trades$2,5091 min
4/22/2026, 11:13:56 PM15 trades$2,3511 min
6/11/2026, 12:58:15 AM14 trades$2,2428 min
8/1/2026, 5:35:18 AM2 trades$2,1000 min
4/6/2026, 1:19:29 AM2 trades$1,9940 min
6/12/2026, 5:18:10 AM13 trades$1,8794 min
7/9/2026, 1:57:34 AM4 trades$1,5920 min
7/8/2026, 11:43:38 AM3 trades$1,5730 min
7/10/2026, 11:29:13 PM2 trades$1,5400 min
6/12/2026, 4:36:42 AM3 trades$1,5350 min
6/8/2026, 5:24:34 AM2 trades$1,3870 min
9/30/2026, 8:09:56 AM4 trades$1,3360 min
9/26/2026, 9:00:03 AM19 trades$1,2680 min
7/12/2026, 12:52:04 AM8 trades$1,1881 min
6/11/2026, 9:56:31 PM4 trades$1,1760 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-26
02-03
02-19
04-06
05-12
06-27
09-07

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 19 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
37.2% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 7.95/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L22.2 / M23.2 / H54.6