@hqb.prediction

#3,084,4825

0x76eca4109d0dfe8649d5e3861dfccac67ae7d630

~54d· 99 markets · 3434 tradesVol: $3,186,5502026-08-26 09:12:33
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

5
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

25% (20/81)0/20
0.61x (win $33,757 / loss $55,116)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.3810/15
Sortino -3.4010/10
$-0.2633 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1483 (81 markets)5.1/10
6/33 profitable days (18%)0/10
Max DD 6915% of peak ($55,026 / $796)0/10

Badges

3
Lottery Player
45% entries < $0.20
Whale
$81,126 invested
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

1
CRYPTO#1,693,816$-5,900Vol: $3,186,550

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-5,900
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$3,186,550
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
99
total markets
Trades
1507B / 1927S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~54d

Periods

#2
Today
$-317
Vol: $4,925
Week
$-14,007
Vol: $1,121,216
Month
$4,526
Vol: $1,965,567
All Time
$-5,900
Vol: $3,186,550

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
25%
20W / 61L events
Realized PnL
$-5,390
Win Rate
25%
20W / 61L
Profit Factor
0.61x
Avg Win
$1,688
Avg Loss
$-950

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $26,057 (4.834409747282371% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in August?$18,748
Will Ethereum reach $2,500 in August?$4,528
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in August?$2,781
Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in August?$2,364
Will Ethereum reach $2,300 in August?$2,051
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in August?$614
Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in August?$528
Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in August?$496
Will Ethereum reach $2,200 in August?$472
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in June?$394

Top Losers

Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?$-10,036
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?$-7,883
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in June?$-7,419
Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in June?$-4,416
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in June?$-3,121
Will Ethereum dip to $1,100 in June?$-1,824
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 in June?$-1,798
Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in July?$-1,562
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June?$-1,505
Will Ethereum reach $2,500 in June?$-1,330

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.123
Sortino
-0.183
HHI
510
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.300
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
12.4%
Top-5 markets
44.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
40.4
Active
Markets / Day
1.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
8:00 UTC
Median Gap
8.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
50.3m
between trades
Night Trading
24%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.71
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
18.7

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
MEDIUM
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 527s — normal for humanCV 2.71 — diverse sizes (human-like)24% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock40 trades/day — high frequency1.2 markets/day — normal44% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 8:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
32.02
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)44.5%
Mid (20-55c)8.7%
High (>55c)46.8%

Sessions

#12
8/25/2026, 9:05:33 AM57 trades$152,2007 min
7/28/2026, 2:24:27 AM33 trades$77,80510 min
8/25/2026, 8:57:04 AM7 trades$54,5980 min
8/23/2026, 6:35:40 PM2 trades$48,6800 min
8/24/2026, 4:33:16 AM10 trades$35,8960 min
8/25/2026, 8:21:13 AM185 trades$32,3748 min
7/18/2026, 1:32:45 PM22 trades$31,2320 min
8/23/2026, 8:17:04 PM26 trades$31,0550 min
8/24/2026, 4:18:13 AM12 trades$28,6190 min
8/25/2026, 8:40:13 AM13 trades$28,4102 min
8/21/2026, 5:43:16 AM10 trades$28,1730 min
8/23/2026, 6:20:37 PM3 trades$26,7160 min
8/24/2026, 4:03:09 AM12 trades$26,2010 min
8/25/2026, 3:14:24 PM5 trades$25,1070 min
8/21/2026, 4:54:39 PM11 trades$21,2070 min
7/17/2026, 4:54:33 AM59 trades$19,9140 min
8/23/2026, 7:17:57 PM16 trades$17,7950 min
8/23/2026, 1:45:00 PM9 trades$15,8690 min
8/23/2026, 8:30:19 AM12 trades$13,6240 min
8/23/2026, 6:05:34 PM2 trades$13,3580 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-03
06-14
06-20
06-29
07-21
07-28
08-20

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 57 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
56.1% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 32.02/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L44.5 / M8.7 / H46.8