@groth

#1,34496

0x71abe97b83eaba3f06cb04fd4d9a03ee37d2f015

~176d· 360 markets · 7327 tradesVol: $2,025,3072026-08-04 14:06:52
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

96
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

63% (192/303)16.7/20
4.85x (win $174,718 / loss $36,041)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 5.38915/15
Sortino 35.72010/10
$+0.1953 per $1 invested9.8/10
HHI 366 (303 markets)10/10
84/123 profitable days (68%)9.6/10
Max DD 5% of peak ($7,333 / $138,703)10/10

Badges

10
Sniper
Win rate 63%
Profitable
PnL $+148,674
DCA Master
Avg 19.7 entries/market
Whale
$710,143 invested
Consistent
84/123 profitable days
High Roller
$3,757/day
Cool Head
Max DD 5%
Win Streak
8 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
74% maker orders

Categories

6
🏛️ POLITICS#962$52,284Vol: $1,024,641
📈 ECONOMICS#102$70,171Vol: $521,416
💰 FINANCE#321$16,219Vol: $313,471
CRYPTO#109,780$73Vol: $15,337
🎭 CULTURE#721,719$-19Vol: $12,000
SPORTS#108,213$126Vol: $5,505

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$148,819
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$2,025,307
Total Redeem
$18,576
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
360
total markets
Trades
5105B / 2222S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~176d

Periods

#2
Today
$-51
Vol: $13,310
Week
$723
Vol: $28,771
Month
$9,655
Vol: $41,098
All Time
$148,819
Vol: $2,025,307

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
64%
192W / 110L events
Realized PnL
$148,674
Win Rate
64%
192W / 110L
Profit Factor
4.85x
Avg Win
$910
Avg Loss
$-328

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $62,041 (0.4172997984040748% of PnL)

Top Winners

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$26,230
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?$18,359
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$17,453
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?$16,272
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$15,314
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?$5,909
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?$5,142
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?$4,530
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?$4,252
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?$3,965

Top Losers

Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?$-4,231
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?$-2,981
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?$-2,712
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?$-1,731
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?$-1,591
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?$-1,243
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?$-1,222
Will gas hit (High) $4.25 by April 30?$-1,220
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14$-1,170
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?$-1,167

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.281
Sortino
1.237
HHI
218
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.269
Kelly %
3.6%
Half-Kelly
1.8%
Top-1 market
8.9%
Top-5 markets
28.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
38.8
Active
Markets / Day
1.9
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
12:00 UTC
Median Gap
5.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
46.5m
between trades
Night Trading
15%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.88
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
6 min
Avg Trades / Session
16.8

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 337s — normal for humanCV 2.88 — diverse sizes (human-like)15% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock39 trades/day — high frequency1.9 markets/day — normal74% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 12:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
19.75
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)19.8%
Mid (20-55c)19.7%
High (>55c)60.6%

Sessions

#12
6/26/2026, 5:08:50 AM45 trades$44,9479 min
6/14/2026, 9:14:39 PM128 trades$25,60051 min
6/4/2026, 11:57:30 AM27 trades$15,0490 min
4/17/2026, 12:46:42 PM95 trades$14,15138 min
5/23/2026, 8:31:42 PM125 trades$11,98567 min
7/8/2026, 1:49:59 PM3 trades$10,9061 min
7/20/2026, 12:26:00 PM2 trades$9,9900 min
7/11/2026, 10:14:52 PM31 trades$8,64012 min
4/30/2026, 4:50:50 PM1 trades$8,5200 min
7/25/2026, 1:40:49 PM26 trades$8,0103 min
3/23/2026, 6:32:05 PM18 trades$7,76519 min
5/22/2026, 12:19:07 PM40 trades$7,7083 min
6/23/2026, 2:01:38 PM4 trades$7,0002 min
7/12/2026, 3:50:08 AM13 trades$6,6860 min
5/28/2026, 2:13:51 PM25 trades$6,2332 min
7/8/2026, 1:26:59 PM7 trades$6,1361 min
6/1/2026, 1:18:16 PM12 trades$6,11913 min
5/13/2026, 8:45:36 PM10 trades$5,9000 min
5/16/2026, 9:14:38 AM1 trades$5,8280 min
5/10/2026, 1:01:00 PM8 trades$5,7260 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-27
03-03
03-29
04-24
05-25
06-25
07-29

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 4 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
30.3% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 19.75/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L19.8 / M19.7 / H60.6