@guacamole.nz
#143,970920x5fceaf755333e952afa2c7393302361d60fff22a
~169d· 137 markets · 542 tradesVol: $13,2862026-08-24 17:08:03
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
92
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
66% (82/124)18.1/20
1.97x (win $793 / loss $402)14.7/15
Annualised Sharpe 3.99215/15
Sortino 7.95110/10
$+0.1251 per $1 invested6.3/10
HHI 298 (124 markets)10/10
57/73 profitable days (78%)10/10
Max DD 29% of peak ($116 / $403)8.2/10
Badges
6Sniper
Win rate 66%
Profitable
PnL $+313
Consistent
57/73 profitable days
Cool Head
Max DD 29%
Win Streak
10 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Categories
9🏛️ POLITICS#40,390$244Vol: $8,213
⚽ SPORTS#185,192$39Vol: $3,282
🎭 CULTURE#36,994$37Vol: $744
📈 ECONOMICS#30,077$19Vol: $424
💻 TECH#54,557$1Vol: $260
💰 FINANCE#492,672$-2Vol: $206
₿ CRYPTO#759,399$-0Vol: $86
📢 MENTIONS#148,866$-25Vol: $45
🌤️ WEATHER#41,480$3Vol: $26
Overview
#1Net PnL
$315
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$13,286
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
137
total markets
Trades
325B / 217S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~169d
Periods
#2Today
$3
Vol: $0
Week
$3
Vol: $0
Month
$13
Vol: $200
All Time
$315
Vol: $13,286
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
66%
82W / 42L events
Realized PnL
$313
Win Rate
66%
82W / 42L
Profit Factor
1.97x
Avg Win
$10
Avg Loss
$-10
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $317 (1.0132196570552734% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will the federal government be shut down for 30 or more days in 2025?$130
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?$114
Nothing Ever Happens: August$73
James Comey arrested by October 31?$70
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$43
Houthi strike on Israel by August 31?$28
Will Trump's approval rating hit 40% in 2025?$28
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?$25
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?$24
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?$19
Top Losers
Will Trump meet with Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in September?$-83
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 10?$-42
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 12?$-35
Will Russia capture Novopavlivka by September 30?$-33
Will MrBeast raise $40M for clean water by August 31?$-24
Will Trump say "Venezuela" during announcement today?$-21
Israel strikes Yemen again by August 31?$-19
North Korea missile test by August 31?$-15
Another Houthi strike on Israel by September 15?$-15
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$-12
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.207
Sortino
0.249
HHI
670
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.113
Kelly %
5.6%
Half-Kelly
2.8%
Top-1 market
22.8%
Top-5 markets
40.4%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
1.4
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.4
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
18:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.3h
between trades
Avg Gap
5.0h
between trades
Night Trading
14%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.10
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.2
Bot Detection
#615
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 4658s — normal for humanCV 1.10 — diverse sizes (human-like)14% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock1 trades/day — normal0.4 markets/day — normal58% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 18:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
4.58
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)21.2%
Mid (20-55c)13.8%
High (>55c)64.9%
Sessions
#128/11/2025, 6:00:42 PM22 trades$23811 min
8/23/2025, 7:17:09 AM6 trades$1053 min
10/10/2025, 6:09:06 PM1 trades$1000 min
10/10/2025, 12:17:22 PM1 trades$930 min
10/12/2025, 6:24:16 AM1 trades$860 min
10/29/2025, 1:36:05 AM1 trades$800 min
6/20/2026, 10:59:11 AM1 trades$780 min
8/25/2025, 5:53:17 AM3 trades$662 min
8/25/2025, 9:27:49 AM5 trades$661 min
10/12/2025, 7:04:20 AM3 trades$576 min
9/30/2025, 5:19:59 AM1 trades$540 min
3/25/2026, 2:16:21 PM1 trades$540 min
6/15/2026, 5:49:36 AM3 trades$520 min
8/8/2026, 4:53:24 PM6 trades$513 min
9/1/2025, 7:06:52 PM1 trades$490 min
10/8/2025, 1:40:10 PM1 trades$480 min
4/9/2026, 3:58:31 PM1 trades$470 min
10/12/2025, 6:17:50 AM1 trades$460 min
4/10/2026, 8:40:57 AM2 trades$450 min
10/8/2025, 1:52:14 PM1 trades$430 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
08-11
09-07
09-23
10-16
12-03
03-27
08-13
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 4 days (recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
40% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.58/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L21.2 / M13.8 / H64.9