grub-gg

@grub-gg

#3,015,27916

0x0dc4c433cd554e5140ee5673baa4e3712de34870

~59d· 552 markets · 1463 tradesVol: $80,1722026-08-26 09:24:48
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

16
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

35% (192/542)2.7/20
0.70x (win $1,335 / loss $1,917)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -6.0250/15
Sortino -6.2700/10
$-0.0722 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 68 (542 markets)10/10
25/58 profitable days (43%)3.3/10
Max DD 1614% of peak ($641 / $40)0/10

Badges

5
Contrarian
59% entries < $0.55
Diamond Hands
10% sells
Win Streak
6 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
90% maker orders

Categories

1
SPORTS#1,861,812$-1,666Vol: $80,172

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-1,666
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$80,172
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
552
total markets
Trades
1322B / 141S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~59d

Periods

#2
Today
$8
Vol: $165
Week
$5
Vol: $5,981
Month
$-683
Vol: $51,780
All Time
$-1,666
Vol: $80,172

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
35%
190W / 348L events
Realized PnL
$-1,674
Win Rate
35%
190W / 348L
Profit Factor
0.7x
Avg Win
$7
Avg Loss
$-6

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $130 (0.07776257862574446% of PnL)

Top Winners

Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: O/U 4.5$51
Will EC Juventude win on 2026-08-18?$40
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?$39
Norway vs. England: Draw at halftime?$32
FK Dynamo Kyiv vs. PAOK: O/U 2.5$32
FC Seoul vs. Incheon United FC: O/U 1.5$31
Segovia: Dan Added vs Florent Bax$29
Spread: Sydney FC (-2.5)$28
San Marino: Francesco Maestrelli vs Juan Pablo Varillas$27
Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?$27

Top Losers

Cincinnati Open: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Jan Choinski$-47
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?$-43
Avaí FC vs. Clube Náutico Capibaribe: O/U 2.5$-35
Spread: Charlotte FC (-1.5)$-34
Generali Open: Vit Kopriva vs Ignacio Buse$-34
Spread: Fenerbahçe SK (-2.5)$-32
Will Pumas de la UNAM win on 2026-07-31?$-31
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 3.5$-29
Spread: Páfos FC (-1.5)$-27
Livesport Prague Open: Nikola Bartunkova vs Yue Yuan$-27

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.313
Sortino
-0.338
HHI
64
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.073
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
4%
Top-5 markets
11.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
19.2
Active
Markets / Day
7.3
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
20:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
52.7m
between trades
Night Trading
26%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.22
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
6 min
Avg Trades / Session
8.4

Bot Detection

#6
50
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 287s — normal for humanCV 1.22 — diverse sizes (human-like)26% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock19 trades/day — very active7.3 markets/day — normal90% maker — systematic market making

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 20:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.69
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)9%
Mid (20-55c)50.1%
High (>55c)40.9%

Sessions

#12
8/13/2026, 8:15:13 PM52 trades$41150 min
8/18/2026, 11:18:42 PM4 trades$1957 min
8/23/2026, 1:37:37 AM22 trades$17720 min
8/21/2026, 9:10:09 PM12 trades$1735 min
6/28/2026, 3:50:10 AM2 trades$1600 min
8/19/2026, 2:19:18 AM4 trades$1541 min
8/15/2026, 1:12:34 AM4 trades$1522 min
8/23/2026, 7:23:36 PM24 trades$15030 min
8/19/2026, 2:33:01 AM4 trades$1431 min
8/20/2026, 12:41:15 AM23 trades$13516 min
8/23/2026, 6:10:37 PM7 trades$1305 min
8/23/2026, 9:10:39 PM15 trades$1236 min
8/15/2026, 8:05:00 PM15 trades$1197 min
8/22/2026, 7:25:13 PM10 trades$1131 min
8/14/2026, 10:19:27 PM2 trades$1090 min
8/15/2026, 10:53:33 PM7 trades$1095 min
8/19/2026, 1:41:30 AM5 trades$1055 min
8/22/2026, 1:28:24 AM2 trades$1020 min
8/22/2026, 9:12:03 PM4 trades$990 min
8/19/2026, 12:38:49 AM11 trades$9417 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-12
06-29
07-12
07-23
08-04
08-13
08-22
08-26

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 66 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
9.6% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.69/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L9 / M50.1 / H40.9