iantopliz

@iantopliz

#230,76880

0x38df6410c43ab507cd8152e23f50f62dce970935

~68d· 80 markets · 111 tradesVol: $20,504 @ITretii276002026-10-08 05:10:13
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

80
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

71% (53/75)20/20
4.23x (win $137 / loss $32)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 3.34515/15
Sortino 36.57110/10
$+0.0124 per $1 invested0.6/10
HHI 4041 (75 markets)0/10
42/62 profitable days (68%)9.4/10
Max DD 6% of peak ($6 / $106)10/10

Badges

6
Sniper
Win rate 71%
Profitable
PnL $+102
Consistent
42/62 profitable days
Cool Head
Max DD 6%
Win Streak
11 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
23/24 hours active

Categories

6
🏛️ POLITICS#103,437$38Vol: $7,986
⚽ SPORTS#1,424,052$-14Vol: $7,315
🎭 CULTURE#24,799$73Vol: $5,170
₿ CRYPTO#319,527$3Vol: $22
📈 ECONOMICS#0$0Vol: $2
💻 TECH#71,458$0Vol: $1

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$102
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$20,504
Total Redeem
$1
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
80
total markets
Trades
82B / 29S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~68d

Periods

#2
Week
$-0
Vol: $3
Month
$-1
Vol: $5
All Time
$102
Vol: $20,504

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
71%
52W / 21L events
Realized PnL
$102
Win Rate
71%
52W / 21L
Profit Factor
4.23x
Avg Win
$3
Avg Loss
$-2

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $109 (1.0700362425311% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Elon tweet 295 or more times June 20–27?$65
US forces enter Iran by March 14?$40
Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?$5
Will Elon tweet less than 300 times March 28 - April 4?$2
Warriors vs. Heat$1
Counter-Strike: Atreides vs Brute (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffs$1
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from January 29 to January 31, 2026?$1
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?$1
Reds vs. Red Sox$1
Wild vs. Golden Knights$1

Top Losers

West Ham United wins the Premier League?$-5
Will the Detroit Red Wings win the 2025 Stanley Cup?$-2
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$-2
Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilic$-2
Thunder vs. Nuggets$-2
Will Senegal win on 2025-09-09?$-2
Blue Jackets vs. Islanders$-2
Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?$-1
Penguins vs. Wild$-1
Hurricanes vs. Capitals$-1

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.174
Sortino
2.868
HHI
3300
Concentrated
EV per $1
$0.012
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
38.3%
Top-5 markets
98.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.2
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
23/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
21:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.0h
between trades
Night Trading
27%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
5.03
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.7

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 62s — normal for humanCV 5.03 — diverse sizes (human-like)27% night trades — never sleeps23/24 hours — around the clock0 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal27% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 21:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.39
Single entry

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)2.4%
Mid (20-55c)7.3%
High (>55c)90.2%

Sessions

#12
3/8/2026, 1:00:17 AM1 trades$3,1190 min
6/23/2025, 10:52:45 AM1 trades$2,7600 min
4/2/2025, 6:10:14 PM1 trades$2,3100 min
3/8/2026, 1:12:47 AM2 trades$1,9421 min
3/8/2026, 2:16:23 AM5 trades$5558 min
3/8/2026, 1:51:49 AM4 trades$4875 min
3/8/2026, 12:24:33 AM2 trades$2171 min
3/8/2026, 2:39:07 AM2 trades$1091 min
3/8/2026, 1:35:27 AM1 trades$480 min
3/8/2026, 2:03:53 AM2 trades$173 min
2/20/2025, 12:29:19 PM10 trades$152 min
4/14/2026, 9:06:30 PM2 trades$40 min
5/14/2026, 9:01:36 PM4 trades$43 min
3/19/2025, 4:01:25 AM2 trades$41 min
5/26/2025, 6:50:59 PM1 trades$30 min
11/19/2025, 8:00:03 AM1 trades$30 min
12/26/2025, 11:19:53 AM1 trades$30 min
1/31/2026, 1:01:24 PM1 trades$30 min
1/22/2026, 8:55:00 PM1 trades$30 min
10/7/2026, 9:12:46 PM2 trades$30 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-20
04-08
05-25
08-04
11-03
01-22
06-19

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
26.1% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.39/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L2.4 / M7.3 / H90.2