@ill-pajamas
#60,383590x738b1cde2824a123d1c9c07cf512eae347056dc9
~161d· 233 markets · 1231 tradesVol: $121,0812026-10-08 02:10:30
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
59
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
53% (118/223)11.5/20
1.22x (win $3,659 / loss $3,007)5.2/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.12015/15
Sortino 1.52610/10
$+0.0348 per $1 invested1.7/10
HHI 231 (223 markets)10/10
55/109 profitable days (50%)5.1/10
Max DD 66% of peak ($1,266 / $1,918)0.8/10
Badges
3Profitable
PnL $+1,625
Lottery Player
30% entries < $0.20
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Categories
4🏛️ POLITICS#13,847$1,550Vol: $119,559
₿ CRYPTO#249,018$7Vol: $822
🎭 CULTURE#630,273$-4Vol: $429
📈 ECONOMICS#14,324$78Vol: $248
Overview
#1Net PnL
$1,625
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$121,081
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
233
total markets
Trades
675B / 556S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~161d
Periods
#2Today
$58
Vol: $2,500
Week
$-93
Vol: $2,500
Month
$109
Vol: $8,409
All Time
$1,625
Vol: $121,081
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
53%
118W / 105L events
Realized PnL
$1,625
Win Rate
53%
118W / 105L
Profit Factor
1.22x
Avg Win
$31
Avg Loss
$-30
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,091 (0.6718040253585277% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 9, 2026?$508
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 26, 2026?$330
U.S. refuels Israeli jets for strikes on Iran before July?$253
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$211
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?$186
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?$160
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 14, 2026?$133
US strikes Yemen by March 31, 2026?$128
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by March 31?$95
Will Iran strike Cyprus in March?$86
Top Losers
Israel closes its airspace by September 30?$-545
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?$-246
Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?$-228
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?$-222
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 8, 2026?$-209
US/Israel strike on Fordow nuclear facility by March 31?$-142
Will Israel or the US target an Iranian oil or gas facility?$-126
Will Israel strike Iraq by February 28?$-104
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$-95
Will Iran strike Israel on March 3?$-95
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.058
Sortino
0.060
HHI
160
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.040
Kelly %
6.9%
Half-Kelly
3.5%
Top-1 market
7%
Top-5 markets
21.2%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
1.7
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.3
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
11.7m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.9h
between trades
Night Trading
11%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.65
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.5
Bot Detection
#615
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 704s — normal for humanCV 1.65 — diverse sizes (human-like)11% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock2 trades/day — normal0.3 markets/day — normal55% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 15:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
4.92
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)30.2%
Mid (20-55c)38.7%
High (>55c)31.1%
Sessions
#124/5/2026, 11:57:45 AM8 trades$2,7300 min
10/7/2026, 4:19:01 PM15 trades$8520 min
3/3/2026, 8:47:29 PM9 trades$69510 min
4/26/2026, 8:33:36 PM14 trades$6071 min
7/6/2026, 1:18:37 PM5 trades$4730 min
6/15/2026, 8:38:55 PM3 trades$4620 min
3/25/2026, 11:16:59 AM1 trades$4160 min
9/28/2026, 2:56:03 PM2 trades$4060 min
2/26/2026, 12:15:22 PM1 trades$4020 min
3/8/2026, 5:41:37 PM1 trades$4000 min
3/8/2026, 9:07:09 PM1 trades$4000 min
3/1/2026, 1:03:29 PM1 trades$3990 min
3/2/2026, 7:54:43 AM4 trades$3929 min
3/21/2026, 10:29:59 PM1 trades$3850 min
3/1/2026, 3:59:51 PM4 trades$37211 min
2/28/2026, 11:25:01 PM1 trades$3530 min
2/28/2026, 9:15:47 PM1 trades$3360 min
3/1/2026, 6:20:47 PM4 trades$3085 min
3/23/2026, 10:09:25 PM1 trades$2990 min
7/1/2025, 5:24:15 PM5 trades$2931 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-05
12-06
07-03
01-25
02-13
03-12
09-06
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 182 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
45.2% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.92/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L30.2 / M38.7 / H31.1