@hnbl2715

#2,672,0915

0x9842a7fcf5724641044ae5c138b07cf823205ac8

~14d· 23 markets · 85 tradesVol: $6,3582026-08-06 08:02:08
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

5
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

27% (4/15)0/20
0.54x (win $70 / loss $130)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -4.8300/15
Sortino -6.3730/10
$-0.0852 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1455 (15 markets)5.2/10
3/10 profitable days (30%)0/10
Max DD 553% of peak ($72 / $13)0/10

Badges

1
Lottery Player
32% entries < $0.20

Categories

4
🎭 CULTURE#793,651$-183Vol: $6,035
SPORTS#209,637$27Vol: $147
🏛️ POLITICS#157,378$13Vol: $133
CRYPTO#1,265,012$-20Vol: $42

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-164
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$6,358
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
23
total markets
Trades
34B / 51S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~14d

Periods

#2
Today
$-31
Vol: $50
Week
$10
Vol: $3,489
Month
$5
Vol: $3,914
All Time
$-164
Vol: $6,358

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
27%
4W / 11L events
Realized PnL
$-164
Win Rate
27%
4W / 11L
Profit Factor
0.54x
Avg Win
$18
Avg Loss
$-14

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $69 (0.4191324507351596% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$50
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$13
Will Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Best Game Direction at the 2025 Game Awards?$5
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 340m and 350m?$1

Top Losers

Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 260m and 280m?$-20
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 December 8-14?$-20
Trump declassifies UFO files in 2025?$-20
Will Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Best Audio Design at the 2025 Game Awards?$-15
Will Hollow Knight: Silksong win Best Game on Steam Deck at the 2025 Steam Awards?$-14
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 200m and 220m?$-12
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 240m and 260m?$-12
Will "The Odyssey" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 52m and 57m?$-12
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 115m?$-4

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.240
Sortino
-0.468
HHI
1188
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.108
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
31.7%
Top-5 markets
50.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.2
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
14/24
Extended
Peak Hour
4:00 UTC
Median Gap
43.9m
between trades
Avg Gap
4.7h
between trades
Night Trading
41%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.22
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
27
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.1

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 2634s — normal for humanCV 1.22 — diverse sizes (human-like)41% night trades — never sleeps14/24 hours — normal schedule0 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal33% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 4:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.07
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)32.4%
Mid (20-55c)20.6%
High (>55c)47.1%

Sessions

#12
7/25/2026, 4:16:55 AM25 trades$3714 min
8/1/2026, 5:07:44 PM2 trades$2010 min
8/2/2026, 5:50:11 PM2 trades$1210 min
7/18/2026, 4:45:52 PM2 trades$850 min
7/31/2026, 10:40:35 PM2 trades$500 min
12/10/2025, 1:29:07 PM3 trades$491 min
7/21/2026, 12:59:55 AM4 trades$450 min
7/21/2026, 11:24:45 PM2 trades$450 min
7/20/2026, 1:56:19 PM2 trades$440 min
8/4/2026, 1:37:30 AM2 trades$400 min
7/3/2025, 11:33:45 AM1 trades$300 min
7/15/2026, 9:51:44 PM2 trades$300 min
8/2/2026, 5:40:27 PM4 trades$260 min
12/9/2025, 11:58:19 AM1 trades$200 min
12/10/2025, 3:00:20 AM1 trades$200 min
8/5/2026, 5:34:00 PM1 trades$190 min
8/4/2026, 3:45:54 AM1 trades$170 min
7/18/2026, 4:23:58 PM2 trades$150 min
8/2/2026, 3:44:32 PM2 trades$130 min
8/3/2026, 7:21:50 PM2 trades$120 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
07-03
12-09
12-10
07-15
07-18
07-25
07-31
08-01
08-02
08-03

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 396 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
60% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.07/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L32.4 / M20.6 / H47.1