@hotoffgrid

#3,069,6618

0xccc40fb02b47c921298c28358676f9d682255fa6

~18d· 35 markets · 3708 tradesVol: $2,388,4282026-08-23 11:05:39
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

8
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

11% (4/35)0/20
0.37x (win $5,918 / loss $16,055)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -8.9580/15
Sortino -9.5110/10
$-0.7408 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 951 (35 markets)7.7/10
3/15 profitable days (20%)0/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($10,982 / $0)0/10

Badges

4
Lottery Player
100% entries < $0.20
Diamond Hands
2% sells
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
98% maker orders

Categories

3
📈 ECONOMICS#687,703$-4,811Vol: $1,879,334
SPORTS#24,807$1,790Vol: $439,094
🏛️ POLITICS#1,627,412$-1,224Vol: $70,000

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-4,245
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$2,388,428
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
35
total markets
Trades
3649B / 59S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~18d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
11%
4W / 31L events
Realized PnL
$-4,245
Win Rate
11%
4W / 31L
Profit Factor
0.37x
Avg Win
$1,480
Avg Loss
$-518

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $5,904 (1.3906799903888285% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Wyndham Clark win the 2026 U.S. Open?$5,359
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$292
Stars vs. Golden Knights$253
Will Alexander Noren finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 The Open Championship?$15

Top Losers

Will Sam Burns win the 2026 The Open Championship?$-2,330
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$-2,000
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?$-2,000
Will Bryson Dechambeau win the 2026 Masters tournament?$-1,428
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?$-1,415
Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 Masters tournament?$-1,153
Netanyahu out by March 31?$-930
US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?$-759
Will Rasmus Hojgaard win the 2026 Masters tournament?$-714
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?$-550

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.453
Sortino
-0.653
HHI
1479
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.508
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
17%
Top-5 markets
73%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
21.7
Active
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
22:00 UTC
Median Gap
9s
between trades
Avg Gap
3.9m
between trades
Night Trading
17%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
9.22
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
12 min
Avg Trades / Session
71.0

Bot Detection

#6
60
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
51% gaps < 10s — regular intervalsCV 9.22 — diverse sizes (human-like)17% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock22 trades/day — high frequency0.2 markets/day — normal98% maker — systematic market making

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 22:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
198.54
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)99.5%
Mid (20-55c)0.2%
High (>55c)0.2%

Sessions

#12
5/13/2026, 5:59:12 PM13 trades$6,9848 min
4/8/2026, 7:17:01 PM1373 trades$5,882134 min
7/19/2026, 1:54:36 PM7 trades$2,3302 min
1/30/2026, 4:07:14 AM210 trades$1,85826 min
5/13/2026, 6:20:22 PM5 trades$1,7310 min
5/15/2026, 3:57:17 PM19 trades$1,6563 min
3/16/2026, 9:14:43 PM7 trades$1,1251 min
6/15/2026, 5:35:04 PM8 trades$1,0000 min
7/16/2026, 3:21:01 AM3 trades$8540 min
2/9/2026, 5:57:53 PM11 trades$7591 min
4/9/2026, 4:01:59 AM15 trades$6007 min
7/15/2026, 9:36:23 PM5 trades$5670 min
6/17/2026, 5:13:20 AM2 trades$5000 min
3/19/2026, 7:06:07 PM1 trades$4400 min
4/8/2026, 9:52:43 PM1324 trades$438163 min
6/16/2026, 2:28:01 PM3 trades$3714 min
5/23/2026, 9:35:50 PM1 trades$3400 min
6/16/2026, 6:15:46 PM4 trades$32310 min
1/30/2026, 4:38:28 AM1 trades$3100 min
6/16/2026, 9:58:37 AM68 trades$30123 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-30
03-19
04-09
05-14
05-23
06-16
07-13
07-19

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
1.6% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 198.54/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L99.5 / M0.2 / H0.2