@honeyroasted

#2,992,61221

0x2efc9783c043b1c40f270321669367ddaeea5686

~98d· 222 markets · 2525 tradesVol: $464,9552026-10-08 02:27:20
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

21
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

40% (86/213)5.2/20
0.92x (win $6,963 / loss $7,584)1.5/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.4790/15
Sortino -0.6740/10
$-0.0257 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 309 (213 markets)10/10
35/76 profitable days (46%)4/10
Max DD 180% of peak ($3,645 / $2,020)0/10

Badges

4
Lottery Player
87% entries < $0.20
Win Streak
8 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
82% maker orders

Categories

6
⚽ SPORTS#1,892,982$-1,347Vol: $398,850
🏛️ POLITICS#30,243$422Vol: $47,514
🌤️ WEATHER#299,556$-383Vol: $8,722
🎭 CULTURE#6,860$625Vol: $8,368
📢 MENTIONS#121,853$-6Vol: $630
₿ CRYPTO#821,670$-1Vol: $516

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-762
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$464,955
Total Redeem
$640
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
222
total markets
Trades
2265B / 260S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~98d

Periods

#2
Today
$-3
Vol: $0
Week
$280
Vol: $6,137
Month
$277
Vol: $6,137
All Time
$-762
Vol: $464,955

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
41%
86W / 124L events
Realized PnL
$-762
Win Rate
41%
86W / 124L
Profit Factor
0.92x
Avg Win
$81
Avg Loss
$-61

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $2,168 (2.844603636936157% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Tim Walz be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?$1,205
Who will win the VP debate according to polls?$483
Will Indiana beat Northwestern by 14 or more points?$480
Will Andy Beshear be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?$310
Spurs vs. Trail Blazers$300
Spurs vs. Trail Blazers$258
Will Busenaz Surmeneli (TUR) win Gold in Women’s 66kg Boxing at the 2024 Summer Olympics? $255
Broncos vs. Saints$252
Will the Charlotte Hornets win the 2026 NBA Finals?$244
USA wins the most gold medals in 2024 Paris Olympics?$196

Top Losers

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$-1,136
Packers vs. Colts$-723
Will Georgia beat Kentucky by 23 or more points?$-564
Will Washington beat Washington State?$-408
Will the Bills beat the Titans by 10 or more points?$-260
Will the Colts win Super Bowl 2025?$-241
2024 July hottest on record?$-216
Will the Giants win Super Bowl 2025?$-192
CFB: Florida St. vs. Georgia Tech$-186
2024 August hottest on record?$-182

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.025
Sortino
-0.030
HHI
292
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.026
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
9.4%
Top-5 markets
31%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
3.1
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.3
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
16:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
48.6m
between trades
Night Trading
25%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
4.49
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.7

Bot Detection

#6
25
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 226s — normal for humanCV 4.49 — diverse sizes (human-like)25% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock3 trades/day — normal0.3 markets/day — normal82% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 16:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
12.22
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)86.7%
Mid (20-55c)7.3%
High (>55c)6%

Sessions

#12
8/5/2024, 10:35:57 PM14 trades$1,72811 min
10/25/2024, 6:43:45 PM2 trades$8823 min
7/26/2024, 5:53:16 PM7 trades$7974 min
9/14/2024, 11:22:54 PM2 trades$7211 min
9/15/2024, 4:28:43 PM1 trades$7170 min
7/30/2024, 5:17:00 PM7 trades$66313 min
8/2/2024, 7:07:42 PM1 trades$6180 min
10/5/2024, 7:28:06 PM2 trades$6160 min
9/15/2024, 4:03:23 PM2 trades$6082 min
8/11/2024, 4:11:40 PM20 trades$5645 min
10/28/2024, 2:09:57 AM6 trades$5644 min
8/2/2024, 5:25:14 AM2 trades$5264 min
8/2/2024, 5:41:47 AM3 trades$5254 min
7/24/2024, 8:15:01 PM3 trades$5032 min
7/25/2024, 1:02:09 AM2 trades$4632 min
7/24/2024, 1:51:40 AM12 trades$46320 min
11/4/2024, 2:17:23 AM1 trades$4580 min
8/3/2024, 11:48:31 AM1 trades$4510 min
7/25/2024, 10:56:03 AM11 trades$40022 min
8/2/2024, 8:45:10 PM2 trades$3880 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
07-22
08-08
08-22
09-09
10-20
02-28
04-18

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 92 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
10.3% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 12.22/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L86.7 / M7.3 / H6