@golf-stage-3

#47,14126

0xbad973e9b54c4b9eaaf4c3a213c946236dde7ad0

~157d· 127 markets · 87166 tradesVol: $4,584,4242026-08-02 08:54:54
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

26
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

58% (42/73)13.8/20
0.38x (win $49,173 / loss $129,240)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -5.4570/15
Sortino -5.6770/10
$-0.4110 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1035 (73 markets)7.3/10
17/34 profitable days (50%)5/10
Max DD 41760% of peak ($99,392 / $238)0/10

Badges

7
Profitable
PnL $+2,263
Lottery Player
60% entries < $0.20
DCA Master
Avg 557.8 entries/market
Whale
$194,807 invested
High Roller
$1,241/day
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
100% maker orders

Categories

1
SPORTS#19,103$2,270Vol: $4,584,424

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$2,270
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$4,584,424
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
127
total markets
Trades
69081B / 18085S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~157d

Periods

#2
Today
$12
Vol: $3,083
Week
$54
Vol: $3,083
Month
$-1
Vol: $9,909
All Time
$2,270
Vol: $4,584,424

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
58%
42W / 31L events
Realized PnL
$2,263
Win Rate
58%
42W / 31L
Profit Factor
0.38x
Avg Win
$1,171
Avg Loss
$-4,169

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $48,786 (21.562475967381936% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$48,560
Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?$136
Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$90
Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$64
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?$43
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?$43
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?$35
Will the Houston Rockets win the NBA Western Conference Finals?$24
Will the Denver Nuggets win the NBA Western Conference Finals?$20
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$19

Top Losers

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-31,504
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-29,474
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-26,623
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-12,198
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-12,060
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-8,854
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-2,105
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-2,018
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-1,656
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-627

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.281
Sortino
-0.239
HHI
830
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.507
Kelly %
35.1%
Half-Kelly
17.5%
Top-1 market
16.3%
Top-5 markets
57.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
555.2
Very active
Markets / Day
0.8
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
3:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
4.4m
between trades
Night Trading
25%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.92
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
27 min
Avg Trades / Session
165.7

Bot Detection

#6
65
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 108s — normal for humanCV 3.92 — diverse sizes (human-like)25% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock555 trades/day — automation0.8 markets/day — normal100% maker — systematic market making

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 3:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
557.78
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)59.8%
Mid (20-55c)3.1%
High (>55c)37.1%

Sessions

#12
7/7/2026, 5:47:02 PM277 trades$4,27743 min
7/12/2026, 3:36:55 AM435 trades$3,74219 min
7/7/2026, 4:52:34 PM320 trades$3,71248 min
7/7/2026, 6:36:13 PM257 trades$3,676103 min
7/14/2026, 6:57:04 PM612 trades$3,49974 min
7/12/2026, 2:55:52 AM337 trades$3,38430 min
7/14/2026, 8:28:50 PM628 trades$3,11574 min
7/10/2026, 6:41:41 PM237 trades$3,03771 min
7/9/2026, 9:23:52 PM361 trades$2,85415 min
7/12/2026, 2:19:01 AM394 trades$2,75332 min
7/12/2026, 12:39:52 AM252 trades$2,62750 min
7/6/2026, 2:57:31 AM613 trades$2,41249 min
7/10/2026, 8:21:05 PM174 trades$2,31543 min
7/5/2026, 4:41:32 PM43 trades$1,7757 min
7/3/2026, 11:45:14 PM294 trades$1,42226 min
7/11/2026, 7:51:16 PM25 trades$1,4033 min
7/10/2026, 11:46:20 AM54 trades$1,22921 min
7/11/2026, 8:50:26 PM26 trades$1,20912 min
7/6/2026, 4:09:58 AM235 trades$1,16049 min
7/6/2026, 8:03:26 AM314 trades$1,11539 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-27
03-18
03-26
04-15
06-11
07-01
07-11

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 89 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
20.7% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 557.78/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L59.8 / M3.1 / H37.1