@impliedbelief
#3,069,029110x2a8279573628e5b7a79c895d502e643ce7794a0e
~38d· 33 markets · 4194 tradesVol: $364,7592026-08-04 15:05:36
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
11
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
44% (14/32)6.9/20
0.39x (win $81,863 / loss $207,650)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -3.5930/15
Sortino -3.7910/10
$-0.8660 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 2268 (32 markets)1.2/10
9/22 profitable days (41%)2.7/10
Max DD 494% of peak ($157,739 / $31,952)0/10
Badges
3Lottery Player
46% entries < $0.20
Whale
$145,242 invested
🦉Night Owl
22/24 hours active
Categories
2⚽ SPORTS#1,881,321$-28,853Vol: $364,388
🏛️ POLITICS#844,702$-1Vol: $371
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-28,854
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$364,759
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
33
total markets
Trades
377B / 3817S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~38d
Periods
#2Today
$-1
Vol: $0
Week
$-1
Vol: $0
Month
$-1
Vol: $0
All Time
$-28,854
Vol: $364,759
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
44%
14W / 18L events
Realized PnL
$-28,854
Win Rate
44%
14W / 18L
Profit Factor
0.39x
Avg Win
$5,847
Avg Loss
$-11,536
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $77,049 (2.670329837903893% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?$46,665
Will Joe Mazzulla win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?$23,454
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?$6,931
Will Kawhi Leonard win the 2026 NBA All-Star Game MVP?$2,423
Will Keldon Johnson win the 2025–2026 NBA Sixth Man of the Year?$800
NBA: LeBron to Sign With Former Team?$382
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2026 NBA All-Star Game MVP?$346
Will Jonathan Kuminga be traded this season?$279
Will Anthony Davis be traded this season?$194
Will LeBron's next contract average $10M-$15M per year?$157
Top Losers
Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?$-103,587
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?$-86,192
Will Kon Knueppel win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?$-9,613
Will Darryn Peterson be the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft?$-3,351
Will LeBron's next contract average $15M-$50M per year?$-1,896
Will Domantas Sabonis be traded this season?$-796
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo not be traded?$-601
Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?$-443
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded this season?$-439
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to the Golden State Warriors?$-271
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.184
Sortino
-0.162
HHI
9051
Concentrated
EV per $1
$-0.470
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
74.9%
Top-5 markets
173.4%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
24.7
Active
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
22/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
4:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.3h
between trades
Night Trading
80%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.51
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
73.8
Bot Detection
#645
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
HIGH
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 261s — normal for humanCV 3.51 — diverse sizes (human-like)80% night trades — never sleeps22/24 hours — around the clock25 trades/day — high frequency0.2 markets/day — normal8% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 4:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
155.44
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)46.2%
Mid (20-55c)36.9%
High (>55c)17%
Sessions
#124/13/2026, 4:20:57 AM3053 trades$33,8311 min
7/7/2026, 5:38:22 AM33 trades$25,4960 min
7/7/2026, 4:02:52 PM9 trades$10,7360 min
4/15/2026, 1:55:14 AM17 trades$8,2342 min
6/30/2026, 6:22:50 PM10 trades$7,0040 min
7/6/2026, 10:15:58 PM16 trades$6,8031 min
7/3/2026, 4:21:52 PM29 trades$6,5727 min
7/6/2026, 10:38:50 PM26 trades$6,5669 min
2/28/2026, 4:49:45 AM1 trades$5,6000 min
3/8/2026, 6:36:29 AM1 trades$5,4290 min
7/6/2026, 5:49:11 AM16 trades$5,1020 min
7/3/2026, 7:04:32 PM10 trades$5,0700 min
7/10/2026, 8:41:16 AM11 trades$5,0673 min
7/6/2026, 10:26:59 PM9 trades$4,9873 min
6/30/2026, 5:24:17 PM11 trades$4,9770 min
7/3/2026, 6:08:10 PM5 trades$4,7910 min
7/7/2026, 2:01:49 AM33 trades$4,53311 min
6/30/2026, 6:10:55 PM13 trades$4,4580 min
6/19/2026, 4:18:53 PM25 trades$4,2840 min
7/6/2026, 9:09:34 PM18 trades$4,1695 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-03
02-10
02-18
03-08
04-13
07-03
07-15
07-22
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 105 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
91% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 155.44/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L46.2 / M36.9 / H17