@icewallowcome
#103,365860x9a232f10a4216bcdef1f8bdf7cb68d60ba4e66ef
~46d· 37 markets · 255 tradesVol: $17,4622026-10-08 03:04:29
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
86
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
61% (20/33)15.3/20
2.62x (win $1,328 / loss $508)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 5.46415/15
Sortino 15.95510/10
$+0.1352 per $1 invested6.8/10
HHI 1361 (33 markets)5.7/10
15/24 profitable days (62%)8.1/10
Max DD 16% of peak ($145 / $919)10/10
Badges
7Sniper
Win rate 61%
Profitable
PnL $+615
DCA Master
Avg 7.8 entries/market
Consistent
15/24 profitable days
Cool Head
Max DD 16%
Win Streak
7 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
22/24 hours active
Categories
3🏛️ POLITICS#30,853$408Vol: $15,942
🎭 CULTURE#13,643$207Vol: $1,472
⚽ SPORTS#360,781$3Vol: $48
Overview
#1Net PnL
$617
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$17,462
Total Redeem
$189
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
37
total markets
Trades
138B / 117S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~46d
Periods
#2Today
$-6
Vol: $0
Week
$9
Vol: $303
Month
$-18
Vol: $1,080
All Time
$617
Vol: $17,462
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
61%
20W / 13L events
Realized PnL
$615
Win Rate
61%
20W / 13L
Profit Factor
2.62x
Avg Win
$66
Avg Loss
$-42
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $744 (1.208652267888775% of PnL)
Top Winners
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$393
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$205
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?$146
US forces enter Iran by March 31?$113
Will Denmark be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?$112
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?$68
Yevhen Khmara appointed as Ukrainian Minister of Defence by August 31?$50
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?$49
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?$36
Will Luxembourg advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?$30
Top Losers
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?$-145
Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by August 31, 2026?$-98
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?$-94
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?$-76
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?$-37
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$-19
Will voter turnout be 77–80% in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?$-12
Will Janet Mills be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?$-11
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$-5
Will voter turnout be 80%+ in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?$-5
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.280
Sortino
0.622
HHI
2828
Concentrated
EV per $1
$0.100
Kelly %
38.7%
Half-Kelly
19.4%
Top-1 market
43.9%
Top-5 markets
93.6%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
1.0
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
22/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
12:00 UTC
Median Gap
6.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.7h
between trades
Night Trading
5%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.51
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.4
Bot Detection
#615
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 362s — normal for humanCV 1.51 — diverse sizes (human-like)5% night trades — normal pattern22/24 hours — around the clock1 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal58% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 12:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
7.79
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)6.5%
Mid (20-55c)21.7%
High (>55c)71.7%
Sessions
#124/7/2026, 10:34:43 PM6 trades$6683 min
7/31/2026, 5:11:21 PM2 trades$6000 min
4/24/2026, 4:07:00 PM10 trades$5668 min
4/7/2026, 10:51:45 PM4 trades$5274 min
3/31/2026, 8:12:55 PM4 trades$4905 min
4/6/2026, 8:15:51 AM1 trades$4510 min
5/29/2026, 2:23:05 PM1 trades$3960 min
8/19/2026, 6:21:16 PM3 trades$3640 min
2/28/2026, 9:07:21 AM2 trades$3104 min
3/31/2026, 9:30:35 PM1 trades$2650 min
5/25/2026, 10:59:05 PM3 trades$2560 min
5/25/2026, 11:27:14 PM2 trades$2300 min
5/29/2026, 10:29:11 PM2 trades$2260 min
5/14/2026, 7:20:37 PM3 trades$2124 min
4/1/2026, 8:09:47 PM2 trades$2040 min
9/5/2026, 9:59:51 AM5 trades$2020 min
2/18/2026, 5:00:08 PM3 trades$1906 min
3/21/2026, 10:05:47 PM2 trades$1902 min
3/21/2026, 9:53:23 PM1 trades$1840 min
7/27/2026, 5:18:04 AM1 trades$1750 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-22
02-18
03-31
04-24
05-16
06-04
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 11 days (recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
45.9% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 7.79/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L6.5 / M21.7 / H71.7