hurpdurp

@hurpdurp

#3,073,85129

0x1d3a805284bc8029cd6acd06d5a2b8b2b1807b63

~656d· 3386 markets · 24740 tradesVol: $12,076,3472026-08-04 19:53:19
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

29
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

55% (1852/3380)12.4/20
0.96x (win $1,590,784 / loss $1,663,381)2/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.3660/15
Sortino -0.4900/10
$-0.0151 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 8 (3380 markets)10/10
250/500 profitable days (50%)5/10
Max DD 196% of peak ($129,560 / $66,035)0/10

Badges

7
Contrarian
69% entries < $0.55
DCA Master
Avg 7.3 entries/market
Whale
$4,792,825 invested
High Roller
$6,459/day
Win Streak
12 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
85% maker orders

Categories

6
SPORTS#1,885,101$-95,459Vol: $11,535,534
🏛️ POLITICS#1,640,832$-29,422Vol: $391,760
🎭 CULTURE#3,716$1,556Vol: $86,619
📈 ECONOMICS#26,118$25Vol: $26,650
CRYPTO#69,478$177Vol: $13,000
📢 MENTIONS#3,822$217Vol: $4,869

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-123,393
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$12,076,347
Total Redeem
$154,406
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
3386
total markets
Trades
19696B / 5044S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~656d

Periods

#2
Today
$-1,846
Vol: $3,895
Week
$-2,590
Vol: $24,126
Month
$-12,543
Vol: $35,133
All Time
$-123,393
Vol: $12,076,347

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
55%
1852W / 1528L events
Realized PnL
$-123,376
Win Rate
55%
1852W / 1528L
Profit Factor
0.96x
Avg Win
$859
Avg Loss
$-1,110

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $28,466 (0.2307285546320737% of PnL)

Top Winners

Mariners vs. Phillies$9,954
New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals$9,528
Panthers vs. Oilers$8,985
Astros vs. Rockies$7,900
Nationals vs. Astros$6,755
Miami Marlins vs. Los Angeles Dodgers$6,510
Kansas City Royals vs. Cincinnati Reds$5,833
Royals vs. Cubs$5,824
Thunder vs. Mavericks$5,815
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 8.5$5,591

Top Losers

Dodgers vs. Reds$-15,440
Lightning vs. Canadiens$-11,250
Hornets vs. Lakers$-10,289
Timberwolves vs. Thunder$-9,725
Braves vs. Reds$-9,710
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$-9,288
Phillies vs. Marlins$-8,910
Twins vs. Guardians$-8,369
Guardians vs. Mets$-7,505
Cubs vs. Blue Jays$-6,514

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.019
Sortino
-0.025
HHI
7
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.015
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
0.6%
Top-5 markets
2.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
33.3
Active
Markets / Day
4.6
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
36.9m
between trades
Night Trading
16%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.77
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
5 min
Avg Trades / Session
7.9

Bot Detection

#6
40
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 168s — normal for humanCV 2.77 — diverse sizes (human-like)16% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock33 trades/day — high frequency4.6 markets/day — normal85% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 15:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
7.31
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)3.1%
Mid (20-55c)65.6%
High (>55c)31.3%

Sessions

#12
7/26/2025, 2:09:01 PM3 trades$26,9692 min
1/25/2025, 12:50:53 AM2 trades$20,9581 min
7/8/2025, 3:42:21 AM2 trades$18,7631 min
7/30/2025, 10:49:21 PM4 trades$15,4404 min
2/27/2025, 8:23:46 PM4 trades$14,5363 min
8/3/2025, 11:52:24 AM6 trades$14,4218 min
1/10/2025, 6:53:54 PM43 trades$13,60241 min
1/22/2025, 4:15:25 PM3 trades$12,5702 min
2/20/2025, 1:11:29 AM1 trades$12,0490 min
8/12/2025, 12:14:50 PM2 trades$11,9381 min
2/13/2025, 2:33:09 PM5 trades$11,6852 min
1/21/2025, 9:32:41 AM2 trades$11,2500 min
1/18/2025, 10:53:01 PM9 trades$11,0525 min
11/11/2025, 6:30:30 PM13 trades$10,8891 min
2/13/2025, 11:45:34 PM6 trades$10,8462 min
7/22/2025, 1:40:34 PM8 trades$10,5567 min
12/4/2025, 8:59:43 PM3 trades$10,5121 min
1/10/2025, 6:19:30 PM30 trades$10,49429 min
8/6/2025, 6:48:56 AM3 trades$10,1810 min
2/20/2025, 8:02:40 PM1 trades$10,1110 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-13
04-24
07-25
10-18
01-11
04-09
08-02

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 215 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
20.4% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 7.31/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L3.1 / M65.6 / H31.3