headsh0t

@headsh0t

#7,62184

0x41f3b515c133850bc03e72b3bfaa42cf0962844e

~83d· 287 markets · 5902 tradesVol: $1,068,9422026-08-03 16:49:41
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

84
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

46% (129/281)8/20
2.01x (win $116,867 / loss $58,107)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 5.41915/15
Sortino 12.34410/10
$+0.2547 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 132 (281 markets)10/10
35/64 profitable days (55%)6.2/10
Max DD 14% of peak ($8,061 / $58,759)10/10

Badges

7
Profitable
PnL $+20,698
DCA Master
Avg 20.8 entries/market
Whale
$230,664 invested
High Roller
$2,378/day
Cool Head
Max DD 14%
Win Streak
6 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

5
💰 FINANCE#232$19,853Vol: $995,791
🏛️ POLITICS#20,235$823Vol: $66,110
📈 ECONOMICS#577,671$-6Vol: $3,530
🎭 CULTURE#28,694$56Vol: $2,213
🌤️ WEATHER#281,279$-75Vol: $1,241

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$20,648
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,068,942
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
287
total markets
Trades
2518B / 3384S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~83d

Periods

#2
Today
$-20
Vol: $2,555
Week
$-20
Vol: $33,559
Month
$861
Vol: $42,906
All Time
$20,648
Vol: $1,068,942

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
46%
129W / 152L events
Realized PnL
$20,698
Win Rate
46%
129W / 152L
Profit Factor
2.01x
Avg Win
$906
Avg Loss
$-401

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $34,757 (1.6792807896529565% of PnL)

Top Winners

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$15,109
Will SpaceX (SPCX) close above $110 end of July?$10,991
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in June?$8,657
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 22?$5,339
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.40 in June?$5,280
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $56 in July?$3,763
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $740 on May 13?$3,019
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $64 in June?$2,223
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in July?$2,195
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $745 on May 14?$1,877

Top Losers

Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 in June?$-6,190
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $770 in June?$-4,452
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 7?$-2,481
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 11?$-1,981
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in July?$-1,629
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $740 Week of June 1 2026?$-1,495
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,800 in July?$-1,401
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 11?$-1,356
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 13?$-1,327
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 10?$-1,230

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.281
Sortino
0.495
HHI
132
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.275
Kelly %
0.4%
Half-Kelly
0.2%
Top-1 market
6.4%
Top-5 markets
18.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
60.8
Very active
Markets / Day
3.0
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
12:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
40.9m
between trades
Night Trading
19%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.59
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
5 min
Avg Trades / Session
22.6

Bot Detection

#6
45
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
MEDIUM
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 217s — normal for humanCV 2.59 — diverse sizes (human-like)19% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock61 trades/day — mass trading3.0 markets/day — normal43% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 12:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
20.84
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)22.7%
Mid (20-55c)21.1%
High (>55c)56.2%

Sessions

#12
8/2/2026, 4:12:30 PM2 trades$8,3010 min
5/7/2026, 7:08:26 AM25 trades$7,28016 min
7/22/2026, 7:14:42 PM98 trades$7,22334 min
6/15/2026, 4:43:31 PM45 trades$5,3907 min
6/4/2026, 10:06:39 AM23 trades$5,1036 min
8/2/2026, 4:30:02 PM1 trades$4,7300 min
6/24/2026, 12:52:23 PM155 trades$4,5702 min
7/14/2026, 12:31:37 PM42 trades$4,5056 min
5/11/2026, 2:54:18 PM7 trades$4,0372 min
6/14/2026, 2:13:57 PM31 trades$3,9706 min
6/14/2026, 9:35:01 PM36 trades$3,9246 min
6/22/2026, 7:09:16 PM5 trades$3,9090 min
6/9/2026, 2:31:13 PM31 trades$3,64614 min
5/4/2026, 7:03:24 PM2 trades$3,5700 min
5/26/2026, 12:18:11 AM16 trades$3,5410 min
6/11/2026, 5:42:40 PM30 trades$3,4269 min
5/6/2026, 5:36:43 PM3 trades$3,2170 min
6/4/2026, 3:11:27 PM24 trades$3,0696 min
6/12/2026, 12:30:22 PM23 trades$2,9262 min
5/6/2026, 1:35:02 PM27 trades$2,86213 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-29
05-12
05-29
06-13
06-24
07-13
07-27

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 6 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
57.3% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 20.84/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L22.7 / M21.1 / H56.2