@gutierrezalexander

#2,038,72410

0xa43da1c72619124660c64a3ee3dc985f2dfc46ea

~201d· 85 markets · 323 tradesVol: $28,9802026-10-06 09:09:46
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

10
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

12% (6/50)0/20
0.75x (win $10 / loss $13)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.9920/15
Sortino -1.8830/10
$-0.0004 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 329 (50 markets)10/10
6/48 profitable days (12%)0/10
Max DD 213% of peak ($7 / $3)0/10

Badges

1
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

5
🏛️ POLITICS#1,253,637$-9Vol: $15,112
⚽ SPORTS#1,251,758$-6Vol: $10,987
🎭 CULTURE#515,713$-1Vol: $1,317
📈 ECONOMICS#491,059$-1Vol: $1,170
₿ CRYPTO#788,017$-0Vol: $394

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-17
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$28,980
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
85
total markets
Trades
146B / 177S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~201d

Periods

#2
Week
$-0
Vol: $171
Month
$-1
Vol: $625
All Time
$-17
Vol: $28,980

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
12%
6W / 44L events
Realized PnL
$-17
Win Rate
12%
6W / 44L
Profit Factor
0.75x
Avg Win
$2
Avg Loss
$-0

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $9 (0.555359246171967% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$8
Will Tunisia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1
Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?$0
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after July 2025 meeting?$0
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by November 30?$0

Top Losers

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$-4
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$-2
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 9?$-1
Will Haiti win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-1
Will Fernando Alonso be the 2025 Drivers Champion?$-1
Will Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$-1
Will Elon tweet 340–354 times August 29–September 5?$-0
Will Antonio Saravia win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?$-0
Will the Atlanta Braves win the 2025 World Series?$-0
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2025 Drivers Champion?$-0

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.051
Sortino
-0.097
HHI
116
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.001
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
3.8%
Top-5 markets
17.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.7
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
18:00 UTC
Median Gap
17.5h
between trades
Avg Gap
13.4h
between trades
Night Trading
20%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.64
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.4

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 62946s — normal for humanCV 0.64 — diverse sizes (human-like)20% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock1 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal16% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 18:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.06
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)17.8%
Mid (20-55c)0%
High (>55c)82.2%

Sessions

#12
6/26/2026, 2:36:55 AM9 trades$6583 min
7/9/2026, 2:14:37 AM6 trades$4761 min
7/3/2026, 12:43:07 PM6 trades$3271 min
7/2/2026, 7:03:50 AM2 trades$1630 min
6/16/2025, 4:16:58 AM1 trades$970 min
6/18/2025, 3:11:08 AM1 trades$970 min
7/3/2025, 5:15:15 PM1 trades$960 min
7/9/2025, 2:11:37 AM1 trades$960 min
7/23/2025, 7:55:59 PM1 trades$950 min
7/24/2025, 5:01:50 PM1 trades$950 min
6/24/2025, 5:59:07 PM1 trades$940 min
8/3/2025, 2:02:46 PM1 trades$940 min
6/26/2025, 11:13:57 AM1 trades$940 min
8/5/2025, 6:46:52 AM1 trades$940 min
8/20/2025, 6:51:12 PM1 trades$940 min
6/18/2025, 11:12:50 PM1 trades$940 min
6/23/2025, 4:56:55 PM1 trades$940 min
8/22/2025, 3:31:22 PM1 trades$940 min
6/13/2025, 10:58:41 AM1 trades$930 min
6/27/2025, 10:31:37 AM1 trades$930 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-12
07-24
08-22
10-14
12-24
02-22

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 13 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
54.8% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.06/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L17.8 / M0 / H82.2